Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Ireland

Ireland: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates was 1,122 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090. ▲ Rising

Latest (2090)
1,122 deaths per 1,000 people
Change on year
up 0.9%
World rank
142nd
of 236 countries
All-time high
1,194 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2072
All-time low
730.8 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2030
Years of data
61
2030–2090

Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Ireland, 2030–2090

02505007501.0k1.2k203020602090

Source: UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in deaths per 1,000 people.

Analysis

Ireland recorded 1,122 deaths per 1,000 people for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in 2090.

The figure is up 0.9% on the previous year and down 1.7% over ten years.

Over the whole period, estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Ireland peaked at 1,194 deaths per 1,000 people in 2072 and was at its lowest, 730.8 deaths per 1,000 people, in 2030.

That places Ireland 142nd out of 236 countries with data for 2090, putting it in the middle of the range.

The long-run direction has been consistently rising across the 61 years of available data.

Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Ireland, year by year

Annual values for Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Ireland, 2030 to 2090.
Year deaths per 1,000 people Change
2030 730.8 deaths per 1,000 people —
2031 739.9 deaths per 1,000 people +1.2%
2032 749.1 deaths per 1,000 people +1.2%
2033 760.3 deaths per 1,000 people +1.5%
2034 770.4 deaths per 1,000 people +1.3%
2035 782.1 deaths per 1,000 people +1.5%
2036 793.2 deaths per 1,000 people +1.4%
2037 804.8 deaths per 1,000 people +1.5%
2038 816.3 deaths per 1,000 people +1.4%
2039 828.2 deaths per 1,000 people +1.5%
2040 839.4 deaths per 1,000 people +1.4%
2041 850.3 deaths per 1,000 people +1.3%
2042 861.2 deaths per 1,000 people +1.3%
2043 872.5 deaths per 1,000 people +1.3%
2044 883.7 deaths per 1,000 people +1.3%
2045 894.9 deaths per 1,000 people +1.3%
2046 905.8 deaths per 1,000 people +1.2%
2047 917.8 deaths per 1,000 people +1.3%
2048 929.8 deaths per 1,000 people +1.3%
2049 941.4 deaths per 1,000 people +1.2%
2050 952.8 deaths per 1,000 people +1.2%
2051 963.6 deaths per 1,000 people +1.1%
2052 976.8 deaths per 1,000 people +1.4%
2053 988.1 deaths per 1,000 people +1.2%
2054 999.8 deaths per 1,000 people +1.2%
2055 1,012 deaths per 1,000 people +1.2%
2056 1,026 deaths per 1,000 people +1.4%
2057 1,038 deaths per 1,000 people +1.1%
2058 1,050 deaths per 1,000 people +1.3%
2059 1,064 deaths per 1,000 people +1.3%
2060 1,078 deaths per 1,000 people +1.3%
2061 1,091 deaths per 1,000 people +1.3%
2062 1,104 deaths per 1,000 people +1.2%
2063 1,117 deaths per 1,000 people +1.1%
2064 1,129 deaths per 1,000 people +1.1%
2065 1,140 deaths per 1,000 people +1.0%
2066 1,153 deaths per 1,000 people +1.1%
2067 1,164 deaths per 1,000 people +0.9%
2068 1,172 deaths per 1,000 people +0.7%
2069 1,180 deaths per 1,000 people +0.7%
2070 1,186 deaths per 1,000 people +0.5%
2071 1,192 deaths per 1,000 people +0.5%
2072 1,194 deaths per 1,000 people +0.2%
2073 1,192 deaths per 1,000 people -0.2%
2074 1,190 deaths per 1,000 people -0.2%
2075 1,187 deaths per 1,000 people -0.3%
2076 1,180 deaths per 1,000 people -0.6%
2077 1,172 deaths per 1,000 people -0.7%
2078 1,163 deaths per 1,000 people -0.7%
2079 1,153 deaths per 1,000 people -0.9%
2080 1,141 deaths per 1,000 people -1.0%
2081 1,132 deaths per 1,000 people -0.8%
2082 1,121 deaths per 1,000 people -0.9%
2083 1,113 deaths per 1,000 people -0.7%
2084 1,106 deaths per 1,000 people -0.6%
2085 1,102 deaths per 1,000 people -0.4%
2086 1,100 deaths per 1,000 people -0.2%
2087 1,102 deaths per 1,000 people +0.2%
2088 1,106 deaths per 1,000 people +0.3%
2089 1,112 deaths per 1,000 people +0.6%
2090 1,122 deaths per 1,000 people +0.9%

Ireland compared with similar countries

  • Ireland's 1,122 deaths per 1,000 people is below the median for high income countries, which is 1,266 deaths per 1,000 people, 89% of the median. (85 countries reporting)
  • Ireland's 1,122 deaths per 1,000 people is below the median for Europe & Central Asia, which is 1,269 deaths per 1,000 people, 88% of the median. (56 countries reporting)

Averages by decade

DecadeAverage LowestHighest Years
2030s 777.51 deaths per 1,000 people 730.8 deaths per 1,000 people 828.2 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2040s 889.68 deaths per 1,000 people 839.4 deaths per 1,000 people 941.4 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2050s 1,007 deaths per 1,000 people 952.8 deaths per 1,000 people 1,064 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2060s 1,133 deaths per 1,000 people 1,078 deaths per 1,000 people 1,180 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2070s 1,181 deaths per 1,000 people 1,153 deaths per 1,000 people 1,194 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2080s 1,114 deaths per 1,000 people 1,100 deaths per 1,000 people 1,141 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2090s 1,122 deaths per 1,000 people 1,122 deaths per 1,000 people 1,122 deaths per 1,000 people 1

Countries ranked near Ireland

  1. 139 Papua New Guinea 1,127 deaths per 1,000 people compare
  2. 140 Cambodia 1,125 deaths per 1,000 people compare
  3. 141 Guinea 1,123 deaths per 1,000 people compare
  4. 143 Syria 1,122 deaths per 1,000 people compare
  5. 144 Kenya 1,119 deaths per 1,000 people compare
  6. 145 Nauru 1,118 deaths per 1,000 people compare

See the full ranking of 236 places →

More health data for Ireland

All data for Ireland →

Frequently asked questions

What is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Ireland?
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Ireland was 1,122 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090, according to UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data.
What is the highest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Ireland?
The highest recorded value was 1,194 deaths per 1,000 people in 2072.
What is the lowest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Ireland?
The lowest recorded value was 730.8 deaths per 1,000 people in 2030.
How does Ireland rank for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates?
Ireland ranks 142nd out of 236 countries with data for 2090.
Is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates rising or falling in Ireland?
Over the last ten years it is down 1.7%. The long-run trend across the full record is rising.
Where does this Ireland data come from?
The figures come from UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.

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Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Ireland. Statizoid, drawing on UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Retrieved 06 October 2026, from https://health.statizoid.com/stat/heat-deaths-vs-projected-death-rates/ireland/

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About this data

Indicator
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates
Unit
deaths per 1,000 people
Source
UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data
Licence
CC BY 4.0 (Our World in Data)
Coverage
236 places, 14,396 data points, 2030–2090
Last refreshed

Number of deaths in a year per 1,000 people in the population. Future projections are based on the UN's medium scenario.