Expected chances of death from non-communicable diseases, by gender in Nigeria
Nigeria: Expected chances of death from non-communicable diseases, by gender was 18.5% in 2021. ▼ Falling
Expected chances of death from non-communicable diseases, by gender in Nigeria, 2000–2021
Source: World Health Organization – Global Health Observatory (2026) – with minor processing by Our World in Data. Measured in %.
Analysis
In 2021, expected chances of death from non-communicable diseases, by gender in Nigeria stood at 18.5%.
The figure is down 2.6% on the previous year and down 4.1% over ten years.
Over the whole period, expected chances of death from non-communicable diseases, by gender in Nigeria peaked at 22.9% in 2001 and was at its lowest, 18.1%, in 2017.
Nigeria ranks 117th of 185 countries on this measure, in the middle of the range.
The long-run direction has been consistently falling across the 22 years of available data.
Expected chances of death from non-communicable diseases, by gender in Nigeria, year by year
| Year | % | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 22.7% | — |
| 2001 | 22.9% | +0.9% |
| 2002 | 22.5% | -1.7% |
| 2003 | 22.1% | -1.8% |
| 2004 | 21.7% | -1.8% |
| 2005 | 21.1% | -2.8% |
| 2006 | 20.9% | -0.9% |
| 2007 | 20.5% | -1.9% |
| 2008 | 20.1% | -2.0% |
| 2009 | 20.0% | -0.5% |
| 2010 | 19.7% | -1.5% |
| 2011 | 19.3% | -2.0% |
| 2012 | 19.1% | -1.0% |
| 2013 | 19.0% | -0.5% |
| 2014 | 18.8% | -1.1% |
| 2015 | 18.5% | -1.6% |
| 2016 | 18.3% | -1.1% |
| 2017 | 18.1% | -1.1% |
| 2018 | 18.1% | +0.0% |
| 2019 | 18.1% | +0.0% |
| 2020 | 19.0% | +5.0% |
| 2021 | 18.5% | -2.6% |
Nigeria compared with similar countries
- Nigeria's 18.5% is below the median for lower middle income countries, which is 22.9%, 81% of the median. (47 countries reporting)
- Nigeria's 18.5% is below the median for Sub-Saharan Africa, which is 23.5%, 79% of the median. (48 countries reporting)
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000s | 21.4% | 20.0% | 22.9% | 10 |
| 2010s | 18.7% | 18.1% | 19.7% | 10 |
| 2020s | 18.8% | 18.5% | 19.0% | 2 |
Countries ranked near Nigeria
More health data for Nigeria
- Un projection of annual infant deaths, annual growth rate -1.08 % change on previous year (2100)
- Heat deaths vs projected death rates, annual growth rate 0.8137 % change on previous year (2090)
- Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates 1,301 deaths per 1,000 people (2090)
- Number of infants who die before age 1 257,921 deaths (2100)
- Neonatal tetanus - number of reported cases, gaps filled 14 (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, annual growth rate 1.14 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, per unit of GDP 0.0001 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, per capita 0.0711 units per person (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, annual growth rate 1.17 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, per unit of GDP 0.0001 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
Frequently asked questions
- What is expected chances of death from non-communicable diseases, by gender in Nigeria?
- Expected chances of death from non-communicable diseases, by gender in Nigeria was 18.5% in 2021, according to World Health Organization – Global Health Observatory (2026) – with minor processing by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest expected chances of death from non-communicable diseases, by gender recorded in Nigeria?
- The highest recorded value was 22.9% in 2001.
- What is the lowest expected chances of death from non-communicable diseases, by gender recorded in Nigeria?
- The lowest recorded value was 18.1% in 2017.
- How does Nigeria rank for expected chances of death from non-communicable diseases, by gender?
- Nigeria ranks 117th out of 185 countries with data for 2021.
- Is expected chances of death from non-communicable diseases, by gender rising or falling in Nigeria?
- Over the last ten years it is down 4.1%. The long-run trend across the full record is falling.
- Where does this Nigeria data come from?
- The figures come from World Health Organization – Global Health Observatory (2026) – with minor processing by Our World in Data, published as part of Expected chances of death from non-communicable diseases, by gender. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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About this data
The estimated share of 30-year-olds who would die before their 70th birthday from common non-communicable diseases: any of cardiovascular disease, cancer, diabetes, or chronic respiratory disease.