Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Tunisia

Tunisia: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates was 1,287 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090. ▲ Rising

Latest (2090)
1,287 deaths per 1,000 people
Change on year
up 0.3%
World rank
92nd
of 236 countries
All-time high
1,287 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2090
All-time low
673.6 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2030
Years of data
61
2030–2090

Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Tunisia, 2030–2090

05001.0k1.5k203020602090

Source: UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in deaths per 1,000 people.

Analysis

Tunisia recorded 1,287 deaths per 1,000 people for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in 2090. That is the highest value across all 61 years on record.

The figure is up 0.3% on the previous year and up 0.9% over ten years.

Over the whole period, estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Tunisia peaked at 1,287 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090 and was at its lowest, 673.6 deaths per 1,000 people, in 2030.

That places Tunisia 92nd out of 236 countries with data for 2090, putting it in the middle of the range.

The long-run direction has been consistently rising across the 61 years of available data.

Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Tunisia, year by year

Annual values for Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Tunisia, 2030 to 2090.
Year deaths per 1,000 people Change
2030 673.6 deaths per 1,000 people —
2031 686.6 deaths per 1,000 people +1.9%
2032 699.6 deaths per 1,000 people +1.9%
2033 713.8 deaths per 1,000 people +2.0%
2034 728.3 deaths per 1,000 people +2.0%
2035 743.2 deaths per 1,000 people +2.0%
2036 758.4 deaths per 1,000 people +2.0%
2037 773.9 deaths per 1,000 people +2.0%
2038 789.5 deaths per 1,000 people +2.0%
2039 804.2 deaths per 1,000 people +1.9%
2040 819.4 deaths per 1,000 people +1.9%
2041 833.7 deaths per 1,000 people +1.7%
2042 848.2 deaths per 1,000 people +1.7%
2043 862.8 deaths per 1,000 people +1.7%
2044 876.7 deaths per 1,000 people +1.6%
2045 890 deaths per 1,000 people +1.5%
2046 903.2 deaths per 1,000 people +1.5%
2047 915.9 deaths per 1,000 people +1.4%
2048 928.4 deaths per 1,000 people +1.4%
2049 940.1 deaths per 1,000 people +1.3%
2050 953 deaths per 1,000 people +1.4%
2051 965.1 deaths per 1,000 people +1.3%
2052 976.1 deaths per 1,000 people +1.1%
2053 988.4 deaths per 1,000 people +1.3%
2054 1,000 deaths per 1,000 people +1.2%
2055 1,013 deaths per 1,000 people +1.2%
2056 1,024 deaths per 1,000 people +1.1%
2057 1,037 deaths per 1,000 people +1.2%
2058 1,050 deaths per 1,000 people +1.3%
2059 1,064 deaths per 1,000 people +1.3%
2060 1,078 deaths per 1,000 people +1.3%
2061 1,091 deaths per 1,000 people +1.3%
2062 1,105 deaths per 1,000 people +1.3%
2063 1,118 deaths per 1,000 people +1.2%
2064 1,133 deaths per 1,000 people +1.3%
2065 1,147 deaths per 1,000 people +1.3%
2066 1,160 deaths per 1,000 people +1.2%
2067 1,173 deaths per 1,000 people +1.1%
2068 1,187 deaths per 1,000 people +1.2%
2069 1,199 deaths per 1,000 people +1.0%
2070 1,210 deaths per 1,000 people +1.0%
2071 1,222 deaths per 1,000 people +0.9%
2072 1,232 deaths per 1,000 people +0.8%
2073 1,241 deaths per 1,000 people +0.7%
2074 1,248 deaths per 1,000 people +0.5%
2075 1,256 deaths per 1,000 people +0.6%
2076 1,261 deaths per 1,000 people +0.4%
2077 1,267 deaths per 1,000 people +0.4%
2078 1,272 deaths per 1,000 people +0.4%
2079 1,275 deaths per 1,000 people +0.3%
2080 1,276 deaths per 1,000 people +0.0%
2081 1,277 deaths per 1,000 people +0.1%
2082 1,278 deaths per 1,000 people +0.0%
2083 1,279 deaths per 1,000 people +0.1%
2084 1,279 deaths per 1,000 people +0.0%
2085 1,278 deaths per 1,000 people -0.1%
2086 1,279 deaths per 1,000 people +0.1%
2087 1,279 deaths per 1,000 people +0.1%
2088 1,282 deaths per 1,000 people +0.2%
2089 1,284 deaths per 1,000 people +0.2%
2090 1,287 deaths per 1,000 people +0.3%

Tunisia compared with similar countries

  • Tunisia's 1,287 deaths per 1,000 people is above the median for lower middle income countries, which is 1,052 deaths per 1,000 people, 1.2× the median. (47 countries reporting)
  • Tunisia's 1,287 deaths per 1,000 people is above the median for Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan & Pakistan, which is 898.9 deaths per 1,000 people, 1.4× the median. (23 countries reporting)

Averages by decade

DecadeAverage LowestHighest Years
2030s 737.11 deaths per 1,000 people 673.6 deaths per 1,000 people 804.2 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2040s 881.84 deaths per 1,000 people 819.4 deaths per 1,000 people 940.1 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2050s 1,007 deaths per 1,000 people 953 deaths per 1,000 people 1,064 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2060s 1,139 deaths per 1,000 people 1,078 deaths per 1,000 people 1,199 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2070s 1,248 deaths per 1,000 people 1,210 deaths per 1,000 people 1,275 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2080s 1,279 deaths per 1,000 people 1,276 deaths per 1,000 people 1,284 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2090s 1,287 deaths per 1,000 people 1,287 deaths per 1,000 people 1,287 deaths per 1,000 people 1

Countries ranked near Tunisia

  1. 89 Falkland Islands 1,295 deaths per 1,000 people compare
  2. 90 Japan 1,294 deaths per 1,000 people compare
  3. 91 Spain 1,290 deaths per 1,000 people compare
  4. 93 Dominican Republic 1,287 deaths per 1,000 people compare
  5. 94 East Timor 1,287 deaths per 1,000 people compare
  6. 95 Indonesia 1,286 deaths per 1,000 people compare

See the full ranking of 236 places →

More health data for Tunisia

All data for Tunisia →

Frequently asked questions

What is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Tunisia?
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Tunisia was 1,287 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090, according to UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data.
What is the highest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Tunisia?
The highest recorded value was 1,287 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090.
What is the lowest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Tunisia?
The lowest recorded value was 673.6 deaths per 1,000 people in 2030.
How does Tunisia rank for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates?
Tunisia ranks 92nd out of 236 countries with data for 2090.
Is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates rising or falling in Tunisia?
Over the last ten years it is up 0.9%. The long-run trend across the full record is rising.
Where does this Tunisia data come from?
The figures come from UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.

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Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Tunisia. Statizoid, drawing on UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Retrieved 05 October 2026, from https://health.statizoid.com/stat/heat-deaths-vs-projected-death-rates/tunisia/

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About this data

Indicator
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates
Unit
deaths per 1,000 people
Source
UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data
Licence
CC BY 4.0 (Our World in Data)
Coverage
236 places, 14,396 data points, 2030–2090
Last refreshed

Number of deaths in a year per 1,000 people in the population. Future projections are based on the UN's medium scenario.