Kenya vs New Zealand: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates

Kenya
1,119 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2090
New Zealand
1,116 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2090
Kenya rank
144th
New Zealand rank
146th

Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates over time

  • Kenya
  • New Zealand
02505007501.0k1.2k203020602090

How they compare

Kenya currently reports 1,119 deaths per 1,000 people against 1,116 deaths per 1,000 people in New Zealand, a difference of 3 deaths per 1,000 people.

The two have swapped places 1 time across 61 shared years of data; in 2030 it was New Zealand ahead.

Kenya ranks 144th and New Zealand ranks 146th of 236 countries.

Across the 7 decades both report, Kenya averaged higher in 1 and New Zealand in 6.

Head to head by decade

Decade Kenya New Zealand Difference Ahead
2030s 714.15 deaths per 1,000 people 850.42 deaths per 1,000 people 136.27 deaths per 1,000 people New Zealand
2040s 747.71 deaths per 1,000 people 969.42 deaths per 1,000 people 221.71 deaths per 1,000 people New Zealand
2050s 812 deaths per 1,000 people 1,041 deaths per 1,000 people 228.75 deaths per 1,000 people New Zealand
2060s 892.5 deaths per 1,000 people 1,051 deaths per 1,000 people 158.95 deaths per 1,000 people New Zealand
2070s 983.71 deaths per 1,000 people 1,082 deaths per 1,000 people 98.36 deaths per 1,000 people New Zealand
2080s 1,076 deaths per 1,000 people 1,133 deaths per 1,000 people 57.45 deaths per 1,000 people New Zealand
2090s 1,119 deaths per 1,000 people 1,116 deaths per 1,000 people 2.5 deaths per 1,000 people Kenya

Averages of every year both report within each decade.

Frequently asked questions

Which has higher estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates, Kenya or New Zealand?
Kenya, at 1,119 deaths per 1,000 people against 1,116 deaths per 1,000 people in New Zealand as of 2090.
What is the difference in estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates between Kenya and New Zealand?
3 deaths per 1,000 people, with Kenya ahead.
How many years of comparable data are there for Kenya and New Zealand?
61 years are reported by both, from 2030 to 2090.
How do Kenya and New Zealand rank globally for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates?
Kenya ranks 144th and New Zealand ranks 146th of 236 countries.
Where does this data come from?
UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data, published as Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid refreshes it automatically from the source and publishes the full history for both places.

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Kenya vs New Zealand: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid, drawing on UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Retrieved 09 September 2026, from https://health.statizoid.com/compare/heat-deaths-vs-projected-death-rates/kenya/new-zealand/

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About this data

Indicator
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates
Unit
deaths per 1,000 people
Source
UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data
Licence
CC BY 4.0 (Our World in Data)
Coverage
236 places, 14,396 data points, 2030–2090
Last refreshed

Number of deaths in a year per 1,000 people in the population. Future projections are based on the UN's medium scenario.