Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Estonia
Estonia: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates was 1,416 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090. ▲ Rising
Latest (2090)
1,416 deaths per 1,000 people
Change on year
down 1.0%
World rank
64th
of 236 countries
All-time high
1,593 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2077
All-time low
1,261 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2030
Years of data
61
2030–2090
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Estonia, 2030–2090
Source: UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in deaths per 1,000 people.
Analysis
In 2090, estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Estonia stood at 1,416 deaths per 1,000 people.
That represents a change of down 1.0% on the previous year and down 10.1% over ten years.
Over the whole period, estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Estonia peaked at 1,593 deaths per 1,000 people in 2077 and was at its lowest, 1,261 deaths per 1,000 people, in 2030.
Estonia ranks 64th of 236 countries on this measure, in the middle of the range.
The long-run direction has been consistently rising across the 61 years of available data.
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Estonia, year by year
| Year | deaths per 1,000 people | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2030 | 1,261 deaths per 1,000 people | — |
| 2031 | 1,268 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
| 2032 | 1,273 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2033 | 1,280 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
| 2034 | 1,288 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2035 | 1,296 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2036 | 1,306 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2037 | 1,314 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2038 | 1,324 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2039 | 1,334 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2040 | 1,344 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2041 | 1,355 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2042 | 1,365 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2043 | 1,375 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2044 | 1,384 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2045 | 1,394 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2046 | 1,403 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2047 | 1,409 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2048 | 1,416 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2049 | 1,420 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2050 | 1,424 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2051 | 1,429 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2052 | 1,433 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2053 | 1,435 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2054 | 1,440 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2055 | 1,444 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2056 | 1,450 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2057 | 1,455 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2058 | 1,461 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2059 | 1,468 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
| 2060 | 1,476 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2061 | 1,484 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2062 | 1,491 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
| 2063 | 1,499 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
| 2064 | 1,509 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2065 | 1,518 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2066 | 1,528 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2067 | 1,538 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2068 | 1,548 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2069 | 1,557 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2070 | 1,566 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
| 2071 | 1,572 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2072 | 1,578 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2073 | 1,583 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2074 | 1,587 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2075 | 1,591 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2076 | 1,592 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.1% |
| 2077 | 1,593 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.0% |
| 2078 | 1,589 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.2% |
| 2079 | 1,584 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.3% |
| 2080 | 1,576 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.5% |
| 2081 | 1,566 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.6% |
| 2082 | 1,554 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.8% |
| 2083 | 1,539 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.0% |
| 2084 | 1,522 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.1% |
| 2085 | 1,505 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.1% |
| 2086 | 1,486 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.2% |
| 2087 | 1,467 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.3% |
| 2088 | 1,448 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.2% |
| 2089 | 1,431 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.2% |
| 2090 | 1,416 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.0% |
Estonia compared with similar countries
- Estonia's 1,416 deaths per 1,000 people is above the median for high income countries, which is 1,266 deaths per 1,000 people, 1.1× the median. (85 countries reporting)
- Estonia's 1,416 deaths per 1,000 people is above the median for Europe & Central Asia, which is 1,269 deaths per 1,000 people, 1.1× the median. (56 countries reporting)
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2030s | 1,294 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,261 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,334 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2040s | 1,386 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,344 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,420 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2050s | 1,444 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,424 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,468 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2060s | 1,515 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,476 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,557 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2070s | 1,583 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,566 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,593 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2080s | 1,509 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,431 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,576 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2090s | 1,416 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,416 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,416 deaths per 1,000 people | 1 |
Countries ranked near Estonia
- 61 Aruba 1,424 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 62 Bulgaria 1,422 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 63 Romania 1,419 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 65 Turks and Caicos Islands 1,416 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 66 Belize 1,415 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 67 Italy 1,408 deaths per 1,000 people compare
More health data for Estonia
- Un projection of annual infant deaths, annual growth rate 0 % change on previous year (2100)
- Heat deaths vs projected death rates, annual growth rate -1.02 % change on previous year (2090)
- Number of infants who die before age 1 3 deaths (2100)
- Neonatal tetanus - number of reported cases, gaps filled 0 (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, annual growth rate -6.8 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, per unit of GDP 0 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, per capita 0.021 units per person (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, annual growth rate -6.34 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, per unit of GDP 0 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, per capita 0.0224 units per person (2025)
Frequently asked questions
- What is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Estonia?
- Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Estonia was 1,416 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090, according to UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Estonia?
- The highest recorded value was 1,593 deaths per 1,000 people in 2077.
- What is the lowest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Estonia?
- The lowest recorded value was 1,261 deaths per 1,000 people in 2030.
- How does Estonia rank for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates?
- Estonia ranks 64th out of 236 countries with data for 2090.
- Is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates rising or falling in Estonia?
- Over the last ten years it is down 10.1%. The long-run trend across the full record is rising.
- Where does this Estonia data come from?
- The figures come from UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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About this data
Number of deaths in a year per 1,000 people in the population. Future projections are based on the UN's medium scenario.