Portugal vs Tokelau: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared

Portugal
1,112 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2090
Tokelau
1,108 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2090
Portugal rank
147th
Tokelau rank
149th

Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared over time

  • Portugal
  • Tokelau
05001.0k1.5k203020602090

How they compare

Portugal currently reports 1,112 deaths per 1,000 people against 1,108 deaths per 1,000 people in Tokelau, a difference of 4 deaths per 1,000 people.

Across all 61 years both countries report, Portugal has been ahead every year.

Portugal ranks 147th and Tokelau ranks 149th of 236 countries.

Portugal has averaged higher in every one of the 7 decades both report.

Head to head by decade

Decade Portugal Tokelau Difference Ahead
2030s 1,231 deaths per 1,000 people 573.27 deaths per 1,000 people 657.38 deaths per 1,000 people Portugal
2040s 1,335 deaths per 1,000 people 645.28 deaths per 1,000 people 689.32 deaths per 1,000 people Portugal
2050s 1,407 deaths per 1,000 people 718.5 deaths per 1,000 people 688.91 deaths per 1,000 people Portugal
2060s 1,428 deaths per 1,000 people 757.45 deaths per 1,000 people 670.54 deaths per 1,000 people Portugal
2070s 1,314 deaths per 1,000 people 875.42 deaths per 1,000 people 438.62 deaths per 1,000 people Portugal
2080s 1,149 deaths per 1,000 people 1,040 deaths per 1,000 people 109.17 deaths per 1,000 people Portugal
2090s 1,112 deaths per 1,000 people 1,108 deaths per 1,000 people 4.3 deaths per 1,000 people Portugal

Averages of every year both report within each decade.

Frequently asked questions

Which has higher estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates, Portugal or Tokelau?
Portugal, at 1,112 deaths per 1,000 people against 1,108 deaths per 1,000 people in Tokelau as of 2090.
What is the difference in estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates between Portugal and Tokelau?
4 deaths per 1,000 people, with Portugal ahead.
How many years of comparable data are there for Portugal and Tokelau?
61 years are reported by both, from 2030 to 2090.
How do Portugal and Tokelau rank globally for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates?
Portugal ranks 147th and Tokelau ranks 149th of 236 countries.
Where does this data come from?
UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data, published as Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid refreshes it automatically from the source and publishes the full history for both places.

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Portugal vs Tokelau: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid, drawing on UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Retrieved 07 October 2026, from https://health.statizoid.com/compare/heat-deaths-vs-projected-death-rates/portugal/tokelau/

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About this data

Indicator
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates
Unit
deaths per 1,000 people
Source
UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data
Licence
CC BY 4.0 (Our World in Data)
Coverage
236 places, 14,396 data points, 2030–2090
Last refreshed

Number of deaths in a year per 1,000 people in the population. Future projections are based on the UN's medium scenario.