Heat deaths vs projected death rates, annual growth rate by country
The year-on-year percentage change in Heat deaths vs projected death rates. Computed from consecutive annual observations; years either side of a gap are skipped rather than bridged.
Countries reporting
236
Highest
3.09 % change on previous year
Marshall Islands
Lowest
-2.69 % change on previous year
Maldives
Median
0.4468 % change on previous year
Years covered
60
2031–2090
Data points
14,160
What the numbers show
Heat deaths vs projected death rates, annual growth rate is currently reported for 236 countries. The highest value is 3.09 % change on previous year in Marshall Islands; the lowest is -2.69 % change on previous year in Maldives.
The median across all reporting countries is 0.4468 % change on previous year, and the mean is 0.3768 % change on previous year.
Over the past decade 106 countries rose and 129 fell. The largest increase was in Wallis and Futuna (up 3,473.5%), and the largest decrease in Saint Kitts and Nevis (down 4,071.2%).
Heat deaths vs projected death rates, annual growth rate: full country ranking
| # | Country | Latest | Year | 10-year change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marshall Islands | 3.09 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 50.1% | volatile |
| 1 | Cook Islands | 1.79 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 171.0% | volatile |
| 2 | United Arab Emirates | 2.97 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 55.7% | volatile |
| 2 | Mayotte | 1.52 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 306.2% | flat |
| 3 | Qatar | 2.43 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 225.6% | volatile |
| 3 | Anguilla | 1.1 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 265.5% | volatile |
| 4 | Tonga | 2.33 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 169.7% | volatile |
| 4 | Niue | 1.07 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 61.9% | volatile |
| 5 | Wallis and Futuna | 2.13 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 3,473.5% | volatile |
| 5 | Tokelau | 0.7183 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 60.8% | rising |
| 6 | Northern Mariana Islands | 1.94 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 232.4% | volatile |
| 6 | Saint Helena | 0.0681 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 108.6% | volatile |
| 7 | Saint Barthelemy | 1.91 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 60.5% | volatile |
| 7 | Montserrat | -0.3245 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 12.9% | volatile |
| 8 | American Samoa | 1.86 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 804.4% | volatile |
| 9 | Samoa | 1.71 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 86.8% | volatile |
| 10 | Lebanon | 1.46 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 24.5% | flat |
| 11 | Puerto Rico | 1.45 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 15.0% | falling |
| 12 | Venezuela | 1.44 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 143.4% | volatile |
| 13 | Kuwait | 1.41 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 1,354.7% | volatile |
| 14 | Palestine | 1.4 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 19.7% | rising |
| 15 | Sao Tome and Principe | 1.35 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 31.8% | volatile |
| 16 | Niger | 1.35 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 3.9% | volatile |
| 17 | Uganda | 1.34 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 13.0% | volatile |
| 18 | Eritrea | 1.2 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 26.0% | volatile |
| 19 | Mauritania | 1.19 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 10.8% | volatile |
| 20 | Mali | 1.18 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 0.9% | volatile |
| 21 | Mozambique | 1.16 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 0.0% | volatile |
| 22 | Saint Pierre and Miquelon | 1.16 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 282.3% | volatile |
| 23 | Gambia | 1.15 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 8.7% | volatile |
| 24 | Central African Republic | 1.15 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 7.5% | volatile |
| 25 | Bangladesh | 1.15 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 18.5% | rising |
| 26 | Tuvalu | 1.12 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 89.3% | volatile |
| 27 | Zimbabwe | 1.11 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 17.9% | volatile |
| 28 | Libya | 1.1 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 342.7% | volatile |
| 29 | Burundi | 1.1 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 2.8% | volatile |
| 30 | French Guiana | 1.07 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 819.6% | volatile |
| 31 | Equatorial Guinea | 1.06 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 156.4% | volatile |
| 32 | Vatican | 1.06 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 244.8% | volatile |
| 33 | Angola | 1.05 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 10.6% | volatile |
| 34 | Yemen | 1.04 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 2.9% | rising |
| 35 | Democratic Republic of Congo | 1.03 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 23.1% | volatile |
| 36 | Afghanistan | 1.03 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 14.9% | volatile |
| 37 | Iraq | 0.9773 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 14.7% | falling |
| 38 | Congo | 0.9705 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 31.0% | volatile |
| 39 | Tajikistan | 0.9561 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 8.1% | falling |
| 40 | Ethiopia | 0.9494 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 18.4% | volatile |
| 41 | Jordan | 0.9463 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 3.1% | falling |
| 42 | Malawi | 0.9312 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 8.6% | volatile |
| 43 | Solomon Islands | 0.8993 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 8.6% | rising |
| 44 | East Timor | 0.894 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 45.5% | volatile |
| 45 | Burkina Faso | 0.8925 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 27.5% | volatile |
| 46 | Rwanda | 0.891 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 10.4% | volatile |
| 47 | Ireland | 0.89 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 188.5% | volatile |
| 48 | Vanuatu | 0.8846 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 46.0% | rising |
| 49 | Somalia | 0.8681 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 3.7% | volatile |
| 50 | Comoros | 0.8656 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 1.6% | volatile |
| 51 | Syria | 0.8632 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 53.7% | rising |
| 52 | Guinea | 0.8529 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 8.1% | volatile |
| 53 | Nepal | 0.8518 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 41.0% | rising |
| 54 | Nauru | 0.8477 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 40.2% | falling |
| 55 | Sint Maarten (Dutch part) | 0.847 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 105.6% | volatile |
| 56 | Benin | 0.8458 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 8.1% | volatile |
| 57 | Pakistan | 0.8219 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 2.0% | volatile |
| 58 | Gabon | 0.8193 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 315.7% | rising |
| 59 | Nigeria | 0.8137 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 12.6% | volatile |
| 60 | Zambia | 0.7971 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 12.4% | rising |
| 61 | Guatemala | 0.7968 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 41.8% | rising |
| 62 | Togo | 0.7948 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 2.5% | volatile |
| 63 | Egypt | 0.7884 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 16.2% | falling |
| 64 | Cameroon | 0.7821 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 0.3% | volatile |
| 65 | Sierra Leone | 0.773 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 24.5% | volatile |
| 66 | Guinea-Bissau | 0.7721 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 25.2% | rising |
| 67 | Senegal | 0.7598 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 31.1% | volatile |
| 68 | Liberia | 0.7528 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 32.6% | volatile |
| 69 | Cape Verde | 0.747 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 41.1% | falling |
| 70 | Cote d'Ivoire | 0.7342 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 34.0% | volatile |
| 71 | Tanzania | 0.7342 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 1.6% | volatile |
| 72 | Sri Lanka | 0.7332 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 64.9% | falling |
| 73 | Aruba | 0.7288 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 3,205.5% | volatile |
| 74 | Kiribati | 0.7209 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 103.8% | falling |
| 75 | Honduras | 0.7082 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 28.3% | falling |
| 76 | Kyrgyzstan | 0.6971 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 82.5% | falling |
| 77 | Israel | 0.6956 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 792.2% | volatile |
| 78 | Ecuador | 0.6766 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 45.5% | falling |
| 79 | Uruguay | 0.6727 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 33.9% | rising |
| 80 | Sudan | 0.6701 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 26.7% | volatile |
| 81 | Morocco | 0.6655 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 12.4% | falling |
| 82 | South Sudan | 0.665 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 49.9% | volatile |
| 83 | Mexico | 0.6599 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 31.9% | falling |
| 84 | Nicaragua | 0.6599 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 42.7% | falling |
| 85 | Chad | 0.6578 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 26.6% | volatile |
| 86 | Namibia | 0.6445 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 1.4% | falling |
| 87 | Argentina | 0.6333 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 31.0% | rising |
| 88 | Eswatini | 0.6228 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 14.6% | flat |
| 89 | Ghana | 0.6224 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 0.1% | rising |
| 90 | Suriname | 0.6063 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 25.8% | falling |
| 91 | Mongolia | 0.6056 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 419.3% | volatile |
| 92 | Kenya | 0.6026 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 34.9% | rising |
| 93 | Panama | 0.5994 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 21.5% | falling |
| 94 | Guam | 0.5954 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 62.2% | volatile |
| 95 | Cambodia | 0.572 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 147.1% | falling |
| 96 | Laos | 0.5667 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 23.8% | falling |
| 97 | Algeria | 0.5437 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 420.2% | volatile |
| 98 | Philippines | 0.5317 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 46.4% | falling |
| 99 | Turkey | 0.5275 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 39.6% | falling |
| 100 | Dominican Republic | 0.5233 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 31.1% | falling |
| 101 | Singapore | 0.5225 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 74.7% | falling |
| 102 | Faroe Islands | 0.5197 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 4.8% | volatile |
| 103 | Belize | 0.5114 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 62.2% | falling |
| 104 | Peru | 0.5045 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 48.5% | falling |
| 105 | Indonesia | 0.4924 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 51.8% | volatile |
| 106 | Madagascar | 0.4912 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 30.8% | volatile |
| 107 | Turkmenistan | 0.4813 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 82.9% | volatile |
| 108 | Lesotho | 0.4669 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 1.0% | volatile |
| 109 | Bahrain | 0.4635 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 32.7% | falling |
| 110 | Costa Rica | 0.4617 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 59.5% | falling |
| 111 | El Salvador | 0.4574 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 73.0% | rising |
| 112 | Gibraltar | 0.4528 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 30.0% | falling |
| 113 | Guyana | 0.4509 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 48.1% | falling |
| 114 | French Polynesia | 0.4426 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 33.8% | volatile |
| 115 | Fiji | 0.4425 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 3.0% | falling |
| 116 | India | 0.4372 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 51.8% | falling |
| 117 | Haiti | 0.418 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 22.9% | falling |
| 118 | Micronesia (country) | 0.4089 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 60.5% | volatile |
| 119 | Chile | 0.4062 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 69.2% | falling |
| 120 | Saint Vincent and the Grenadines | 0.3888 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 46.3% | volatile |
| 121 | Papua New Guinea | 0.3741 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 24.3% | falling |
| 122 | Saudi Arabia | 0.3736 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 7.1% | volatile |
| 123 | Bolivia | 0.3723 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 40.6% | falling |
| 124 | Guadeloupe | 0.3681 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 143.9% | volatile |
| 125 | Saint Martin (French part) | 0.3588 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 109.2% | volatile |
| 126 | Isle of Man | 0.3516 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 369.6% | volatile |
| 127 | Oman | 0.3507 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 51.8% | volatile |
| 128 | Colombia | 0.3468 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 72.6% | falling |
| 129 | New Caledonia | 0.3381 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 149.8% | volatile |
| 130 | San Marino | 0.3342 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 118.7% | volatile |
| 131 | United States Virgin Islands | 0.3291 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 168.6% | volatile |
| 132 | Kazakhstan | 0.3158 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 186.0% | volatile |
| 133 | Malaysia | 0.2888 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 64.9% | falling |
| 134 | Tunisia | 0.2883 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 635.3% | volatile |
| 135 | Palau | 0.2689 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 157.9% | volatile |
| 136 | Moldova | 0.2486 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 127.5% | volatile |
| 137 | Paraguay | 0.2374 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 59.0% | falling |
| 138 | Botswana | 0.2265 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 65.9% | falling |
| 139 | Reunion | 0.2227 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 156.9% | volatile |
| 140 | Barbados | 0.2208 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 18.2% | volatile |
| 141 | Djibouti | 0.2173 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 61.1% | falling |
| 142 | Uzbekistan | 0.2049 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 181.8% | volatile |
| 143 | South Korea | 0.1935 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 18.8% | volatile |
| 144 | Netherlands | 0.1866 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 78.4% | volatile |
| 145 | Western Sahara | 0.1818 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 130.5% | volatile |
| 146 | Myanmar | 0.1576 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 44.5% | volatile |
| 147 | Brazil | 0.1539 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 54.9% | volatile |
| 148 | Montenegro | 0.1184 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 169.6% | volatile |
| 149 | Denmark | 0.1019 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 80.4% | volatile |
| 150 | Bhutan | 0.0915 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 90.2% | falling |
| 151 | Andorra | 0.0878 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 161.3% | volatile |
| 152 | Croatia | 0.0851 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 119.6% | volatile |
| 153 | Antigua and Barbuda | 0.0772 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 89.7% | volatile |
| 154 | France | 0.0689 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 115.8% | volatile |
| 155 | Vietnam | 0.0536 % change on previous year | 2090 | — | volatile |
| 156 | Georgia | 0.0382 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 114.6% | volatile |
| 157 | Mauritius | 0.0345 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 96.0% | falling |
| 158 | Thailand | 0.0316 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 0.4% | volatile |
| 159 | United Kingdom | 0.0265 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 89.4% | volatile |
| 160 | Grenada | 0.0116 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 98.7% | falling |
| 161 | North Macedonia | 0 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 100.0% | volatile |
| 162 | Dominica | -0.0066 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 105.3% | volatile |
| 163 | Hong Kong | -0.0171 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 101.2% | falling |
| 164 | Ukraine | -0.0188 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 106.4% | volatile |
| 165 | Greece | -0.0227 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 98.4% | volatile |
| 166 | Bermuda | -0.026 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 95.0% | volatile |
| 167 | Curacao | -0.0521 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 104.3% | volatile |
| 168 | Bosnia and Herzegovina | -0.071 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 90.1% | volatile |
| 169 | Bahamas | -0.0809 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 132.0% | volatile |
| 170 | Romania | -0.0845 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 85.4% | volatile |
| 171 | Martinique | -0.0936 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 90.5% | volatile |
| 172 | China | -0.0985 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 109.9% | volatile |
| 173 | Azerbaijan | -0.1127 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 44.0% | volatile |
| 174 | Italy | -0.1206 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 85.2% | volatile |
| 175 | South Africa | -0.1386 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 1,713.3% | volatile |
| 176 | Trinidad and Tobago | -0.1463 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 74.8% | volatile |
| 177 | Portugal | -0.1616 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 89.5% | volatile |
| 178 | Guernsey | -0.172 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 44.1% | volatile |
| 179 | United States | -0.1867 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 353.0% | volatile |
| 180 | Monaco | -0.1938 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 60.3% | volatile |
| 181 | Cuba | -0.2059 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 134.3% | volatile |
| 182 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | -0.2397 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 4,071.2% | volatile |
| 183 | North Korea | -0.2456 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 180.0% | volatile |
| 184 | Spain | -0.2629 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 83.1% | volatile |
| 185 | Japan | -0.2774 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 81.7% | volatile |
| 186 | Albania | -0.287 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 116.1% | falling |
| 187 | Belgium | -0.2923 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 398.0% | volatile |
| 188 | Liechtenstein | -0.3205 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 49.3% | volatile |
| 189 | Bonaire Sint Eustatius and Saba | -0.3239 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 196.1% | volatile |
| 190 | Jamaica | -0.3325 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 138.2% | falling |
| 191 | Norway | -0.337 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 155.7% | volatile |
| 192 | Turks and Caicos Islands | -0.3379 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 10.7% | volatile |
| 193 | Serbia | -0.3584 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 13.3% | volatile |
| 194 | Canada | -0.3588 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 207.6% | volatile |
| 195 | Greenland | -0.3856 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 11.2% | volatile |
| 196 | Belarus | -0.3867 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 30.2% | volatile |
| 197 | Latvia | -0.3876 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 9.0% | volatile |
| 198 | Brunei | -0.3926 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 955.8% | volatile |
| 199 | Jersey | -0.4052 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 23.6% | volatile |
| 200 | Lithuania | -0.4537 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 161.9% | volatile |
| 201 | Finland | -0.4544 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 691.7% | volatile |
| 202 | New Zealand | -0.4815 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 164.0% | volatile |
| 203 | Iceland | -0.4982 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 141.5% | falling |
| 204 | Russia | -0.5159 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 55.4% | volatile |
| 205 | Hungary | -0.5277 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 40.2% | volatile |
| 206 | Saint Lucia | -0.5338 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 196.4% | volatile |
| 207 | Iran | -0.5627 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 193.2% | volatile |
| 208 | Luxembourg | -0.5867 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 262.7% | volatile |
| 209 | Bulgaria | -0.615 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 41.1% | volatile |
| 210 | Taiwan | -0.643 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 87.8% | volatile |
| 211 | British Virgin Islands | -0.6532 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 11.6% | volatile |
| 212 | Cayman Islands | -0.7016 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 130.3% | volatile |
| 213 | Czechia | -0.7726 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 42.9% | volatile |
| 214 | Slovenia | -0.8177 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 38.5% | volatile |
| 215 | Sweden | -0.8581 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 238.9% | volatile |
| 216 | Poland | -0.9071 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 104.8% | volatile |
| 217 | Australia | -0.9072 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 670.0% | volatile |
| 218 | Slovakia | -0.9332 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 7.5% | volatile |
| 219 | Armenia | -0.966 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 96.4% | volatile |
| 220 | Germany | -0.9955 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 478.7% | volatile |
| 221 | Estonia | -1.02 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 102.0% | volatile |
| 222 | Austria | -1.05 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 1,519.5% | volatile |
| 223 | Malta | -1.1 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 225.4% | volatile |
| 224 | Seychelles | -1.17 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 148.1% | volatile |
| 225 | Switzerland | -1.27 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 385.7% | volatile |
| 226 | Cyprus | -1.51 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 1,200.6% | volatile |
| 227 | Macao | -1.54 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 195.4% | volatile |
| 228 | Falkland Islands | -1.6 % change on previous year | 2090 | up 3.6% | volatile |
| 229 | Maldives | -2.69 % change on previous year | 2090 | down 342.8% | volatile |
How this figure is calculated
The year-on-year percentage change in Heat deaths vs projected death rates. Computed from consecutive annual observations; years either side of a gap are skipped rather than bridged.
Computed from
- Heat deaths vs projected death rates Our World in Data
Statizoid computes this series; the underlying measurements belong to the publishers named above. The arithmetic is applied to every country and year where both inputs report, and nothing is estimated unless the page says so.
About this data
The year-on-year percentage change in Heat deaths vs projected death rates. Computed from consecutive annual observations; years either side of a gap are skipped rather than bridged.