Expected chances of death from non-communicable diseases, by gender by country
The estimated share of 30-year-olds who would die before their 70th birthday from common non-communicable diseases: any of cardiovascular disease, cancer, diabetes, or chronic respiratory disease.
Countries reporting
182
Highest
51.1%
Kiribati
Lowest
8.9%
Israel
Median
21.1%
Years covered
22
2000–2021
Data points
4,070
What the numbers show
Expected chances of death from non-communicable diseases, by gender is currently reported for 182 countries. The highest value is 51.1% in Kiribati; the lowest is 8.9% in Israel.
The median across all reporting countries is 21.1%, and the mean is 21.7%.
The gap between the highest and lowest reporting country is a factor of about 6.
Over the past decade 28 countries rose and 153 fell. The largest increase was in United Arab Emirates (up 46.1%), and the largest decrease in Maldives (down 54.3%).
Expected chances of death from non-communicable diseases, by gender: full country ranking
| # | Country | Latest | Year | 10-year change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kiribati | 51.1% | 2021 | up 1.6% | flat |
| 2 | Micronesia (country) | 46.2% | 2021 | up 1.8% | flat |
| 3 | Solomon Islands | 44.7% | 2021 | up 2.8% | rising |
| 4 | Vanuatu | 43.1% | 2021 | down 2.9% | falling |
| 5 | Fiji | 40.8% | 2021 | down 9.1% | falling |
| 6 | Lesotho | 40.0% | 2021 | up 1.5% | rising |
| 7 | Philippines | 38.7% | 2021 | up 18.7% | rising |
| 8 | Eswatini | 37.6% | 2021 | down 0.8% | rising |
| 9 | Belarus | 36.4% | 2021 | down 19.1% | falling |
| 10 | Central African Republic | 35.5% | 2021 | down 13.2% | falling |
| 11 | Ukraine | 34.5% | 2021 | down 12.2% | falling |
| 12 | Moldova | 34.3% | 2021 | down 8.5% | falling |
| 13 | Samoa | 34.1% | 2021 | up 3.0% | flat |
| 14 | Mongolia | 33.9% | 2021 | down 21.7% | falling |
| 15 | Bulgaria | 33.8% | 2021 | unchanged | falling |
| 16 | Mozambique | 33.5% | 2021 | down 7.5% | rising |
| 17 | Latvia | 33.3% | 2021 | down 8.5% | falling |
| 18 | Georgia | 32.9% | 2021 | down 8.9% | falling |
| 19 | Russia | 31.8% | 2021 | down 23.2% | falling |
| 20 | Afghanistan | 31.5% | 2021 | down 17.8% | falling |
| 21 | Turkmenistan | 31.2% | 2021 | down 5.5% | falling |
| 22 | Tonga | 31.0% | 2021 | down 1.0% | falling |
| 23 | Egypt | 30.8% | 2021 | down 12.0% | falling |
| 24 | Zimbabwe | 30.1% | 2021 | down 6.5% | rising |
| 25 | Armenia | 30.0% | 2021 | down 8.5% | falling |
| 26 | Laos | 29.9% | 2021 | down 8.3% | falling |
| 27 | Eritrea | 29.4% | 2021 | down 11.4% | falling |
| 28 | Haiti | 29.2% | 2021 | down 2.0% | rising |
| 29 | Lithuania | 29.1% | 2021 | down 16.9% | falling |
| 30 | Hungary | 29.0% | 2021 | down 12.7% | falling |
| 30 | Romania | 29.0% | 2021 | down 3.0% | falling |
| 32 | North Korea | 28.5% | 2021 | down 12.3% | rising |
| 33 | Papua New Guinea | 28.4% | 2021 | down 3.7% | flat |
| 33 | Uzbekistan | 28.4% | 2021 | down 32.9% | falling |
| 35 | Guinea-Bissau | 28.2% | 2021 | down 7.5% | falling |
| 36 | Somalia | 28.1% | 2021 | down 14.6% | falling |
| 37 | Kazakhstan | 28.0% | 2021 | down 32.2% | falling |
| 37 | Yemen | 28.0% | 2021 | down 4.4% | falling |
| 39 | Togo | 27.9% | 2021 | down 12.0% | falling |
| 40 | Vietnam | 27.7% | 2021 | down 7.4% | flat |
| 41 | Myanmar | 27.6% | 2021 | down 10.7% | falling |
| 42 | Malawi | 27.4% | 2021 | up 4.2% | rising |
| 43 | Guyana | 27.1% | 2021 | down 15.8% | falling |
| 44 | Mauritius | 27.0% | 2021 | down 7.5% | falling |
| 45 | Angola | 26.9% | 2021 | down 1.1% | falling |
| 46 | Iraq | 26.5% | 2021 | down 7.3% | falling |
| 47 | Democratic Republic of Congo | 26.4% | 2021 | down 2.6% | falling |
| 47 | Serbia | 26.4% | 2021 | down 10.8% | falling |
| 49 | Cambodia | 26.3% | 2021 | down 9.3% | falling |
| 50 | Burundi | 26.2% | 2021 | up 3.1% | falling |
| 50 | Saint Vincent and the Grenadines | 26.2% | 2021 | up 20.2% | rising |
| 52 | Madagascar | 26.1% | 2021 | down 9.4% | falling |
| 53 | Pakistan | 26.0% | 2021 | down 11.9% | falling |
| 53 | Zambia | 26.0% | 2021 | down 4.1% | falling |
| 55 | Burkina Faso | 25.9% | 2021 | down 10.4% | falling |
| 56 | South Sudan | 25.5% | 2021 | up 33.5% | rising |
| 57 | Cameroon | 25.3% | 2021 | down 15.7% | falling |
| 57 | Syria | 25.3% | 2021 | down 1.6% | falling |
| 59 | Kyrgyzstan | 25.0% | 2021 | down 32.4% | falling |
| 59 | Uganda | 25.0% | 2021 | down 10.4% | falling |
| 61 | Ghana | 24.9% | 2021 | down 12.9% | flat |
| 62 | Namibia | 24.6% | 2021 | down 9.6% | falling |
| 63 | North Macedonia | 24.3% | 2021 | down 13.5% | falling |
| 64 | India | 24.1% | 2021 | down 9.4% | flat |
| 65 | Cote d'Ivoire | 23.9% | 2021 | down 14.3% | flat |
| 65 | Chad | 23.9% | 2021 | down 12.5% | falling |
| 67 | Malaysia | 23.6% | 2021 | up 6.3% | falling |
| 67 | Trinidad and Tobago | 23.6% | 2021 | down 0.4% | falling |
| 69 | Bahamas | 23.2% | 2021 | down 6.5% | falling |
| 70 | Cape Verde | 23.1% | 2021 | up 35.9% | rising |
| 70 | Poland | 23.1% | 2021 | down 16.0% | falling |
| 72 | Sierra Leone | 23.0% | 2021 | down 11.5% | falling |
| 73 | Guinea | 22.9% | 2021 | down 15.8% | flat |
| 73 | Montenegro | 22.9% | 2021 | down 17.0% | falling |
| 75 | Indonesia | 22.8% | 2021 | down 19.1% | flat |
| 76 | Benin | 22.7% | 2021 | down 10.3% | falling |
| 76 | Slovakia | 22.7% | 2021 | down 16.8% | falling |
| 78 | Estonia | 22.6% | 2021 | down 21.3% | falling |
| 78 | Jamaica | 22.6% | 2021 | up 13.6% | rising |
| 78 | Morocco | 22.6% | 2021 | down 2.6% | flat |
| 81 | Gambia | 22.5% | 2021 | down 11.4% | falling |
| 81 | Venezuela | 22.5% | 2021 | up 15.4% | rising |
| 83 | Palestine | 22.3% | 2021 | down 16.2% | falling |
| 84 | Djibouti | 22.1% | 2021 | up 1.8% | flat |
| 85 | Rwanda | 21.9% | 2021 | down 4.8% | falling |
| 86 | Bosnia and Herzegovina | 21.7% | 2021 | down 14.9% | falling |
| 87 | Cuba | 21.5% | 2021 | up 14.4% | flat |
| 88 | Congo | 21.4% | 2021 | down 13.4% | falling |
| 88 | Libya | 21.4% | 2021 | down 1.8% | flat |
| 88 | Senegal | 21.4% | 2021 | down 9.3% | falling |
| 91 | Croatia | 21.2% | 2021 | down 13.5% | falling |
| 92 | Uruguay | 21.1% | 2021 | down 9.1% | falling |
| 93 | Bolivia | 21.0% | 2021 | up 23.5% | flat |
| 94 | Equatorial Guinea | 20.9% | 2021 | up 7.7% | falling |
| 95 | East Timor | 20.7% | 2021 | down 8.0% | rising |
| 95 | Turkey | 20.7% | 2021 | down 14.1% | falling |
| 97 | Dominican Republic | 20.6% | 2021 | up 8.4% | rising |
| 98 | Gabon | 20.4% | 2021 | down 24.4% | falling |
| 98 | Mali | 20.4% | 2021 | down 10.9% | rising |
| 100 | Liberia | 20.3% | 2021 | down 11.7% | flat |
| 101 | Tanzania | 20.2% | 2021 | up 10.4% | falling |
| 102 | China | 20.1% | 2021 | down 16.6% | falling |
| 102 | Sudan | 20.1% | 2021 | down 18.3% | falling |
| 102 | South Africa | 20.1% | 2021 | down 27.2% | falling |
| 105 | Azerbaijan | 20.0% | 2021 | down 40.5% | falling |
| 105 | Sao Tome and Principe | 20.0% | 2021 | up 1.0% | flat |
| 107 | Comoros | 19.9% | 2021 | down 7.0% | falling |
| 108 | Bangladesh | 19.8% | 2021 | down 15.7% | falling |
| 109 | Nepal | 19.6% | 2021 | down 2.5% | rising |
| 110 | Mexico | 19.1% | 2021 | up 9.1% | flat |
| 111 | Tajikistan | 18.9% | 2021 | down 32.5% | falling |
| 112 | Suriname | 18.8% | 2021 | down 21.7% | falling |
| 113 | Czechia | 18.7% | 2021 | down 19.7% | falling |
| 113 | Niger | 18.7% | 2021 | down 7.0% | flat |
| 115 | Honduras | 18.6% | 2021 | up 12.7% | rising |
| 115 | Paraguay | 18.6% | 2021 | down 5.6% | flat |
| 117 | Nigeria | 18.5% | 2021 | down 4.1% | falling |
| 118 | Kenya | 18.3% | 2021 | down 1.6% | rising |
| 119 | Grenada | 17.8% | 2021 | down 26.4% | falling |
| 119 | Seychelles | 17.8% | 2021 | down 32.1% | falling |
| 121 | Botswana | 17.6% | 2021 | down 36.7% | falling |
| 121 | Thailand | 17.6% | 2021 | down 2.8% | falling |
| 123 | Sri Lanka | 17.4% | 2021 | down 26.3% | falling |
| 124 | Brazil | 17.3% | 2021 | down 16.0% | falling |
| 125 | Bhutan | 17.1% | 2021 | down 10.0% | falling |
| 126 | Brunei | 16.6% | 2021 | down 2.4% | falling |
| 127 | Ethiopia | 16.4% | 2021 | down 11.4% | falling |
| 127 | Greece | 16.4% | 2021 | down 7.9% | falling |
| 127 | United States | 16.4% | 2021 | down 4.7% | falling |
| 130 | Argentina | 16.1% | 2021 | down 24.8% | falling |
| 130 | Mauritania | 16.1% | 2021 | up 5.9% | flat |
| 132 | Barbados | 15.5% | 2021 | down 16.7% | falling |
| 133 | Oman | 15.4% | 2021 | down 46.5% | falling |
| 134 | Saint Lucia | 15.2% | 2021 | down 20.8% | falling |
| 134 | El Salvador | 15.2% | 2021 | up 9.4% | rising |
| 136 | Iran | 15.0% | 2021 | down 16.2% | falling |
| 136 | Lebanon | 15.0% | 2021 | down 14.3% | falling |
| 136 | Slovenia | 15.0% | 2021 | down 14.8% | falling |
| 139 | Portugal | 14.8% | 2021 | down 12.4% | falling |
| 140 | Germany | 14.7% | 2021 | down 9.3% | falling |
| 140 | Ecuador | 14.7% | 2021 | up 5.0% | falling |
| 140 | Tunisia | 14.7% | 2021 | down 25.0% | falling |
| 143 | Bahrain | 14.2% | 2021 | down 28.6% | falling |
| 144 | Belize | 14.0% | 2021 | down 22.7% | falling |
| 145 | Saudi Arabia | 13.9% | 2021 | down 4.1% | falling |
| 146 | Algeria | 13.8% | 2021 | down 14.8% | falling |
| 147 | France | 13.3% | 2021 | down 14.7% | falling |
| 147 | Nicaragua | 13.3% | 2021 | down 9.5% | falling |
| 147 | Singapore | 13.3% | 2021 | down 2.9% | falling |
| 150 | Puerto Rico | 13.1% | 2021 | down 16.0% | falling |
| 151 | United Arab Emirates | 13.0% | 2021 | up 46.1% | rising |
| 151 | United Kingdom | 13.0% | 2021 | down 8.5% | falling |
| 153 | Albania | 12.9% | 2021 | down 30.6% | falling |
| 154 | Antigua and Barbuda | 12.8% | 2021 | down 34.7% | falling |
| 155 | Austria | 12.5% | 2021 | down 20.9% | falling |
| 155 | Finland | 12.5% | 2021 | down 18.8% | falling |
| 155 | Panama | 12.5% | 2021 | down 5.3% | falling |
| 158 | Denmark | 12.4% | 2021 | down 17.3% | falling |
| 158 | Spain | 12.4% | 2021 | down 17.9% | falling |
| 158 | Guatemala | 12.4% | 2021 | down 12.7% | rising |
| 158 | Jordan | 12.4% | 2021 | down 34.0% | falling |
| 162 | New Zealand | 12.3% | 2021 | down 8.9% | falling |
| 164 | Canada | 11.7% | 2021 | down 9.3% | falling |
| 164 | Peru | 11.7% | 2021 | up 21.9% | rising |
| 164 | Qatar | 11.7% | 2021 | down 38.1% | falling |
| 167 | Kuwait | 11.6% | 2021 | down 10.8% | falling |
| 168 | Colombia | 11.5% | 2021 | down 0.9% | falling |
| 169 | Costa Rica | 11.4% | 2021 | down 4.2% | falling |
| 170 | Chile | 11.2% | 2021 | down 25.3% | falling |
| 170 | Italy | 11.2% | 2021 | down 17.0% | falling |
| 173 | Cyprus | 11.1% | 2021 | down 16.5% | falling |
| 174 | Belgium | 11.0% | 2021 | down 30.4% | falling |
| 174 | Netherlands | 11.0% | 2021 | down 20.9% | falling |
| 176 | Japan | 10.6% | 2021 | down 17.2% | falling |
| 176 | Maldives | 10.6% | 2021 | down 54.3% | falling |
| 178 | Australia | 10.1% | 2021 | down 15.1% | falling |
| 180 | South Korea | 9.6% | 2021 | down 33.3% | falling |
| 181 | Iceland | 9.4% | 2021 | down 17.5% | falling |
| 182 | Switzerland | 9.3% | 2021 | down 19.8% | falling |
| 183 | Sweden | 9.2% | 2021 | down 23.3% | falling |
| 184 | Norway | 9.0% | 2021 | down 29.7% | falling |
| 185 | Israel | 8.9% | 2021 | down 28.2% | falling |
About this data
The estimated share of 30-year-olds who would die before their 70th birthday from common non-communicable diseases: any of cardiovascular disease, cancer, diabetes, or chronic respiratory disease.