Expected chances of death from non-communicable diseases, by gender in China
China: Expected chances of death from non-communicable diseases, by gender was 20.1% in 2021. ▼ Falling
Expected chances of death from non-communicable diseases, by gender in China, 2000–2021
Source: World Health Organization - Global Health Observatory (2026) – with minor processing by Our World in Data. Measured in %.
Analysis
China recorded 20.1% for expected chances of death from non-communicable diseases, by gender in 2021. That is the lowest value across all 22 years on record.
That represents a change of down 2.0% on the previous year and down 16.6% over ten years.
Over the whole period, expected chances of death from non-communicable diseases, by gender in China peaked at 28.3% in 2000 and was at its lowest, 20.1%, in 2021.
China ranks 102nd of 185 countries on this measure, in the middle of the range.
The long-run direction has been consistently falling across the 22 years of available data.
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000s | 26.6% | 24.5% | 28.3% | 10 |
| 2010s | 22.4% | 20.4% | 24.4% | 10 |
| 2020s | 20.3% | 20.1% | 20.5% | 2 |
Countries ranked near China
- 100 Liberia 20.3% compare
- 101 Tanzania 20.2% compare
- 102 South Africa 20.1% compare
- 102 Sudan 20.1% compare
- 105 Azerbaijan 20.0% compare
- 105 Sao Tome and Principe 20.0% compare
More health data for China
- Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates 2,029 deaths per 1,000 people (2090)
- Number of infants who die before age 1 4,642 deaths (2100)
- Deaths in armed conflicts based on where they occurred 0 deaths (2026)
- Deaths in armed conflicts by region 0 deaths (2026)
- Age population, age 25, male, interpolated 8.74 million (2025)
- Age population, age 25, female, interpolated 7.51 million (2025)
- Age population, age 24, male, interpolated 8.70 million (2025)
- Age population, age 24, female, interpolated 7.46 million (2025)
- Age population, age 23, male, interpolated 8.44 million (2025)
- Age population, age 23, female, interpolated 7.21 million (2025)
Frequently asked questions
- What is expected chances of death from non-communicable diseases, by gender in China?
- Expected chances of death from non-communicable diseases, by gender in China was 20.1% in 2021, according to World Health Organization - Global Health Observatory (2026) – with minor processing by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest expected chances of death from non-communicable diseases, by gender recorded in China?
- The highest recorded value was 28.3% in 2000.
- What is the lowest expected chances of death from non-communicable diseases, by gender recorded in China?
- The lowest recorded value was 20.1% in 2021.
- How does China rank for expected chances of death from non-communicable diseases, by gender?
- China ranks 102nd out of 185 countries with data for 2021.
- Is expected chances of death from non-communicable diseases, by gender rising or falling in China?
- Over the last ten years it is down 16.6%. The long-run trend across the full record is falling.
- Where does this China data come from?
- The figures come from World Health Organization - Global Health Observatory (2026) – with minor processing by Our World in Data, published as part of Expected chances of death from non-communicable diseases, by gender. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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About this data
The estimated share of 30-year-olds who would die before their 70th birthday from common non-communicable diseases: any of cardiovascular disease, cancer, diabetes, or chronic respiratory disease.