Kenya vs Syria: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates

Kenya
1,119 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2090
Syria
1,122 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2090
Kenya rank
144th
Syria rank
143rd

Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates over time

  • Kenya
  • Syria
02505007501.0k203020602090

How they compare

Syria currently reports 1,122 deaths per 1,000 people against 1,119 deaths per 1,000 people in Kenya, a difference of 3 deaths per 1,000 people.

The two have swapped places 1 time across 61 shared years of data; in 2030 it was Kenya ahead.

Kenya ranks 144th and Syria ranks 143rd of 236 countries.

Across the 7 decades both report, Kenya averaged higher in 6 and Syria in 1.

Head to head by decade

Decade Kenya Syria Difference Ahead
2030s 714.15 deaths per 1,000 people 501.65 deaths per 1,000 people 212.5 deaths per 1,000 people Kenya
2040s 747.71 deaths per 1,000 people 563.52 deaths per 1,000 people 184.19 deaths per 1,000 people Kenya
2050s 812 deaths per 1,000 people 651.48 deaths per 1,000 people 160.52 deaths per 1,000 people Kenya
2060s 892.5 deaths per 1,000 people 747.25 deaths per 1,000 people 145.25 deaths per 1,000 people Kenya
2070s 983.71 deaths per 1,000 people 878.93 deaths per 1,000 people 104.78 deaths per 1,000 people Kenya
2080s 1,076 deaths per 1,000 people 1,048 deaths per 1,000 people 27.81 deaths per 1,000 people Kenya
2090s 1,119 deaths per 1,000 people 1,122 deaths per 1,000 people 3.2 deaths per 1,000 people Syria

Averages of every year both report within each decade.

Frequently asked questions

Which has higher estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates, Kenya or Syria?
Syria, at 1,122 deaths per 1,000 people against 1,119 deaths per 1,000 people in Kenya as of 2090.
What is the difference in estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates between Kenya and Syria?
3 deaths per 1,000 people, with Syria ahead.
How many years of comparable data are there for Kenya and Syria?
61 years are reported by both, from 2030 to 2090.
How do Kenya and Syria rank globally for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates?
Kenya ranks 144th and Syria ranks 143rd of 236 countries.
Where does this data come from?
UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data, published as Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid refreshes it automatically from the source and publishes the full history for both places.

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Kenya vs Syria: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid, drawing on UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Retrieved 02 September 2026, from https://health.statizoid.com/compare/heat-deaths-vs-projected-death-rates/kenya/syrian-arab-republic/

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About this data

Indicator
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates
Unit
deaths per 1,000 people
Source
UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data
Licence
CC BY 4.0 (Our World in Data)
Coverage
236 places, 14,396 data points, 2030–2090
Last refreshed

Number of deaths in a year per 1,000 people in the population. Future projections are based on the UN's medium scenario.