Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Nigeria
Nigeria: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates was 1,301 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090. ▲ Rising
Latest (2090)
1,301 deaths per 1,000 people
Change on year
up 0.8%
World rank
87th
of 236 countries
All-time high
1,301 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2090
All-time low
1,049 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2049
Years of data
61
2030–2090
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Nigeria, 2030–2090
Source: UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in deaths per 1,000 people.
Analysis
Nigeria recorded 1,301 deaths per 1,000 people for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in 2090. That is the highest value across all 61 years on record.
That represents a change of up 0.8% on the previous year and up 9.1% over ten years.
Over the whole period, estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Nigeria peaked at 1,301 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090 and was at its lowest, 1,049 deaths per 1,000 people, in 2049.
That places Nigeria 87th out of 236 countries with data for 2090, putting it in the middle of the range.
The long-run direction has been consistently rising across the 61 years of available data.
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Nigeria, year by year
| Year | deaths per 1,000 people | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2030 | 1,120 deaths per 1,000 people | — |
| 2031 | 1,114 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.6% |
| 2032 | 1,107 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.6% |
| 2033 | 1,101 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.5% |
| 2034 | 1,096 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.5% |
| 2035 | 1,091 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.4% |
| 2036 | 1,086 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.4% |
| 2037 | 1,082 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.4% |
| 2038 | 1,077 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.4% |
| 2039 | 1,073 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.4% |
| 2040 | 1,069 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.4% |
| 2041 | 1,066 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.3% |
| 2042 | 1,061 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.4% |
| 2043 | 1,058 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.3% |
| 2044 | 1,057 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.2% |
| 2045 | 1,054 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.2% |
| 2046 | 1,053 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.1% |
| 2047 | 1,051 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.1% |
| 2048 | 1,050 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.2% |
| 2049 | 1,049 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.1% |
| 2050 | 1,049 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.0% |
| 2051 | 1,049 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.0% |
| 2052 | 1,050 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.1% |
| 2053 | 1,051 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.1% |
| 2054 | 1,051 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.0% |
| 2055 | 1,052 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.1% |
| 2056 | 1,054 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2057 | 1,056 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2058 | 1,058 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.1% |
| 2059 | 1,060 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2060 | 1,062 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2061 | 1,065 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2062 | 1,068 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2063 | 1,071 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2064 | 1,074 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2065 | 1,079 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2066 | 1,084 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
| 2067 | 1,088 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2068 | 1,093 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
| 2069 | 1,099 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
| 2070 | 1,106 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2071 | 1,112 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2072 | 1,119 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2073 | 1,127 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2074 | 1,135 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2075 | 1,143 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2076 | 1,151 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2077 | 1,162 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2078 | 1,171 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2079 | 1,182 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2080 | 1,193 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2081 | 1,203 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2082 | 1,214 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2083 | 1,225 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2084 | 1,236 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2085 | 1,248 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2086 | 1,260 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2087 | 1,270 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2088 | 1,280 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2089 | 1,290 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2090 | 1,301 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
Nigeria compared with similar countries
- Nigeria's 1,301 deaths per 1,000 people is above the median for lower middle income countries, which is 1,052 deaths per 1,000 people, 1.2× the median. (47 countries reporting)
- Nigeria's 1,301 deaths per 1,000 people is above the median for Sub-Saharan Africa, which is 887.35 deaths per 1,000 people, 1.5× the median. (48 countries reporting)
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2030s | 1,095 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,073 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,120 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2040s | 1,057 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,049 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,069 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2050s | 1,053 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,049 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,060 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2060s | 1,078 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,062 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,099 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2070s | 1,141 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,106 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,182 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2080s | 1,242 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,193 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,290 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2090s | 1,301 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,301 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,301 deaths per 1,000 people | 1 |
Countries ranked near Nigeria
More health data for Nigeria
- Un projection of annual infant deaths, annual growth rate -1.08 % change on previous year (2100)
- Heat deaths vs projected death rates, annual growth rate 0.8137 % change on previous year (2090)
- Number of infants who die before age 1 257,921 deaths (2100)
- Neonatal tetanus - number of reported cases, gaps filled 14 (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, annual growth rate 1.14 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, per unit of GDP 0.0001 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, per capita 0.0711 units per person (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, annual growth rate 1.17 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, per unit of GDP 0.0001 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, per capita 0.0729 units per person (2025)
Frequently asked questions
- What is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Nigeria?
- Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Nigeria was 1,301 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090, according to UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Nigeria?
- The highest recorded value was 1,301 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090.
- What is the lowest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Nigeria?
- The lowest recorded value was 1,049 deaths per 1,000 people in 2049.
- How does Nigeria rank for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates?
- Nigeria ranks 87th out of 236 countries with data for 2090.
- Is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates rising or falling in Nigeria?
- Over the last ten years it is up 9.1%. The long-run trend across the full record is rising.
- Where does this Nigeria data come from?
- The figures come from UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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About this data
Number of deaths in a year per 1,000 people in the population. Future projections are based on the UN's medium scenario.