Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared in Portugal

Portugal: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared was 1,112 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090. ▼ Falling

Latest (2090)
1,112 deaths per 1,000 people
Change on year
down 0.2%
World rank
147th
of 236 countries
All-time high
1,436 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2062
All-time low
1,112 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2090
Years of data
61
2030–2090

Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Portugal, 2030–2090

05001.0k1.5k203020602090

Source: UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in deaths per 1,000 people.

Analysis

In 2090, estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Portugal stood at 1,112 deaths per 1,000 people. That is the lowest value across all 61 years on record.

That represents a change of down 0.2% on the previous year and down 7.7% over ten years.

Over the whole period, estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Portugal peaked at 1,436 deaths per 1,000 people in 2062 and was at its lowest, 1,112 deaths per 1,000 people, in 2090.

Portugal ranks 147th of 236 countries on this measure, in the middle of the range.

The long-run direction has been consistently falling across the 61 years of available data.

Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared in Portugal, year by year

Annual values for Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Portugal, 2030 to 2090.
Year deaths per 1,000 people Change
2030 1,182 deaths per 1,000 people —
2031 1,192 deaths per 1,000 people +0.8%
2032 1,202 deaths per 1,000 people +0.9%
2033 1,213 deaths per 1,000 people +0.9%
2034 1,225 deaths per 1,000 people +1.0%
2035 1,236 deaths per 1,000 people +0.9%
2036 1,247 deaths per 1,000 people +0.9%
2037 1,258 deaths per 1,000 people +0.9%
2038 1,270 deaths per 1,000 people +1.0%
2039 1,282 deaths per 1,000 people +0.9%
2040 1,292 deaths per 1,000 people +0.7%
2041 1,302 deaths per 1,000 people +0.8%
2042 1,314 deaths per 1,000 people +0.9%
2043 1,322 deaths per 1,000 people +0.6%
2044 1,332 deaths per 1,000 people +0.8%
2045 1,339 deaths per 1,000 people +0.5%
2046 1,349 deaths per 1,000 people +0.7%
2047 1,358 deaths per 1,000 people +0.7%
2048 1,365 deaths per 1,000 people +0.6%
2049 1,373 deaths per 1,000 people +0.5%
2050 1,379 deaths per 1,000 people +0.5%
2051 1,386 deaths per 1,000 people +0.5%
2052 1,394 deaths per 1,000 people +0.6%
2053 1,400 deaths per 1,000 people +0.4%
2054 1,407 deaths per 1,000 people +0.5%
2055 1,412 deaths per 1,000 people +0.3%
2056 1,417 deaths per 1,000 people +0.4%
2057 1,423 deaths per 1,000 people +0.4%
2058 1,427 deaths per 1,000 people +0.3%
2059 1,430 deaths per 1,000 people +0.2%
2060 1,434 deaths per 1,000 people +0.3%
2061 1,435 deaths per 1,000 people +0.1%
2062 1,436 deaths per 1,000 people +0.1%
2063 1,436 deaths per 1,000 people -0.1%
2064 1,435 deaths per 1,000 people -0.0%
2065 1,432 deaths per 1,000 people -0.2%
2066 1,428 deaths per 1,000 people -0.3%
2067 1,423 deaths per 1,000 people -0.4%
2068 1,414 deaths per 1,000 people -0.6%
2069 1,406 deaths per 1,000 people -0.6%
2070 1,393 deaths per 1,000 people -0.9%
2071 1,381 deaths per 1,000 people -0.9%
2072 1,364 deaths per 1,000 people -1.3%
2073 1,346 deaths per 1,000 people -1.3%
2074 1,328 deaths per 1,000 people -1.3%
2075 1,308 deaths per 1,000 people -1.5%
2076 1,287 deaths per 1,000 people -1.6%
2077 1,265 deaths per 1,000 people -1.7%
2078 1,244 deaths per 1,000 people -1.7%
2079 1,224 deaths per 1,000 people -1.6%
2080 1,205 deaths per 1,000 people -1.5%
2081 1,188 deaths per 1,000 people -1.4%
2082 1,173 deaths per 1,000 people -1.2%
2083 1,159 deaths per 1,000 people -1.2%
2084 1,148 deaths per 1,000 people -0.9%
2085 1,138 deaths per 1,000 people -0.9%
2086 1,128 deaths per 1,000 people -0.8%
2087 1,122 deaths per 1,000 people -0.6%
2088 1,117 deaths per 1,000 people -0.4%
2089 1,114 deaths per 1,000 people -0.3%
2090 1,112 deaths per 1,000 people -0.2%

Portugal compared with similar countries

  • Portugal's 1,112 deaths per 1,000 people is below the median for high income countries, which is 1,266 deaths per 1,000 people, 88% of the median. (85 countries reporting)
  • Portugal's 1,112 deaths per 1,000 people is below the median for Europe & Central Asia, which is 1,269 deaths per 1,000 people, 88% of the median. (56 countries reporting)

Averages by decade

DecadeAverage LowestHighest Years
2030s 1,231 deaths per 1,000 people 1,182 deaths per 1,000 people 1,282 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2040s 1,335 deaths per 1,000 people 1,292 deaths per 1,000 people 1,373 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2050s 1,407 deaths per 1,000 people 1,379 deaths per 1,000 people 1,430 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2060s 1,428 deaths per 1,000 people 1,406 deaths per 1,000 people 1,436 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2070s 1,314 deaths per 1,000 people 1,224 deaths per 1,000 people 1,393 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2080s 1,149 deaths per 1,000 people 1,114 deaths per 1,000 people 1,205 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2090s 1,112 deaths per 1,000 people 1,112 deaths per 1,000 people 1,112 deaths per 1,000 people 1

Countries ranked near Portugal

  1. 144 Kenya 1,119 deaths per 1,000 people compare
  2. 145 Nauru 1,118 deaths per 1,000 people compare
  3. 146 New Zealand 1,116 deaths per 1,000 people compare
  4. 148 Sweden 1,109 deaths per 1,000 people compare
  5. 149 Tokelau 1,108 deaths per 1,000 people compare
  6. 150 Djibouti 1,107 deaths per 1,000 people compare

See the full ranking of 236 places →

More health data for Portugal

All data for Portugal →

Frequently asked questions

What is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Portugal?
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Portugal was 1,112 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090, according to UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data.
What is the highest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Portugal?
The highest recorded value was 1,436 deaths per 1,000 people in 2062.
What is the lowest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Portugal?
The lowest recorded value was 1,112 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090.
How does Portugal rank for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates?
Portugal ranks 147th out of 236 countries with data for 2090.
Is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates rising or falling in Portugal?
Over the last ten years it is down 7.7%. The long-run trend across the full record is falling.
Where does this Portugal data come from?
The figures come from UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.

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Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Portugal. Statizoid, drawing on UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Retrieved 10 October 2026, from https://health.statizoid.com/stat/heat-deaths-vs-projected-death-rates/portugal/

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About this data

Indicator
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates
Unit
deaths per 1,000 people
Source
UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data
Licence
CC BY 4.0 (Our World in Data)
Coverage
236 places, 14,396 data points, 2030–2090
Last refreshed

Number of deaths in a year per 1,000 people in the population. Future projections are based on the UN's medium scenario.