New Zealand vs Portugal: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates

New Zealand
1,116 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2090
Portugal
1,112 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2090
New Zealand rank
146th
Portugal rank
147th

Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates over time

  • New Zealand
  • Portugal
05001.0k1.5k203020602090

How they compare

New Zealand currently reports 1,116 deaths per 1,000 people against 1,112 deaths per 1,000 people in Portugal, a difference of 4 deaths per 1,000 people.

The two have swapped places 1 time across 61 shared years of data; in 2030 it was Portugal ahead.

New Zealand ranks 146th and Portugal ranks 147th of 236 countries.

Across the 7 decades both report, New Zealand averaged higher in 1 and Portugal in 6.

Head to head by decade

Decade New Zealand Portugal Difference Ahead
2030s 850.42 deaths per 1,000 people 1,231 deaths per 1,000 people 380.23 deaths per 1,000 people Portugal
2040s 969.42 deaths per 1,000 people 1,335 deaths per 1,000 people 365.18 deaths per 1,000 people Portugal
2050s 1,041 deaths per 1,000 people 1,407 deaths per 1,000 people 366.66 deaths per 1,000 people Portugal
2060s 1,051 deaths per 1,000 people 1,428 deaths per 1,000 people 376.54 deaths per 1,000 people Portugal
2070s 1,082 deaths per 1,000 people 1,314 deaths per 1,000 people 231.97 deaths per 1,000 people Portugal
2080s 1,133 deaths per 1,000 people 1,149 deaths per 1,000 people 15.69 deaths per 1,000 people Portugal
2090s 1,116 deaths per 1,000 people 1,112 deaths per 1,000 people 4.1 deaths per 1,000 people New Zealand

Averages of every year both report within each decade.

Frequently asked questions

Which has higher estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates, New Zealand or Portugal?
New Zealand, at 1,116 deaths per 1,000 people against 1,112 deaths per 1,000 people in Portugal as of 2090.
What is the difference in estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates between New Zealand and Portugal?
4 deaths per 1,000 people, with New Zealand ahead.
How many years of comparable data are there for New Zealand and Portugal?
61 years are reported by both, from 2030 to 2090.
How do New Zealand and Portugal rank globally for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates?
New Zealand ranks 146th and Portugal ranks 147th of 236 countries.
Where does this data come from?
UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data, published as Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid refreshes it automatically from the source and publishes the full history for both places.

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New Zealand vs Portugal: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid, drawing on UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Retrieved 14 September 2026, from https://health.statizoid.com/compare/heat-deaths-vs-projected-death-rates/new-zealand/portugal/

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About this data

Indicator
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates
Unit
deaths per 1,000 people
Source
UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data
Licence
CC BY 4.0 (Our World in Data)
Coverage
236 places, 14,396 data points, 2030–2090
Last refreshed

Number of deaths in a year per 1,000 people in the population. Future projections are based on the UN's medium scenario.