Bulgaria vs Estonia: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates

Bulgaria
1,422 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2090
Estonia
1,416 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2090
Bulgaria rank
62nd
Estonia rank
64th

Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates over time

  • Bulgaria
  • Estonia
05001.0k1.5k203020602090

How they compare

Bulgaria currently reports 1,422 deaths per 1,000 people against 1,416 deaths per 1,000 people in Estonia, a difference of 6 deaths per 1,000 people.

The two have swapped places 2 times across 61 shared years of data; in 2030 it was Bulgaria ahead.

Bulgaria ranks 62nd and Estonia ranks 64th of 236 countries.

Across the 7 decades both report, Bulgaria averaged higher in 6 and Estonia in 1.

Head to head by decade

Decade Bulgaria Estonia Difference Ahead
2030s 1,604 deaths per 1,000 people 1,294 deaths per 1,000 people 309.15 deaths per 1,000 people Bulgaria
2040s 1,641 deaths per 1,000 people 1,386 deaths per 1,000 people 255.01 deaths per 1,000 people Bulgaria
2050s 1,665 deaths per 1,000 people 1,444 deaths per 1,000 people 221.11 deaths per 1,000 people Bulgaria
2060s 1,718 deaths per 1,000 people 1,515 deaths per 1,000 people 203.25 deaths per 1,000 people Bulgaria
2070s 1,665 deaths per 1,000 people 1,583 deaths per 1,000 people 81.26 deaths per 1,000 people Bulgaria
2080s 1,502 deaths per 1,000 people 1,509 deaths per 1,000 people 7.08 deaths per 1,000 people Estonia
2090s 1,422 deaths per 1,000 people 1,416 deaths per 1,000 people 5.8 deaths per 1,000 people Bulgaria

Averages of every year both report within each decade.

Frequently asked questions

Which has higher estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates, Bulgaria or Estonia?
Bulgaria, at 1,422 deaths per 1,000 people against 1,416 deaths per 1,000 people in Estonia as of 2090.
What is the difference in estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates between Bulgaria and Estonia?
6 deaths per 1,000 people, with Bulgaria ahead.
How many years of comparable data are there for Bulgaria and Estonia?
61 years are reported by both, from 2030 to 2090.
How do Bulgaria and Estonia rank globally for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates?
Bulgaria ranks 62nd and Estonia ranks 64th of 236 countries.
Where does this data come from?
UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data, published as Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid refreshes it automatically from the source and publishes the full history for both places.

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Bulgaria vs Estonia: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid, drawing on UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Retrieved 01 September 2026, from https://health.statizoid.com/compare/heat-deaths-vs-projected-death-rates/bulgaria/estonia/

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About this data

Indicator
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates
Unit
deaths per 1,000 people
Source
UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data
Licence
CC BY 4.0 (Our World in Data)
Coverage
236 places, 14,396 data points, 2030–2090
Last refreshed

Number of deaths in a year per 1,000 people in the population. Future projections are based on the UN's medium scenario.