Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared in Bulgaria
Bulgaria: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates was 1,422 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090. ▼ Falling
Latest (2090)
1,422 deaths per 1,000 people
Change on year
down 0.6%
World rank
62nd
of 236 countries
All-time high
1,727 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2066
All-time low
1,422 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2090
Years of data
61
2030–2090
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Bulgaria, 2030–2090
Source: UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in deaths per 1,000 people.
Analysis
The most recent figure for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Bulgaria is 1,422 deaths per 1,000 people, measured in 2090. That is the lowest value across all 61 years on record.
The figure is down 0.6% on the previous year and down 10.2% over ten years.
Over the whole period, estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Bulgaria peaked at 1,727 deaths per 1,000 people in 2066 and was at its lowest, 1,422 deaths per 1,000 people, in 2090.
That places Bulgaria 62nd out of 236 countries with data for 2090, putting it in the middle of the range.
The long-run direction has been consistently falling across the 61 years of available data.
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Bulgaria, year by year
| Year | deaths per 1,000 people | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2030 | 1,566 deaths per 1,000 people | — |
| 2031 | 1,575 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2032 | 1,584 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
| 2033 | 1,593 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2034 | 1,602 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2035 | 1,610 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
| 2036 | 1,618 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2037 | 1,625 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2038 | 1,630 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2039 | 1,634 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2040 | 1,637 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2041 | 1,640 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2042 | 1,641 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.1% |
| 2043 | 1,642 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.1% |
| 2044 | 1,642 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.0% |
| 2045 | 1,642 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.0% |
| 2046 | 1,642 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.0% |
| 2047 | 1,642 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.0% |
| 2048 | 1,642 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.0% |
| 2049 | 1,644 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.1% |
| 2050 | 1,645 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.1% |
| 2051 | 1,648 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2052 | 1,651 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2053 | 1,655 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2054 | 1,660 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2055 | 1,666 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2056 | 1,671 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2057 | 1,677 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2058 | 1,684 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2059 | 1,692 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
| 2060 | 1,700 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2061 | 1,707 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2062 | 1,713 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2063 | 1,717 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2064 | 1,722 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2065 | 1,725 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2066 | 1,727 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.1% |
| 2067 | 1,726 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.0% |
| 2068 | 1,724 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.1% |
| 2069 | 1,720 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.2% |
| 2070 | 1,713 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.4% |
| 2071 | 1,706 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.4% |
| 2072 | 1,699 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.4% |
| 2073 | 1,688 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.6% |
| 2074 | 1,676 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.7% |
| 2075 | 1,665 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.7% |
| 2076 | 1,649 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.9% |
| 2077 | 1,633 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.9% |
| 2078 | 1,617 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.0% |
| 2079 | 1,600 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.0% |
| 2080 | 1,584 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.0% |
| 2081 | 1,566 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.1% |
| 2082 | 1,547 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.2% |
| 2083 | 1,528 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.3% |
| 2084 | 1,508 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.3% |
| 2085 | 1,490 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.2% |
| 2086 | 1,472 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.2% |
| 2087 | 1,456 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.1% |
| 2088 | 1,442 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.9% |
| 2089 | 1,431 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.8% |
| 2090 | 1,422 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.6% |
Bulgaria compared with similar countries
- Bulgaria's 1,422 deaths per 1,000 people is above the median for high income countries, which is 1,266 deaths per 1,000 people, 1.1× the median. (85 countries reporting)
- Bulgaria's 1,422 deaths per 1,000 people is above the median for Europe & Central Asia, which is 1,269 deaths per 1,000 people, 1.1× the median. (56 countries reporting)
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2030s | 1,604 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,566 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,634 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2040s | 1,641 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,637 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,644 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2050s | 1,665 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,645 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,692 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2060s | 1,718 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,700 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,727 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2070s | 1,665 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,600 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,713 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2080s | 1,502 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,431 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,584 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2090s | 1,422 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,422 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,422 deaths per 1,000 people | 1 |
Countries ranked near Bulgaria
- 59 Bonaire Sint Eustatius and Saba 1,446 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 60 Slovakia 1,433 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 61 Aruba 1,424 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 63 Romania 1,419 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 64 Estonia 1,416 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 65 Turks and Caicos Islands 1,416 deaths per 1,000 people compare
More health data for Bulgaria
- Un projection of annual infant deaths, annual growth rate -2.5 % change on previous year (2100)
- Heat deaths vs projected death rates, annual growth rate -0.615 % change on previous year (2090)
- Number of infants who die before age 1 39 deaths (2100)
- Neonatal tetanus - number of reported cases, gaps filled 0 (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, annual growth rate 0.2564 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, per unit of GDP 0 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, per capita 0.0222 units per person (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, annual growth rate 0.3643 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, per unit of GDP 0 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, per capita 0.0235 units per person (2025)
Frequently asked questions
- What is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Bulgaria?
- Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Bulgaria was 1,422 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090, according to UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Bulgaria?
- The highest recorded value was 1,727 deaths per 1,000 people in 2066.
- What is the lowest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Bulgaria?
- The lowest recorded value was 1,422 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090.
- How does Bulgaria rank for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates?
- Bulgaria ranks 62nd out of 236 countries with data for 2090.
- Is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates rising or falling in Bulgaria?
- Over the last ten years it is down 10.2%. The long-run trend across the full record is falling.
- Where does this Bulgaria data come from?
- The figures come from UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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About this data
Number of deaths in a year per 1,000 people in the population. Future projections are based on the UN's medium scenario.