Estonia vs Italy: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates

Estonia
1,416 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2090
Italy
1,408 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2090
Estonia rank
64th
Italy rank
67th

Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates over time

  • Estonia
  • Italy
05001.0k1.5k203020602090

How they compare

Estonia currently reports 1,416 deaths per 1,000 people against 1,408 deaths per 1,000 people in Italy, a difference of 8 deaths per 1,000 people.

The two have swapped places 2 times across 61 shared years of data; in 2030 it was Estonia ahead.

Estonia ranks 64th and Italy ranks 67th of 236 countries.

Across the 7 decades both report, Estonia averaged higher in 5 and Italy in 2.

Head to head by decade

Decade Estonia Italy Difference Ahead
2030s 1,294 deaths per 1,000 people 1,229 deaths per 1,000 people 65.42 deaths per 1,000 people Estonia
2040s 1,386 deaths per 1,000 people 1,381 deaths per 1,000 people 5.12 deaths per 1,000 people Estonia
2050s 1,444 deaths per 1,000 people 1,590 deaths per 1,000 people 146.59 deaths per 1,000 people Italy
2060s 1,515 deaths per 1,000 people 1,690 deaths per 1,000 people 174.68 deaths per 1,000 people Italy
2070s 1,583 deaths per 1,000 people 1,551 deaths per 1,000 people 32.26 deaths per 1,000 people Estonia
2080s 1,509 deaths per 1,000 people 1,429 deaths per 1,000 people 80.57 deaths per 1,000 people Estonia
2090s 1,416 deaths per 1,000 people 1,408 deaths per 1,000 people 8.4 deaths per 1,000 people Estonia

Averages of every year both report within each decade.

Frequently asked questions

Which has higher estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates, Estonia or Italy?
Estonia, at 1,416 deaths per 1,000 people against 1,408 deaths per 1,000 people in Italy as of 2090.
What is the difference in estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates between Estonia and Italy?
8 deaths per 1,000 people, with Estonia ahead.
How many years of comparable data are there for Estonia and Italy?
61 years are reported by both, from 2030 to 2090.
How do Estonia and Italy rank globally for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates?
Estonia ranks 64th and Italy ranks 67th of 236 countries.
Where does this data come from?
UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data, published as Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid refreshes it automatically from the source and publishes the full history for both places.

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Estonia vs Italy: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid, drawing on UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Retrieved 02 September 2026, from https://health.statizoid.com/compare/heat-deaths-vs-projected-death-rates/estonia/italy/

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About this data

Indicator
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates
Unit
deaths per 1,000 people
Source
UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data
Licence
CC BY 4.0 (Our World in Data)
Coverage
236 places, 14,396 data points, 2030–2090
Last refreshed

Number of deaths in a year per 1,000 people in the population. Future projections are based on the UN's medium scenario.