Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in New Zealand
New Zealand: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates was 1,116 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090. ▲ Rising
Latest (2090)
1,116 deaths per 1,000 people
Change on year
down 0.5%
World rank
146th
of 236 countries
All-time high
1,140 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2084
All-time low
793.2 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2030
Years of data
61
2030–2090
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in New Zealand, 2030–2090
Source: UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in deaths per 1,000 people.
Analysis
The most recent figure for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in New Zealand is 1,116 deaths per 1,000 people, measured in 2090.
That represents a change of down 0.5% on the previous year and down 0.8% over ten years.
Over the whole period, estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in New Zealand peaked at 1,140 deaths per 1,000 people in 2084 and was at its lowest, 793.2 deaths per 1,000 people, in 2030.
That places New Zealand 146th out of 236 countries with data for 2090, putting it in the middle of the range.
The long-run direction has been consistently rising across the 61 years of available data.
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in New Zealand, year by year
| Year | deaths per 1,000 people | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2030 | 793.2 deaths per 1,000 people | — |
| 2031 | 804.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.4% |
| 2032 | 817.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.6% |
| 2033 | 830.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.6% |
| 2034 | 844 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.6% |
| 2035 | 856.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.5% |
| 2036 | 869.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.5% |
| 2037 | 883.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.6% |
| 2038 | 896.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.5% |
| 2039 | 909.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.4% |
| 2040 | 922.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.4% |
| 2041 | 933.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2042 | 944.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2043 | 954.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2044 | 965.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2045 | 975.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2046 | 985.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2047 | 995.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2048 | 1,004 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2049 | 1,013 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2050 | 1,020 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2051 | 1,026 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2052 | 1,033 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2053 | 1,038 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2054 | 1,042 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2055 | 1,045 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2056 | 1,049 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2057 | 1,051 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2058 | 1,052 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.1% |
| 2059 | 1,053 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.1% |
| 2060 | 1,053 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.0% |
| 2061 | 1,053 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.0% |
| 2062 | 1,052 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.1% |
| 2063 | 1,053 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.0% |
| 2064 | 1,051 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.2% |
| 2065 | 1,050 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.1% |
| 2066 | 1,050 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.0% |
| 2067 | 1,050 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.0% |
| 2068 | 1,050 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.0% |
| 2069 | 1,052 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2070 | 1,055 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2071 | 1,059 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2072 | 1,063 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2073 | 1,068 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
| 2074 | 1,076 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2075 | 1,084 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2076 | 1,091 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2077 | 1,100 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2078 | 1,108 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2079 | 1,116 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2080 | 1,125 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2081 | 1,131 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2082 | 1,137 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
| 2083 | 1,140 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2084 | 1,140 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.1% |
| 2085 | 1,140 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.0% |
| 2086 | 1,138 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.2% |
| 2087 | 1,134 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.3% |
| 2088 | 1,128 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.5% |
| 2089 | 1,122 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.6% |
| 2090 | 1,116 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.5% |
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2030s | 850.42 deaths per 1,000 people | 793.2 deaths per 1,000 people | 909.2 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2040s | 969.42 deaths per 1,000 people | 922.3 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,013 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2050s | 1,041 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,020 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,053 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2060s | 1,051 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,050 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,053 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2070s | 1,082 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,055 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,116 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2080s | 1,133 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,122 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,140 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2090s | 1,116 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,116 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,116 deaths per 1,000 people | 1 |
Countries ranked near New Zealand
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Frequently asked questions
- What is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in New Zealand?
- Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in New Zealand was 1,116 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090, according to UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in New Zealand?
- The highest recorded value was 1,140 deaths per 1,000 people in 2084.
- What is the lowest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in New Zealand?
- The lowest recorded value was 793.2 deaths per 1,000 people in 2030.
- How does New Zealand rank for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates?
- New Zealand ranks 146th out of 236 countries with data for 2090.
- Is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates rising or falling in New Zealand?
- Over the last ten years it is down 0.8%. The long-run trend across the full record is rising.
- Where does this New Zealand data come from?
- The figures come from UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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About this data
Number of deaths in a year per 1,000 people in the population. Future projections are based on the UN's medium scenario.