Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Mexico
Mexico: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates was 1,312 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090. ▲ Rising
Latest (2090)
1,312 deaths per 1,000 people
Change on year
up 0.7%
World rank
84th
of 236 countries
All-time high
1,312 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2090
All-time low
663.1 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2030
Years of data
61
2030–2090
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Mexico, 2030–2090
Source: UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in deaths per 1,000 people.
Analysis
In 2090, estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Mexico stood at 1,312 deaths per 1,000 people. That is the highest value across all 61 years on record.
That represents a change of up 0.7% on the previous year and up 8.5% over ten years.
Over the whole period, estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Mexico peaked at 1,312 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090 and was at its lowest, 663.1 deaths per 1,000 people, in 2030.
That places Mexico 84th out of 236 countries with data for 2090, putting it in the middle of the range.
The long-run direction has been consistently rising across the 61 years of available data.
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Mexico, year by year
| Year | deaths per 1,000 people | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2030 | 663.1 deaths per 1,000 people | — |
| 2031 | 670.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2032 | 679.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2033 | 687.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2034 | 696.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2035 | 706 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2036 | 715.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2037 | 724.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2038 | 733.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2039 | 743.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2040 | 753.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2041 | 764 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.4% |
| 2042 | 774.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.4% |
| 2043 | 785.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.4% |
| 2044 | 796.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.4% |
| 2045 | 807.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.4% |
| 2046 | 819.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.5% |
| 2047 | 831.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.5% |
| 2048 | 843.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.4% |
| 2049 | 855.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.4% |
| 2050 | 867.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.4% |
| 2051 | 878.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2052 | 889.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2053 | 902 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.4% |
| 2054 | 913.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2055 | 925 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2056 | 936.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2057 | 947.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2058 | 959.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2059 | 971 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2060 | 981.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2061 | 993.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2062 | 1,004 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2063 | 1,016 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2064 | 1,026 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2065 | 1,038 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2066 | 1,049 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2067 | 1,060 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2068 | 1,071 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2069 | 1,084 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2070 | 1,095 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2071 | 1,107 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2072 | 1,117 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2073 | 1,129 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2074 | 1,141 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2075 | 1,153 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2076 | 1,164 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2077 | 1,175 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2078 | 1,186 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2079 | 1,198 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2080 | 1,209 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2081 | 1,221 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2082 | 1,232 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2083 | 1,243 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2084 | 1,253 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2085 | 1,265 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2086 | 1,276 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2087 | 1,285 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2088 | 1,294 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2089 | 1,303 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2090 | 1,312 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
Mexico compared with similar countries
- Mexico's 1,312 deaths per 1,000 people is below the median for upper middle income countries, which is 1,332 deaths per 1,000 people, 99% of the median. (58 countries reporting)
- Mexico's 1,312 deaths per 1,000 people is below the median for Latin America & Caribbean, which is 1,420 deaths per 1,000 people, 92% of the median. (42 countries reporting)
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2030s | 701.95 deaths per 1,000 people | 663.1 deaths per 1,000 people | 743.4 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2040s | 803.11 deaths per 1,000 people | 753.2 deaths per 1,000 people | 855.5 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2050s | 919.19 deaths per 1,000 people | 867.4 deaths per 1,000 people | 971 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2060s | 1,032 deaths per 1,000 people | 981.7 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,084 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2070s | 1,146 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,095 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,198 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2080s | 1,258 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,209 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,303 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2090s | 1,312 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,312 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,312 deaths per 1,000 people | 1 |
Countries ranked near Mexico
More health data for Mexico
- Un projection of annual infant deaths, annual growth rate -1.67 % change on previous year (2100)
- Heat deaths vs projected death rates, annual growth rate 0.6599 % change on previous year (2090)
- Number of infants who die before age 1 2,760 deaths (2100)
- Neonatal tetanus - number of reported cases, gaps filled 2 (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, annual growth rate -0.9607 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, per unit of GDP 0 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, per capita 0.0377 units per person (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, annual growth rate -0.9678 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, per unit of GDP 0 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, per capita 0.039 units per person (2025)
Frequently asked questions
- What is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Mexico?
- Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Mexico was 1,312 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090, according to UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Mexico?
- The highest recorded value was 1,312 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090.
- What is the lowest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Mexico?
- The lowest recorded value was 663.1 deaths per 1,000 people in 2030.
- How does Mexico rank for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates?
- Mexico ranks 84th out of 236 countries with data for 2090.
- Is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates rising or falling in Mexico?
- Over the last ten years it is up 8.5%. The long-run trend across the full record is rising.
- Where does this Mexico data come from?
- The figures come from UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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About this data
Number of deaths in a year per 1,000 people in the population. Future projections are based on the UN's medium scenario.