Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Kenya
Kenya: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates was 1,119 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090. ▲ Rising
Latest (2090)
1,119 deaths per 1,000 people
Change on year
up 0.6%
World rank
144th
of 236 countries
All-time high
1,119 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2090
All-time low
709 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2030
Years of data
61
2030–2090
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Kenya, 2030–2090
Source: UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in deaths per 1,000 people.
Analysis
The most recent figure for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Kenya is 1,119 deaths per 1,000 people, measured in 2090. That is the highest value across all 61 years on record.
Compared with earlier readings it is up 0.6% on the previous year and up 7.9% over ten years.
Over the whole period, estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Kenya peaked at 1,119 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090 and was at its lowest, 709 deaths per 1,000 people, in 2030.
That places Kenya 144th out of 236 countries with data for 2090, putting it in the middle of the range.
The long-run direction has been consistently rising across the 61 years of available data.
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Kenya, year by year
| Year | deaths per 1,000 people | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2030 | 709 deaths per 1,000 people | — |
| 2031 | 709 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.0% |
| 2032 | 709.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.1% |
| 2033 | 710.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2034 | 711.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.1% |
| 2035 | 713.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2036 | 715.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2037 | 718.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2038 | 720 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2039 | 723.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
| 2040 | 726.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2041 | 730.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
| 2042 | 734.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2043 | 739 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2044 | 743.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2045 | 749.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2046 | 755 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2047 | 760.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2048 | 766.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2049 | 772.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2050 | 779.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2051 | 786.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2052 | 793.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2053 | 800.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2054 | 808.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2055 | 815.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2056 | 822.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2057 | 830.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2058 | 837.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2059 | 845.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2060 | 854.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2061 | 862.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2062 | 871 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2063 | 879.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2064 | 887.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2065 | 896.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2066 | 905 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2067 | 913.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2068 | 922.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2069 | 931.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2070 | 940.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2071 | 950 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2072 | 959.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2073 | 969.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2074 | 978.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2075 | 988.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2076 | 998.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2077 | 1,007 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2078 | 1,017 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2079 | 1,027 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2080 | 1,036 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2081 | 1,045 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2082 | 1,055 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2083 | 1,064 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2084 | 1,073 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2085 | 1,081 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2086 | 1,090 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2087 | 1,098 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2088 | 1,105 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2089 | 1,112 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2090 | 1,119 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
Kenya compared with similar countries
- Kenya's 1,119 deaths per 1,000 people is above the median for lower middle income countries, which is 1,052 deaths per 1,000 people, 1.1× the median. (47 countries reporting)
- Kenya's 1,119 deaths per 1,000 people is above the median for Sub-Saharan Africa, which is 887.35 deaths per 1,000 people, 1.3× the median. (48 countries reporting)
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2030s | 714.15 deaths per 1,000 people | 709 deaths per 1,000 people | 723.4 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2040s | 747.71 deaths per 1,000 people | 726.4 deaths per 1,000 people | 772.7 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2050s | 812 deaths per 1,000 people | 779.2 deaths per 1,000 people | 845.8 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2060s | 892.5 deaths per 1,000 people | 854.5 deaths per 1,000 people | 931.7 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2070s | 983.71 deaths per 1,000 people | 940.7 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,027 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2080s | 1,076 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,036 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,112 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2090s | 1,119 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,119 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,119 deaths per 1,000 people | 1 |
Countries ranked near Kenya
More health data for Kenya
- Un projection of annual infant deaths, annual growth rate -1.44 % change on previous year (2100)
- Heat deaths vs projected death rates, annual growth rate 0.6026 % change on previous year (2090)
- Number of infants who die before age 1 16,059 deaths (2100)
- Neonatal tetanus - number of reported cases, gaps filled 89 (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, annual growth rate 1.28 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, per unit of GDP 0 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, per capita 0.0621 units per person (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, annual growth rate 1.28 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, per unit of GDP 0 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, per capita 0.063 units per person (2025)
Frequently asked questions
- What is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Kenya?
- Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Kenya was 1,119 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090, according to UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Kenya?
- The highest recorded value was 1,119 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090.
- What is the lowest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Kenya?
- The lowest recorded value was 709 deaths per 1,000 people in 2030.
- How does Kenya rank for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates?
- Kenya ranks 144th out of 236 countries with data for 2090.
- Is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates rising or falling in Kenya?
- Over the last ten years it is up 7.9%. The long-run trend across the full record is rising.
- Where does this Kenya data come from?
- The figures come from UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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About this data
Number of deaths in a year per 1,000 people in the population. Future projections are based on the UN's medium scenario.