Portugal vs Sweden: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates

Portugal
1,112 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2090
Sweden
1,109 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2090
Portugal rank
147th
Sweden rank
148th

Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates over time

  • Portugal
  • Sweden
05001.0k1.5k203020602090

How they compare

Portugal currently reports 1,112 deaths per 1,000 people against 1,109 deaths per 1,000 people in Sweden, a difference of 3 deaths per 1,000 people.

The two have swapped places 2 times across 61 shared years of data; in 2030 it was Portugal ahead.

Portugal ranks 147th and Sweden ranks 148th of 236 countries.

Portugal has averaged higher in every one of the 7 decades both report.

Head to head by decade

Decade Portugal Sweden Difference Ahead
2030s 1,231 deaths per 1,000 people 992.97 deaths per 1,000 people 237.68 deaths per 1,000 people Portugal
2040s 1,335 deaths per 1,000 people 1,025 deaths per 1,000 people 309.13 deaths per 1,000 people Portugal
2050s 1,407 deaths per 1,000 people 1,057 deaths per 1,000 people 349.92 deaths per 1,000 people Portugal
2060s 1,428 deaths per 1,000 people 1,089 deaths per 1,000 people 339.34 deaths per 1,000 people Portugal
2070s 1,314 deaths per 1,000 people 1,108 deaths per 1,000 people 206.3 deaths per 1,000 people Portugal
2080s 1,149 deaths per 1,000 people 1,141 deaths per 1,000 people 7.74 deaths per 1,000 people Portugal
2090s 1,112 deaths per 1,000 people 1,109 deaths per 1,000 people 2.8 deaths per 1,000 people Portugal

Averages of every year both report within each decade.

Frequently asked questions

Which has higher estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates, Portugal or Sweden?
Portugal, at 1,112 deaths per 1,000 people against 1,109 deaths per 1,000 people in Sweden as of 2090.
What is the difference in estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates between Portugal and Sweden?
3 deaths per 1,000 people, with Portugal ahead.
How many years of comparable data are there for Portugal and Sweden?
61 years are reported by both, from 2030 to 2090.
How do Portugal and Sweden rank globally for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates?
Portugal ranks 147th and Sweden ranks 148th of 236 countries.
Where does this data come from?
UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data, published as Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid refreshes it automatically from the source and publishes the full history for both places.

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Portugal vs Sweden: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid, drawing on UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Retrieved 05 September 2026, from https://health.statizoid.com/compare/heat-deaths-vs-projected-death-rates/portugal/sweden/

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About this data

Indicator
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates
Unit
deaths per 1,000 people
Source
UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data
Licence
CC BY 4.0 (Our World in Data)
Coverage
236 places, 14,396 data points, 2030–2090
Last refreshed

Number of deaths in a year per 1,000 people in the population. Future projections are based on the UN's medium scenario.