Japan vs Nigeria: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates

Japan
1,294 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2090
Nigeria
1,301 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2090
Japan rank
90th
Nigeria rank
87th

Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates over time

  • Japan
  • Nigeria
05001.0k1.5k203020602090

How they compare

Nigeria currently reports 1,301 deaths per 1,000 people against 1,294 deaths per 1,000 people in Japan, a difference of 7 deaths per 1,000 people.

The two have swapped places 1 time across 61 shared years of data; in 2030 it was Japan ahead.

Japan ranks 90th and Nigeria ranks 87th of 236 countries.

Across the 7 decades both report, Japan averaged higher in 6 and Nigeria in 1.

Head to head by decade

Decade Japan Nigeria Difference Ahead
2030s 1,407 deaths per 1,000 people 1,095 deaths per 1,000 people 312.01 deaths per 1,000 people Japan
2040s 1,464 deaths per 1,000 people 1,057 deaths per 1,000 people 407.45 deaths per 1,000 people Japan
2050s 1,460 deaths per 1,000 people 1,053 deaths per 1,000 people 406.75 deaths per 1,000 people Japan
2060s 1,578 deaths per 1,000 people 1,078 deaths per 1,000 people 499.38 deaths per 1,000 people Japan
2070s 1,529 deaths per 1,000 people 1,141 deaths per 1,000 people 388.78 deaths per 1,000 people Japan
2080s 1,347 deaths per 1,000 people 1,242 deaths per 1,000 people 105.01 deaths per 1,000 people Japan
2090s 1,294 deaths per 1,000 people 1,301 deaths per 1,000 people 6.6 deaths per 1,000 people Nigeria

Averages of every year both report within each decade.

Frequently asked questions

Which has higher estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates, Japan or Nigeria?
Nigeria, at 1,301 deaths per 1,000 people against 1,294 deaths per 1,000 people in Japan as of 2090.
What is the difference in estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates between Japan and Nigeria?
7 deaths per 1,000 people, with Nigeria ahead.
How many years of comparable data are there for Japan and Nigeria?
61 years are reported by both, from 2030 to 2090.
How do Japan and Nigeria rank globally for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates?
Japan ranks 90th and Nigeria ranks 87th of 236 countries.
Where does this data come from?
UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data, published as Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid refreshes it automatically from the source and publishes the full history for both places.

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Japan vs Nigeria: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid, drawing on UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Retrieved 01 September 2026, from https://health.statizoid.com/compare/heat-deaths-vs-projected-death-rates/japan/nigeria/

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About this data

Indicator
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates
Unit
deaths per 1,000 people
Source
UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data
Licence
CC BY 4.0 (Our World in Data)
Coverage
236 places, 14,396 data points, 2030–2090
Last refreshed

Number of deaths in a year per 1,000 people in the population. Future projections are based on the UN's medium scenario.