Kenya vs Portugal: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates

Kenya
1,119 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2090
Portugal
1,112 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2090
Kenya rank
144th
Portugal rank
147th

Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates over time

  • Kenya
  • Portugal
05001.0k1.5k203020602090

How they compare

Kenya currently reports 1,119 deaths per 1,000 people against 1,112 deaths per 1,000 people in Portugal, a difference of 7 deaths per 1,000 people.

The two have swapped places 1 time across 61 shared years of data; in 2030 it was Portugal ahead.

Kenya ranks 144th and Portugal ranks 147th of 236 countries.

Across the 7 decades both report, Kenya averaged higher in 1 and Portugal in 6.

Head to head by decade

Decade Kenya Portugal Difference Ahead
2030s 714.15 deaths per 1,000 people 1,231 deaths per 1,000 people 516.5 deaths per 1,000 people Portugal
2040s 747.71 deaths per 1,000 people 1,335 deaths per 1,000 people 586.89 deaths per 1,000 people Portugal
2050s 812 deaths per 1,000 people 1,407 deaths per 1,000 people 595.41 deaths per 1,000 people Portugal
2060s 892.5 deaths per 1,000 people 1,428 deaths per 1,000 people 535.49 deaths per 1,000 people Portugal
2070s 983.71 deaths per 1,000 people 1,314 deaths per 1,000 people 330.33 deaths per 1,000 people Portugal
2080s 1,076 deaths per 1,000 people 1,149 deaths per 1,000 people 73.14 deaths per 1,000 people Portugal
2090s 1,119 deaths per 1,000 people 1,112 deaths per 1,000 people 6.6 deaths per 1,000 people Kenya

Averages of every year both report within each decade.

Frequently asked questions

Which has higher estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates, Kenya or Portugal?
Kenya, at 1,119 deaths per 1,000 people against 1,112 deaths per 1,000 people in Portugal as of 2090.
What is the difference in estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates between Kenya and Portugal?
7 deaths per 1,000 people, with Kenya ahead.
How many years of comparable data are there for Kenya and Portugal?
61 years are reported by both, from 2030 to 2090.
How do Kenya and Portugal rank globally for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates?
Kenya ranks 144th and Portugal ranks 147th of 236 countries.
Where does this data come from?
UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data, published as Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid refreshes it automatically from the source and publishes the full history for both places.

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Kenya vs Portugal: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid, drawing on UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Retrieved 03 September 2026, from https://health.statizoid.com/compare/heat-deaths-vs-projected-death-rates/kenya/portugal/

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About this data

Indicator
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates
Unit
deaths per 1,000 people
Source
UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data
Licence
CC BY 4.0 (Our World in Data)
Coverage
236 places, 14,396 data points, 2030–2090
Last refreshed

Number of deaths in a year per 1,000 people in the population. Future projections are based on the UN's medium scenario.