Expected chances of death from non-communicable diseases, by gender in Kenya
Kenya: Expected chances of death from non-communicable diseases, by gender was 18.3% in 2021. ▲ Rising
Expected chances of death from non-communicable diseases, by gender in Kenya, 2000–2021
Source: World Health Organization – Global Health Observatory (2026) – with minor processing by Our World in Data. Measured in %.
Analysis
Kenya recorded 18.3% for expected chances of death from non-communicable diseases, by gender in 2021.
The figure is down 10.3% on the previous year and down 1.6% over ten years.
Over the whole period, expected chances of death from non-communicable diseases, by gender in Kenya peaked at 20.4% in 2020 and was at its lowest, 14.9%, in 2012.
Kenya ranks 118th of 185 countries on this measure, in the middle of the range.
The long-run direction has been consistently rising across the 22 years of available data.
Expected chances of death from non-communicable diseases, by gender in Kenya, year by year
| Year | % | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 16.1% | — |
| 2001 | 16.2% | +0.6% |
| 2002 | 16.7% | +3.1% |
| 2003 | 16.9% | +1.2% |
| 2004 | 17.4% | +3.0% |
| 2005 | 17.5% | +0.6% |
| 2006 | 17.6% | +0.6% |
| 2007 | 17.9% | +1.7% |
| 2008 | 18.1% | +1.1% |
| 2009 | 18.1% | +0.0% |
| 2010 | 18.3% | +1.1% |
| 2011 | 18.6% | +1.6% |
| 2012 | 14.9% | -19.9% |
| 2013 | 16.6% | +11.4% |
| 2014 | 17.1% | +3.0% |
| 2015 | 17.6% | +2.9% |
| 2016 | 17.6% | +0.0% |
| 2017 | 18.6% | +5.7% |
| 2018 | 20.0% | +7.5% |
| 2019 | 19.8% | -1.0% |
| 2020 | 20.4% | +3.0% |
| 2021 | 18.3% | -10.3% |
Kenya compared with similar countries
- Kenya's 18.3% is below the median for lower middle income countries, which is 22.9%, 80% of the median. (47 countries reporting)
- Kenya's 18.3% is below the median for Sub-Saharan Africa, which is 23.5%, 78% of the median. (48 countries reporting)
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000s | 17.2% | 16.1% | 18.1% | 10 |
| 2010s | 17.9% | 14.9% | 20.0% | 10 |
| 2020s | 19.4% | 18.3% | 20.4% | 2 |
Countries ranked near Kenya
More health data for Kenya
- Un projection of annual infant deaths, annual growth rate -1.44 % change on previous year (2100)
- Heat deaths vs projected death rates, annual growth rate 0.6026 % change on previous year (2090)
- Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates 1,119 deaths per 1,000 people (2090)
- Number of infants who die before age 1 16,059 deaths (2100)
- Neonatal tetanus - number of reported cases, gaps filled 89 (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, annual growth rate 1.28 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, per unit of GDP 0 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, per capita 0.0621 units per person (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, annual growth rate 1.28 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, per unit of GDP 0 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
Frequently asked questions
- What is expected chances of death from non-communicable diseases, by gender in Kenya?
- Expected chances of death from non-communicable diseases, by gender in Kenya was 18.3% in 2021, according to World Health Organization – Global Health Observatory (2026) – with minor processing by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest expected chances of death from non-communicable diseases, by gender recorded in Kenya?
- The highest recorded value was 20.4% in 2020.
- What is the lowest expected chances of death from non-communicable diseases, by gender recorded in Kenya?
- The lowest recorded value was 14.9% in 2012.
- How does Kenya rank for expected chances of death from non-communicable diseases, by gender?
- Kenya ranks 118th out of 185 countries with data for 2021.
- Is expected chances of death from non-communicable diseases, by gender rising or falling in Kenya?
- Over the last ten years it is down 1.6%. The long-run trend across the full record is rising.
- Where does this Kenya data come from?
- The figures come from World Health Organization – Global Health Observatory (2026) – with minor processing by Our World in Data, published as part of Expected chances of death from non-communicable diseases, by gender. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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About this data
The estimated share of 30-year-olds who would die before their 70th birthday from common non-communicable diseases: any of cardiovascular disease, cancer, diabetes, or chronic respiratory disease.