Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Japan
Japan: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates was 1,294 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090. ▬ Flat
Latest (2090)
1,294 deaths per 1,000 people
Change on year
down 0.3%
World rank
90th
of 236 countries
All-time high
1,611 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2068
All-time low
1,294 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2090
Years of data
61
2030–2090
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Japan, 2030–2090
Source: UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in deaths per 1,000 people.
Analysis
The most recent figure for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Japan is 1,294 deaths per 1,000 people, measured in 2090. That is the lowest value across all 61 years on record.
The figure is down 0.3% on the previous year and down 8.5% over ten years.
Over the whole period, estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Japan peaked at 1,611 deaths per 1,000 people in 2068 and was at its lowest, 1,294 deaths per 1,000 people, in 2090.
Japan ranks 90th of 236 countries on this measure, in the middle of the range.
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Japan, year by year
| Year | deaths per 1,000 people | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2030 | 1,342 deaths per 1,000 people | — |
| 2031 | 1,358 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2032 | 1,375 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2033 | 1,389 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2034 | 1,405 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2035 | 1,418 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2036 | 1,430 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2037 | 1,441 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2038 | 1,451 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2039 | 1,459 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2040 | 1,464 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2041 | 1,470 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2042 | 1,472 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2043 | 1,473 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.0% |
| 2044 | 1,471 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.1% |
| 2045 | 1,469 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.2% |
| 2046 | 1,465 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.2% |
| 2047 | 1,458 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.5% |
| 2048 | 1,453 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.4% |
| 2049 | 1,448 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.3% |
| 2050 | 1,444 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.2% |
| 2051 | 1,441 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.2% |
| 2052 | 1,440 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.1% |
| 2053 | 1,443 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2054 | 1,447 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2055 | 1,453 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2056 | 1,463 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2057 | 1,475 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2058 | 1,488 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2059 | 1,503 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2060 | 1,518 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2061 | 1,536 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2062 | 1,553 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2063 | 1,566 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2064 | 1,582 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2065 | 1,592 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2066 | 1,602 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2067 | 1,608 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2068 | 1,611 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2069 | 1,609 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.1% |
| 2070 | 1,604 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.3% |
| 2071 | 1,594 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.7% |
| 2072 | 1,582 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.8% |
| 2073 | 1,566 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.0% |
| 2074 | 1,546 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.2% |
| 2075 | 1,525 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.4% |
| 2076 | 1,502 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.5% |
| 2077 | 1,481 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.4% |
| 2078 | 1,457 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.6% |
| 2079 | 1,437 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.4% |
| 2080 | 1,415 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.5% |
| 2081 | 1,396 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.4% |
| 2082 | 1,378 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.3% |
| 2083 | 1,362 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.2% |
| 2084 | 1,346 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.1% |
| 2085 | 1,334 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.9% |
| 2086 | 1,323 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.9% |
| 2087 | 1,313 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.7% |
| 2088 | 1,304 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.7% |
| 2089 | 1,298 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.5% |
| 2090 | 1,294 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.3% |
Japan compared with similar countries
- Japan's 1,294 deaths per 1,000 people is above the median for high income countries, which is 1,266 deaths per 1,000 people, 1.0× the median. (85 countries reporting)
- Japan's 1,294 deaths per 1,000 people is above the median for East Asia & Pacific, which is 1,250 deaths per 1,000 people, 1.0× the median. (37 countries reporting)
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2030s | 1,407 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,342 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,459 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2040s | 1,464 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,448 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,473 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2050s | 1,460 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,440 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,503 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2060s | 1,578 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,518 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,611 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2070s | 1,529 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,437 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,604 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2080s | 1,347 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,298 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,415 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2090s | 1,294 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,294 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,294 deaths per 1,000 people | 1 |
Countries ranked near Japan
- 87 Nigeria 1,301 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 88 Haiti 1,297 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 89 Falkland Islands 1,295 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 91 Spain 1,290 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 92 Tunisia 1,287 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 93 Dominican Republic 1,287 deaths per 1,000 people compare
More health data for Japan
- Un projection of annual infant deaths, annual growth rate -2.73 % change on previous year (2100)
- Heat deaths vs projected death rates, annual growth rate -0.2774 % change on previous year (2090)
- Number of infants who die before age 1 178 deaths (2100)
- Neonatal tetanus - number of reported cases, gaps filled 0 (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, annual growth rate -2.22 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, per unit of GDP 0 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, per capita 0.0155 units per person (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, annual growth rate -2.36 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, per unit of GDP 0 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, per capita 0.0163 units per person (2025)
Frequently asked questions
- What is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Japan?
- Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Japan was 1,294 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090, according to UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Japan?
- The highest recorded value was 1,611 deaths per 1,000 people in 2068.
- What is the lowest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Japan?
- The lowest recorded value was 1,294 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090.
- How does Japan rank for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates?
- Japan ranks 90th out of 236 countries with data for 2090.
- Is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates rising or falling in Japan?
- Over the last ten years it is down 8.5%. The long-run trend across the full record is flat.
- Where does this Japan data come from?
- The figures come from UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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About this data
Number of deaths in a year per 1,000 people in the population. Future projections are based on the UN's medium scenario.