Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Spain
Spain: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates was 1,290 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090. ▲ Rising
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Spain, 2030–2090
Source: UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in deaths per 1,000 people.
Analysis
Spain recorded 1,290 deaths per 1,000 people for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in 2090.
That represents a change of down 0.3% on the previous year and down 10.1% over ten years.
Over the whole period, estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Spain peaked at 1,625 deaths per 1,000 people in 2068 and was at its lowest, 990 deaths per 1,000 people, in 2030.
Spain ranks 91st of 236 countries on this measure, in the middle of the range.
The long-run direction has been consistently rising across the 61 years of available data.
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Spain, year by year
| Year | deaths per 1,000 people | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2030 | 990 deaths per 1,000 people | — |
| 2031 | 999.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2032 | 1,010 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2033 | 1,020 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2034 | 1,034 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.4% |
| 2035 | 1,048 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.4% |
| 2036 | 1,064 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.5% |
| 2037 | 1,079 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.4% |
| 2038 | 1,095 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.5% |
| 2039 | 1,112 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.5% |
| 2040 | 1,128 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.5% |
| 2041 | 1,146 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.6% |
| 2042 | 1,163 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.4% |
| 2043 | 1,181 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.6% |
| 2044 | 1,201 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.6% |
| 2045 | 1,220 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.6% |
| 2046 | 1,241 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.7% |
| 2047 | 1,262 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.7% |
| 2048 | 1,284 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.7% |
| 2049 | 1,306 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.7% |
| 2050 | 1,331 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.9% |
| 2051 | 1,353 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.6% |
| 2052 | 1,377 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.8% |
| 2053 | 1,400 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.7% |
| 2054 | 1,422 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.6% |
| 2055 | 1,445 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.7% |
| 2056 | 1,466 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.4% |
| 2057 | 1,487 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.5% |
| 2058 | 1,509 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.4% |
| 2059 | 1,528 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2060 | 1,547 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2061 | 1,564 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2062 | 1,577 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2063 | 1,592 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2064 | 1,602 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2065 | 1,611 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
| 2066 | 1,618 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2067 | 1,623 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2068 | 1,625 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.1% |
| 2069 | 1,623 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.1% |
| 2070 | 1,620 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.2% |
| 2071 | 1,611 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.5% |
| 2072 | 1,599 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.8% |
| 2073 | 1,586 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.8% |
| 2074 | 1,570 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.0% |
| 2075 | 1,551 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.2% |
| 2076 | 1,528 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.4% |
| 2077 | 1,504 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.6% |
| 2078 | 1,481 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.5% |
| 2079 | 1,457 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.7% |
| 2080 | 1,434 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.6% |
| 2081 | 1,412 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.5% |
| 2082 | 1,390 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.6% |
| 2083 | 1,370 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.4% |
| 2084 | 1,351 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.4% |
| 2085 | 1,336 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.1% |
| 2086 | 1,322 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.1% |
| 2087 | 1,309 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.9% |
| 2088 | 1,300 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.7% |
| 2089 | 1,293 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.5% |
| 2090 | 1,290 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.3% |
Spain compared with similar countries
- Spain's 1,290 deaths per 1,000 people is above the median for high income countries, which is 1,266 deaths per 1,000 people, 1.0× the median. (85 countries reporting)
- Spain's 1,290 deaths per 1,000 people is above the median for Europe & Central Asia, which is 1,269 deaths per 1,000 people, 1.0× the median. (56 countries reporting)
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2030s | 1,045 deaths per 1,000 people | 990 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,112 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2040s | 1,213 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,128 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,306 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2050s | 1,432 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,331 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,528 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2060s | 1,598 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,547 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,625 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2070s | 1,551 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,457 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,620 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2080s | 1,352 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,293 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,434 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2090s | 1,290 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,290 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,290 deaths per 1,000 people | 1 |
Countries ranked near Spain
- 88 Haiti 1,297 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 89 Falkland Islands 1,295 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 90 Japan 1,294 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 92 Tunisia 1,287 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 93 Dominican Republic 1,287 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 94 East Timor 1,287 deaths per 1,000 people compare
More health data for Spain
- Un projection of annual infant deaths, annual growth rate -1.82 % change on previous year (2100)
- Heat deaths vs projected death rates, annual growth rate -0.2629 % change on previous year (2090)
- Number of infants who die before age 1 108 deaths (2100)
- Neonatal tetanus - number of reported cases, gaps filled 0 (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, annual growth rate -0.0396 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, per unit of GDP 0 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, per capita 0.0173 units per person (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, annual growth rate -0.0227 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, per unit of GDP 0 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, per capita 0.0184 units per person (2025)
Frequently asked questions
- What is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Spain?
- Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Spain was 1,290 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090, according to UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Spain?
- The highest recorded value was 1,625 deaths per 1,000 people in 2068.
- What is the lowest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Spain?
- The lowest recorded value was 990 deaths per 1,000 people in 2030.
- How does Spain rank for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates?
- Spain ranks 91st out of 236 countries with data for 2090.
- Is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates rising or falling in Spain?
- Over the last ten years it is down 10.1%. The long-run trend across the full record is rising.
- Where does this Spain data come from?
- The figures come from UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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About this data
Number of deaths in a year per 1,000 people in the population. Future projections are based on the UN's medium scenario.