Mexico vs Nigeria: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates

Mexico
1,312 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2090
Nigeria
1,301 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2090
Mexico rank
84th
Nigeria rank
87th

Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates over time

  • Mexico
  • Nigeria
05001.0k1.5k203020602090

How they compare

Mexico currently reports 1,312 deaths per 1,000 people against 1,301 deaths per 1,000 people in Nigeria, a difference of 11 deaths per 1,000 people.

The two have swapped places 1 time across 61 shared years of data; in 2030 it was Nigeria ahead.

Mexico ranks 84th and Nigeria ranks 87th of 236 countries.

Across the 7 decades both report, Mexico averaged higher in 3 and Nigeria in 4.

Head to head by decade

Decade Mexico Nigeria Difference Ahead
2030s 701.95 deaths per 1,000 people 1,095 deaths per 1,000 people 392.8 deaths per 1,000 people Nigeria
2040s 803.11 deaths per 1,000 people 1,057 deaths per 1,000 people 253.6 deaths per 1,000 people Nigeria
2050s 919.19 deaths per 1,000 people 1,053 deaths per 1,000 people 133.85 deaths per 1,000 people Nigeria
2060s 1,032 deaths per 1,000 people 1,078 deaths per 1,000 people 46.06 deaths per 1,000 people Nigeria
2070s 1,146 deaths per 1,000 people 1,141 deaths per 1,000 people 5.81 deaths per 1,000 people Mexico
2080s 1,258 deaths per 1,000 people 1,242 deaths per 1,000 people 16.13 deaths per 1,000 people Mexico
2090s 1,312 deaths per 1,000 people 1,301 deaths per 1,000 people 10.9 deaths per 1,000 people Mexico

Averages of every year both report within each decade.

Frequently asked questions

Which has higher estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates, Mexico or Nigeria?
Mexico, at 1,312 deaths per 1,000 people against 1,301 deaths per 1,000 people in Nigeria as of 2090.
What is the difference in estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates between Mexico and Nigeria?
11 deaths per 1,000 people, with Mexico ahead.
How many years of comparable data are there for Mexico and Nigeria?
61 years are reported by both, from 2030 to 2090.
How do Mexico and Nigeria rank globally for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates?
Mexico ranks 84th and Nigeria ranks 87th of 236 countries.
Where does this data come from?
UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data, published as Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid refreshes it automatically from the source and publishes the full history for both places.

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Mexico vs Nigeria: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid, drawing on UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Retrieved 28 August 2026, from https://health.statizoid.com/compare/heat-deaths-vs-projected-death-rates/mexico/nigeria/

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About this data

Indicator
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates
Unit
deaths per 1,000 people
Source
UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data
Licence
CC BY 4.0 (Our World in Data)
Coverage
236 places, 14,396 data points, 2030–2090
Last refreshed

Number of deaths in a year per 1,000 people in the population. Future projections are based on the UN's medium scenario.