Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Aruba

Aruba: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates was 1,424 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090. ▬ Flat

Latest (2090)
1,424 deaths per 1,000 people
Change on year
up 0.7%
World rank
61st
of 236 countries
All-time high
1,493 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2050
All-time low
1,129 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2030
Years of data
61
2030–2090

Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Aruba, 2030–2090

05001.0k1.5k203020602090

Source: UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in deaths per 1,000 people.

Analysis

In 2090, estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Aruba stood at 1,424 deaths per 1,000 people.

That represents a change of up 0.7% on the previous year and up 4.6% over ten years.

Over the whole period, estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Aruba peaked at 1,493 deaths per 1,000 people in 2050 and was at its lowest, 1,129 deaths per 1,000 people, in 2030.

Aruba ranks 61st of 236 countries on this measure, in the middle of the range.

Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Aruba, year by year

Annual values for Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Aruba, 2030 to 2090.
Year deaths per 1,000 people Change
2030 1,129 deaths per 1,000 people
2031 1,156 deaths per 1,000 people +2.5%
2032 1,184 deaths per 1,000 people +2.4%
2033 1,212 deaths per 1,000 people +2.4%
2034 1,240 deaths per 1,000 people +2.3%
2035 1,267 deaths per 1,000 people +2.1%
2036 1,293 deaths per 1,000 people +2.1%
2037 1,318 deaths per 1,000 people +1.9%
2038 1,343 deaths per 1,000 people +1.9%
2039 1,366 deaths per 1,000 people +1.7%
2040 1,388 deaths per 1,000 people +1.6%
2041 1,408 deaths per 1,000 people +1.4%
2042 1,427 deaths per 1,000 people +1.4%
2043 1,443 deaths per 1,000 people +1.1%
2044 1,457 deaths per 1,000 people +1.0%
2045 1,470 deaths per 1,000 people +0.9%
2046 1,479 deaths per 1,000 people +0.6%
2047 1,487 deaths per 1,000 people +0.5%
2048 1,490 deaths per 1,000 people +0.3%
2049 1,493 deaths per 1,000 people +0.2%
2050 1,493 deaths per 1,000 people +0.0%
2051 1,492 deaths per 1,000 people -0.1%
2052 1,489 deaths per 1,000 people -0.2%
2053 1,484 deaths per 1,000 people -0.4%
2054 1,478 deaths per 1,000 people -0.4%
2055 1,471 deaths per 1,000 people -0.5%
2056 1,464 deaths per 1,000 people -0.5%
2057 1,456 deaths per 1,000 people -0.5%
2058 1,447 deaths per 1,000 people -0.6%
2059 1,439 deaths per 1,000 people -0.6%
2060 1,431 deaths per 1,000 people -0.6%
2061 1,423 deaths per 1,000 people -0.6%
2062 1,415 deaths per 1,000 people -0.6%
2063 1,406 deaths per 1,000 people -0.6%
2064 1,400 deaths per 1,000 people -0.4%
2065 1,395 deaths per 1,000 people -0.4%
2066 1,390 deaths per 1,000 people -0.3%
2067 1,386 deaths per 1,000 people -0.3%
2068 1,382 deaths per 1,000 people -0.3%
2069 1,380 deaths per 1,000 people -0.2%
2070 1,376 deaths per 1,000 people -0.3%
2071 1,373 deaths per 1,000 people -0.2%
2072 1,372 deaths per 1,000 people -0.1%
2073 1,369 deaths per 1,000 people -0.2%
2074 1,366 deaths per 1,000 people -0.2%
2075 1,364 deaths per 1,000 people -0.2%
2076 1,363 deaths per 1,000 people -0.1%
2077 1,362 deaths per 1,000 people -0.0%
2078 1,362 deaths per 1,000 people -0.1%
2079 1,361 deaths per 1,000 people -0.1%
2080 1,361 deaths per 1,000 people +0.0%
2081 1,362 deaths per 1,000 people +0.1%
2082 1,365 deaths per 1,000 people +0.2%
2083 1,368 deaths per 1,000 people +0.3%
2084 1,375 deaths per 1,000 people +0.4%
2085 1,380 deaths per 1,000 people +0.4%
2086 1,388 deaths per 1,000 people +0.5%
2087 1,396 deaths per 1,000 people +0.6%
2088 1,404 deaths per 1,000 people +0.6%
2089 1,413 deaths per 1,000 people +0.6%
2090 1,424 deaths per 1,000 people +0.7%

Aruba compared with similar countries

  • Aruba's 1,424 deaths per 1,000 people is above the median for high income countries, which is 1,266 deaths per 1,000 people, 1.1× the median. (85 countries reporting)
  • Aruba's 1,424 deaths per 1,000 people is above the median for Latin America & Caribbean, which is 1,420 deaths per 1,000 people, 1.0× the median. (42 countries reporting)

Averages by decade

DecadeAverage LowestHighest Years
2030s 1,251 deaths per 1,000 people 1,129 deaths per 1,000 people 1,366 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2040s 1,454 deaths per 1,000 people 1,388 deaths per 1,000 people 1,493 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2050s 1,471 deaths per 1,000 people 1,439 deaths per 1,000 people 1,493 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2060s 1,401 deaths per 1,000 people 1,380 deaths per 1,000 people 1,431 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2070s 1,367 deaths per 1,000 people 1,361 deaths per 1,000 people 1,376 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2080s 1,381 deaths per 1,000 people 1,361 deaths per 1,000 people 1,413 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2090s 1,424 deaths per 1,000 people 1,424 deaths per 1,000 people 1,424 deaths per 1,000 people 1

Countries ranked near Aruba

  1. 58 Greenland 1,447 deaths per 1,000 people compare
  2. 59 Bonaire Sint Eustatius and Saba 1,446 deaths per 1,000 people compare
  3. 60 Slovakia 1,433 deaths per 1,000 people compare
  4. 62 Bulgaria 1,422 deaths per 1,000 people compare
  5. 63 Romania 1,419 deaths per 1,000 people compare
  6. 64 Estonia 1,416 deaths per 1,000 people compare

See the full ranking of 236 places →

More health data for Aruba

All data for Aruba →

Frequently asked questions

What is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Aruba?
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Aruba was 1,424 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090, according to UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data.
What is the highest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Aruba?
The highest recorded value was 1,493 deaths per 1,000 people in 2050.
What is the lowest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Aruba?
The lowest recorded value was 1,129 deaths per 1,000 people in 2030.
How does Aruba rank for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates?
Aruba ranks 61st out of 236 countries with data for 2090.
Is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates rising or falling in Aruba?
Over the last ten years it is up 4.6%. The long-run trend across the full record is flat.
Where does this Aruba data come from?
The figures come from UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.

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Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Aruba. Statizoid, drawing on UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Retrieved 22 September 2026, from https://health.statizoid.com/stat/heat-deaths-vs-projected-death-rates/aruba/

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About this data

Indicator
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates
Unit
deaths per 1,000 people
Source
UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data
Licence
CC BY 4.0 (Our World in Data)
Coverage
236 places, 14,396 data points, 2030–2090
Last refreshed

Number of deaths in a year per 1,000 people in the population. Future projections are based on the UN's medium scenario.