Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared in Tokelau

Tokelau: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates was 1,108 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090. ▲ Rising

Latest (2090)
1,108 deaths per 1,000 people
Change on year
up 0.7%
World rank
149th
of 236 countries
All-time high
1,108 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2090
All-time low
559.3 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2030
Years of data
61
2030–2090

Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Tokelau, 2030–2090

02505007501.0k203020602090

Source: UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in deaths per 1,000 people.

Analysis

Tokelau recorded 1,108 deaths per 1,000 people for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in 2090. That is the highest value across all 61 years on record.

The figure is up 0.7% on the previous year and up 14.5% over ten years.

Over the whole period, estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Tokelau peaked at 1,108 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090 and was at its lowest, 559.3 deaths per 1,000 people, in 2030.

That places Tokelau 149th out of 236 countries with data for 2090, putting it in the middle of the range.

The long-run direction has been consistently rising across the 61 years of available data.

Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Tokelau, year by year

Annual values for Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Tokelau, 2030 to 2090.
Year deaths per 1,000 people Change
2030 559.3 deaths per 1,000 people —
2031 560.5 deaths per 1,000 people +0.2%
2032 561.6 deaths per 1,000 people +0.2%
2033 565.1 deaths per 1,000 people +0.6%
2034 568.5 deaths per 1,000 people +0.6%
2035 573.3 deaths per 1,000 people +0.8%
2036 577.7 deaths per 1,000 people +0.8%
2037 582.2 deaths per 1,000 people +0.8%
2038 588.5 deaths per 1,000 people +1.1%
2039 596 deaths per 1,000 people +1.3%
2040 603.9 deaths per 1,000 people +1.3%
2041 613.3 deaths per 1,000 people +1.6%
2042 621.8 deaths per 1,000 people +1.4%
2043 631.5 deaths per 1,000 people +1.6%
2044 640.7 deaths per 1,000 people +1.5%
2045 649.5 deaths per 1,000 people +1.4%
2046 658.5 deaths per 1,000 people +1.4%
2047 668.9 deaths per 1,000 people +1.6%
2048 678 deaths per 1,000 people +1.4%
2049 686.7 deaths per 1,000 people +1.3%
2050 695.1 deaths per 1,000 people +1.2%
2051 703 deaths per 1,000 people +1.1%
2052 709.3 deaths per 1,000 people +0.9%
2053 714.2 deaths per 1,000 people +0.7%
2054 719 deaths per 1,000 people +0.7%
2055 722.9 deaths per 1,000 people +0.5%
2056 726.1 deaths per 1,000 people +0.4%
2057 729.9 deaths per 1,000 people +0.5%
2058 732.4 deaths per 1,000 people +0.3%
2059 733.1 deaths per 1,000 people +0.1%
2060 735.1 deaths per 1,000 people +0.3%
2061 737.8 deaths per 1,000 people +0.4%
2062 741.1 deaths per 1,000 people +0.4%
2063 745.4 deaths per 1,000 people +0.6%
2064 750.2 deaths per 1,000 people +0.6%
2065 756 deaths per 1,000 people +0.8%
2066 762.2 deaths per 1,000 people +0.8%
2067 771.7 deaths per 1,000 people +1.2%
2068 782 deaths per 1,000 people +1.3%
2069 793 deaths per 1,000 people +1.4%
2070 805.3 deaths per 1,000 people +1.6%
2071 819.9 deaths per 1,000 people +1.8%
2072 833.8 deaths per 1,000 people +1.7%
2073 849 deaths per 1,000 people +1.8%
2074 865.4 deaths per 1,000 people +1.9%
2075 882.5 deaths per 1,000 people +2.0%
2076 899 deaths per 1,000 people +1.9%
2077 916 deaths per 1,000 people +1.9%
2078 933.3 deaths per 1,000 people +1.9%
2079 950 deaths per 1,000 people +1.8%
2080 967.4 deaths per 1,000 people +1.8%
2081 984.7 deaths per 1,000 people +1.8%
2082 1,003 deaths per 1,000 people +1.9%
2083 1,020 deaths per 1,000 people +1.7%
2084 1,036 deaths per 1,000 people +1.6%
2085 1,051 deaths per 1,000 people +1.4%
2086 1,066 deaths per 1,000 people +1.4%
2087 1,079 deaths per 1,000 people +1.2%
2088 1,090 deaths per 1,000 people +1.0%
2089 1,100 deaths per 1,000 people +0.9%
2090 1,108 deaths per 1,000 people +0.7%

Averages by decade

DecadeAverage LowestHighest Years
2030s 573.27 deaths per 1,000 people 559.3 deaths per 1,000 people 596 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2040s 645.28 deaths per 1,000 people 603.9 deaths per 1,000 people 686.7 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2050s 718.5 deaths per 1,000 people 695.1 deaths per 1,000 people 733.1 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2060s 757.45 deaths per 1,000 people 735.1 deaths per 1,000 people 793 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2070s 875.42 deaths per 1,000 people 805.3 deaths per 1,000 people 950 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2080s 1,040 deaths per 1,000 people 967.4 deaths per 1,000 people 1,100 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2090s 1,108 deaths per 1,000 people 1,108 deaths per 1,000 people 1,108 deaths per 1,000 people 1

Countries ranked near Tokelau

  1. 146 New Zealand 1,116 deaths per 1,000 people compare
  2. 147 Portugal 1,112 deaths per 1,000 people compare
  3. 148 Sweden 1,109 deaths per 1,000 people compare
  4. 150 Djibouti 1,107 deaths per 1,000 people compare
  5. 151 Lebanon 1,106 deaths per 1,000 people compare
  6. 152 Switzerland 1,104 deaths per 1,000 people compare

See the full ranking of 236 places →

More health data for Tokelau

All data for Tokelau →

Frequently asked questions

What is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Tokelau?
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Tokelau was 1,108 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090, according to UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data.
What is the highest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Tokelau?
The highest recorded value was 1,108 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090.
What is the lowest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Tokelau?
The lowest recorded value was 559.3 deaths per 1,000 people in 2030.
How does Tokelau rank for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates?
Tokelau ranks 149th out of 236 countries with data for 2090.
Is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates rising or falling in Tokelau?
Over the last ten years it is up 14.5%. The long-run trend across the full record is rising.
Where does this Tokelau data come from?
The figures come from UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.

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Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Tokelau. Statizoid, drawing on UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Retrieved 07 October 2026, from https://health.statizoid.com/stat/heat-deaths-vs-projected-death-rates/tokelau/

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About this data

Indicator
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates
Unit
deaths per 1,000 people
Source
UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data
Licence
CC BY 4.0 (Our World in Data)
Coverage
236 places, 14,396 data points, 2030–2090
Last refreshed

Number of deaths in a year per 1,000 people in the population. Future projections are based on the UN's medium scenario.