Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared in Italy
Italy: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates was 1,408 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090. ▲ Rising
Latest (2090)
1,408 deaths per 1,000 people
Change on year
down 0.1%
World rank
67th
of 236 countries
All-time high
1,705 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2063
All-time low
1,175 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2030
Years of data
61
2030–2090
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Italy, 2030–2090
Source: UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in deaths per 1,000 people.
Analysis
Italy recorded 1,408 deaths per 1,000 people for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in 2090.
Compared with earlier readings it is down 0.1% on the previous year and down 3.8% over ten years.
Over the whole period, estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Italy peaked at 1,705 deaths per 1,000 people in 2063 and was at its lowest, 1,175 deaths per 1,000 people, in 2030.
Italy ranks 67th of 236 countries on this measure, in the middle of the range.
The long-run direction has been consistently rising across the 61 years of available data.
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Italy, year by year
| Year | deaths per 1,000 people | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2030 | 1,175 deaths per 1,000 people | — |
| 2031 | 1,187 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2032 | 1,198 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2033 | 1,208 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2034 | 1,221 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2035 | 1,233 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2036 | 1,247 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2037 | 1,260 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2038 | 1,273 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2039 | 1,288 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2040 | 1,302 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2041 | 1,317 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2042 | 1,333 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2043 | 1,353 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.5% |
| 2044 | 1,369 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2045 | 1,387 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2046 | 1,408 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.5% |
| 2047 | 1,427 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.4% |
| 2048 | 1,448 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.5% |
| 2049 | 1,470 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.5% |
| 2050 | 1,492 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.5% |
| 2051 | 1,515 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.5% |
| 2052 | 1,538 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.5% |
| 2053 | 1,562 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.5% |
| 2054 | 1,583 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.4% |
| 2055 | 1,605 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.4% |
| 2056 | 1,626 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2057 | 1,646 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2058 | 1,662 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2059 | 1,676 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2060 | 1,689 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2061 | 1,699 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2062 | 1,704 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2063 | 1,705 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.0% |
| 2064 | 1,703 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.1% |
| 2065 | 1,700 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.1% |
| 2066 | 1,692 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.5% |
| 2067 | 1,681 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.7% |
| 2068 | 1,669 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.7% |
| 2069 | 1,654 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.9% |
| 2070 | 1,637 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.0% |
| 2071 | 1,616 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.3% |
| 2072 | 1,597 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.2% |
| 2073 | 1,578 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.2% |
| 2074 | 1,558 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.3% |
| 2075 | 1,538 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.3% |
| 2076 | 1,521 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.1% |
| 2077 | 1,503 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.2% |
| 2078 | 1,488 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.0% |
| 2079 | 1,475 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.9% |
| 2080 | 1,463 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.8% |
| 2081 | 1,451 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.8% |
| 2082 | 1,442 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.6% |
| 2083 | 1,434 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.6% |
| 2084 | 1,424 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.6% |
| 2085 | 1,420 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.3% |
| 2086 | 1,416 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.3% |
| 2087 | 1,417 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.0% |
| 2088 | 1,412 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.3% |
| 2089 | 1,410 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.2% |
| 2090 | 1,408 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.1% |
Italy compared with similar countries
- Italy's 1,408 deaths per 1,000 people is above the median for high income countries, which is 1,266 deaths per 1,000 people, 1.1× the median. (85 countries reporting)
- Italy's 1,408 deaths per 1,000 people is above the median for Europe & Central Asia, which is 1,269 deaths per 1,000 people, 1.1× the median. (56 countries reporting)
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2030s | 1,229 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,175 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,288 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2040s | 1,381 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,302 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,470 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2050s | 1,590 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,492 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,676 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2060s | 1,690 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,654 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,705 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2070s | 1,551 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,475 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,637 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2080s | 1,429 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,410 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,463 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2090s | 1,408 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,408 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,408 deaths per 1,000 people | 1 |
Countries ranked near Italy
- 64 Estonia 1,416 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 65 Turks and Caicos Islands 1,416 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 66 Belize 1,415 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 68 Eswatini 1,406 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 69 Sint Maarten (Dutch part) 1,405 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 70 Isle of Man 1,398 deaths per 1,000 people compare
More health data for Italy
- Un projection of annual infant deaths, annual growth rate -2.44 % change on previous year (2100)
- Heat deaths vs projected death rates, annual growth rate -0.1206 % change on previous year (2090)
- Number of infants who die before age 1 80 deaths (2100)
- Neonatal tetanus - number of reported cases, gaps filled 0 (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, annual growth rate -1.23 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, per unit of GDP 0 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, per capita 0.0164 units per person (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, annual growth rate -1.07 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, per unit of GDP 0 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, per capita 0.0174 units per person (2025)
Frequently asked questions
- What is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Italy?
- Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Italy was 1,408 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090, according to UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Italy?
- The highest recorded value was 1,705 deaths per 1,000 people in 2063.
- What is the lowest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Italy?
- The lowest recorded value was 1,175 deaths per 1,000 people in 2030.
- How does Italy rank for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates?
- Italy ranks 67th out of 236 countries with data for 2090.
- Is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates rising or falling in Italy?
- Over the last ten years it is down 3.8%. The long-run trend across the full record is rising.
- Where does this Italy data come from?
- The figures come from UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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About this data
Number of deaths in a year per 1,000 people in the population. Future projections are based on the UN's medium scenario.