New Zealand vs Tokelau: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates

New Zealand
1,116 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2090
Tokelau
1,108 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2090
New Zealand rank
146th
Tokelau rank
149th

Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates over time

  • New Zealand
  • Tokelau
02505007501.0k1.2k203020602090

How they compare

New Zealand currently reports 1,116 deaths per 1,000 people against 1,108 deaths per 1,000 people in Tokelau, a difference of 8 deaths per 1,000 people.

Across all 61 years both countries report, New Zealand has been ahead every year.

New Zealand ranks 146th and Tokelau ranks 149th of 236 countries.

New Zealand has averaged higher in every one of the 7 decades both report.

Head to head by decade

Decade New Zealand Tokelau Difference Ahead
2030s 850.42 deaths per 1,000 people 573.27 deaths per 1,000 people 277.15 deaths per 1,000 people New Zealand
2040s 969.42 deaths per 1,000 people 645.28 deaths per 1,000 people 324.14 deaths per 1,000 people New Zealand
2050s 1,041 deaths per 1,000 people 718.5 deaths per 1,000 people 322.25 deaths per 1,000 people New Zealand
2060s 1,051 deaths per 1,000 people 757.45 deaths per 1,000 people 294 deaths per 1,000 people New Zealand
2070s 1,082 deaths per 1,000 people 875.42 deaths per 1,000 people 206.65 deaths per 1,000 people New Zealand
2080s 1,133 deaths per 1,000 people 1,040 deaths per 1,000 people 93.48 deaths per 1,000 people New Zealand
2090s 1,116 deaths per 1,000 people 1,108 deaths per 1,000 people 8.4 deaths per 1,000 people New Zealand

Averages of every year both report within each decade.

Frequently asked questions

Which has higher estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates, New Zealand or Tokelau?
New Zealand, at 1,116 deaths per 1,000 people against 1,108 deaths per 1,000 people in Tokelau as of 2090.
What is the difference in estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates between New Zealand and Tokelau?
8 deaths per 1,000 people, with New Zealand ahead.
How many years of comparable data are there for New Zealand and Tokelau?
61 years are reported by both, from 2030 to 2090.
How do New Zealand and Tokelau rank globally for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates?
New Zealand ranks 146th and Tokelau ranks 149th of 236 countries.
Where does this data come from?
UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data, published as Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid refreshes it automatically from the source and publishes the full history for both places.

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New Zealand vs Tokelau: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid, drawing on UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Retrieved 12 September 2026, from https://health.statizoid.com/compare/heat-deaths-vs-projected-death-rates/new-zealand/tokelau/

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About this data

Indicator
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates
Unit
deaths per 1,000 people
Source
UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data
Licence
CC BY 4.0 (Our World in Data)
Coverage
236 places, 14,396 data points, 2030–2090
Last refreshed

Number of deaths in a year per 1,000 people in the population. Future projections are based on the UN's medium scenario.