Expected chances of death from non-communicable diseases, by gender in Bulgaria
Bulgaria: Expected chances of death from non-communicable diseases, by gender was 33.8% in 2021. ▼ Falling
Expected chances of death from non-communicable diseases, by gender in Bulgaria, 2000–2021
Source: World Health Organization – Global Health Observatory (2026) – with minor processing by Our World in Data. Measured in %.
Analysis
Bulgaria recorded 33.8% for expected chances of death from non-communicable diseases, by gender in 2021.
Compared with earlier readings it is up 1.5% on the previous year and unchanged over ten years.
Over the whole period, expected chances of death from non-communicable diseases, by gender in Bulgaria peaked at 37.0% in 2003 and was at its lowest, 32.2%, in 2019.
Bulgaria ranks 15th of 185 countries on this measure, in the top 10%.
The long-run direction has been consistently falling across the 22 years of available data.
Expected chances of death from non-communicable diseases, by gender in Bulgaria, year by year
| Year | % | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 36.9% | — |
| 2001 | 36.7% | -0.5% |
| 2002 | 36.5% | -0.5% |
| 2003 | 37.0% | +1.4% |
| 2004 | 36.6% | -1.1% |
| 2005 | 36.9% | +0.8% |
| 2006 | 36.7% | -0.5% |
| 2007 | 35.7% | -2.7% |
| 2008 | 34.5% | -3.4% |
| 2009 | 34.9% | +1.2% |
| 2010 | 34.5% | -1.1% |
| 2011 | 33.8% | -2.0% |
| 2012 | 32.7% | -3.3% |
| 2013 | 32.5% | -0.6% |
| 2014 | 33.2% | +2.2% |
| 2015 | 32.8% | -1.2% |
| 2016 | 32.8% | +0.0% |
| 2017 | 32.7% | -0.3% |
| 2018 | 32.5% | -0.6% |
| 2019 | 32.2% | -0.9% |
| 2020 | 33.3% | +3.4% |
| 2021 | 33.8% | +1.5% |
Bulgaria compared with similar countries
- Bulgaria's 33.8% is above the median for high income countries, which is 13.1%, 2.6× the median. (58 countries reporting)
- Bulgaria's 33.8% is above the median for Europe & Central Asia, which is 20.4%, 1.7× the median. (48 countries reporting)
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000s | 36.2% | 34.5% | 37.0% | 10 |
| 2010s | 33.0% | 32.2% | 34.5% | 10 |
| 2020s | 33.5% | 33.3% | 33.8% | 2 |
Countries ranked near Bulgaria
More health data for Bulgaria
- Un projection of annual infant deaths, annual growth rate -2.5 % change on previous year (2100)
- Heat deaths vs projected death rates, annual growth rate -0.615 % change on previous year (2090)
- Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates 1,422 deaths per 1,000 people (2090)
- Number of infants who die before age 1 39 deaths (2100)
- Neonatal tetanus - number of reported cases, gaps filled 0 (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, annual growth rate 0.2564 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, per unit of GDP 0 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, per capita 0.0222 units per person (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, annual growth rate 0.3643 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, per unit of GDP 0 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
Frequently asked questions
- What is expected chances of death from non-communicable diseases, by gender in Bulgaria?
- Expected chances of death from non-communicable diseases, by gender in Bulgaria was 33.8% in 2021, according to World Health Organization – Global Health Observatory (2026) – with minor processing by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest expected chances of death from non-communicable diseases, by gender recorded in Bulgaria?
- The highest recorded value was 37.0% in 2003.
- What is the lowest expected chances of death from non-communicable diseases, by gender recorded in Bulgaria?
- The lowest recorded value was 32.2% in 2019.
- How does Bulgaria rank for expected chances of death from non-communicable diseases, by gender?
- Bulgaria ranks 15th out of 185 countries with data for 2021.
- Is expected chances of death from non-communicable diseases, by gender rising or falling in Bulgaria?
- Over the last ten years it is unchanged. The long-run trend across the full record is falling.
- Where does this Bulgaria data come from?
- The figures come from World Health Organization – Global Health Observatory (2026) – with minor processing by Our World in Data, published as part of Expected chances of death from non-communicable diseases, by gender. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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About this data
The estimated share of 30-year-olds who would die before their 70th birthday from common non-communicable diseases: any of cardiovascular disease, cancer, diabetes, or chronic respiratory disease.