Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Ireland
Ireland: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates was 1,122 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090. ▲ Rising
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Ireland, 2030–2090
Source: UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in deaths per 1,000 people.
Analysis
Ireland recorded 1,122 deaths per 1,000 people for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in 2090.
The figure is up 0.9% on the previous year and down 1.7% over ten years.
Over the whole period, estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Ireland peaked at 1,194 deaths per 1,000 people in 2072 and was at its lowest, 730.8 deaths per 1,000 people, in 2030.
That places Ireland 142nd out of 236 countries with data for 2090, putting it in the middle of the range.
The long-run direction has been consistently rising across the 61 years of available data.
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Ireland, year by year
| Year | deaths per 1,000 people | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2030 | 730.8 deaths per 1,000 people | — |
| 2031 | 739.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2032 | 749.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2033 | 760.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.5% |
| 2034 | 770.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2035 | 782.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.5% |
| 2036 | 793.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.4% |
| 2037 | 804.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.5% |
| 2038 | 816.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.4% |
| 2039 | 828.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.5% |
| 2040 | 839.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.4% |
| 2041 | 850.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2042 | 861.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2043 | 872.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2044 | 883.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2045 | 894.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2046 | 905.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2047 | 917.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2048 | 929.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2049 | 941.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2050 | 952.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2051 | 963.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2052 | 976.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.4% |
| 2053 | 988.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2054 | 999.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2055 | 1,012 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2056 | 1,026 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.4% |
| 2057 | 1,038 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2058 | 1,050 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2059 | 1,064 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2060 | 1,078 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2061 | 1,091 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2062 | 1,104 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2063 | 1,117 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2064 | 1,129 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2065 | 1,140 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2066 | 1,153 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2067 | 1,164 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2068 | 1,172 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2069 | 1,180 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2070 | 1,186 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
| 2071 | 1,192 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
| 2072 | 1,194 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2073 | 1,192 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.2% |
| 2074 | 1,190 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.2% |
| 2075 | 1,187 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.3% |
| 2076 | 1,180 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.6% |
| 2077 | 1,172 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.7% |
| 2078 | 1,163 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.7% |
| 2079 | 1,153 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.9% |
| 2080 | 1,141 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.0% |
| 2081 | 1,132 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.8% |
| 2082 | 1,121 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.9% |
| 2083 | 1,113 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.7% |
| 2084 | 1,106 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.6% |
| 2085 | 1,102 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.4% |
| 2086 | 1,100 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.2% |
| 2087 | 1,102 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2088 | 1,106 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2089 | 1,112 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2090 | 1,122 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
Ireland compared with similar countries
- Ireland's 1,122 deaths per 1,000 people is below the median for high income countries, which is 1,266 deaths per 1,000 people, 89% of the median. (85 countries reporting)
- Ireland's 1,122 deaths per 1,000 people is below the median for Europe & Central Asia, which is 1,269 deaths per 1,000 people, 88% of the median. (56 countries reporting)
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2030s | 777.51 deaths per 1,000 people | 730.8 deaths per 1,000 people | 828.2 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2040s | 889.68 deaths per 1,000 people | 839.4 deaths per 1,000 people | 941.4 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2050s | 1,007 deaths per 1,000 people | 952.8 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,064 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2060s | 1,133 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,078 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,180 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2070s | 1,181 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,153 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,194 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2080s | 1,114 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,100 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,141 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2090s | 1,122 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,122 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,122 deaths per 1,000 people | 1 |
Countries ranked near Ireland
- 139 Papua New Guinea 1,127 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 140 Cambodia 1,125 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 141 Guinea 1,123 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 143 Syria 1,122 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 144 Kenya 1,119 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 145 Nauru 1,118 deaths per 1,000 people compare
More health data for Ireland
- Un projection of annual infant deaths, annual growth rate -4.76 % change on previous year (2100)
- Heat deaths vs projected death rates, annual growth rate 0.89 % change on previous year (2090)
- Number of infants who die before age 1 20 deaths (2100)
- Neonatal tetanus - number of reported cases, gaps filled 0 (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, annual growth rate -0.7228 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, per unit of GDP 0 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, per capita 0.026 units per person (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, annual growth rate -0.6489 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, per unit of GDP 0 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, per capita 0.0274 units per person (2025)
Frequently asked questions
- What is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Ireland?
- Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Ireland was 1,122 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090, according to UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Ireland?
- The highest recorded value was 1,194 deaths per 1,000 people in 2072.
- What is the lowest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Ireland?
- The lowest recorded value was 730.8 deaths per 1,000 people in 2030.
- How does Ireland rank for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates?
- Ireland ranks 142nd out of 236 countries with data for 2090.
- Is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates rising or falling in Ireland?
- Over the last ten years it is down 1.7%. The long-run trend across the full record is rising.
- Where does this Ireland data come from?
- The figures come from UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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About this data
Number of deaths in a year per 1,000 people in the population. Future projections are based on the UN's medium scenario.