Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Spain

Spain: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates was 1,290 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090. ▲ Rising

Latest (2090)
1,290 deaths per 1,000 people
Change on year
down 0.3%
World rank
91st
of 236 countries
All-time high
1,625 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2068
All-time low
990 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2030
Years of data
61
2030–2090

Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Spain, 2030–2090

05001.0k1.5k203020602090

Source: UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in deaths per 1,000 people.

Analysis

Spain recorded 1,290 deaths per 1,000 people for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in 2090.

That represents a change of down 0.3% on the previous year and down 10.1% over ten years.

Over the whole period, estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Spain peaked at 1,625 deaths per 1,000 people in 2068 and was at its lowest, 990 deaths per 1,000 people, in 2030.

Spain ranks 91st of 236 countries on this measure, in the middle of the range.

The long-run direction has been consistently rising across the 61 years of available data.

Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Spain, year by year

Annual values for Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Spain, 2030 to 2090.
Year deaths per 1,000 people Change
2030 990 deaths per 1,000 people —
2031 999.3 deaths per 1,000 people +0.9%
2032 1,010 deaths per 1,000 people +1.0%
2033 1,020 deaths per 1,000 people +1.0%
2034 1,034 deaths per 1,000 people +1.4%
2035 1,048 deaths per 1,000 people +1.4%
2036 1,064 deaths per 1,000 people +1.5%
2037 1,079 deaths per 1,000 people +1.4%
2038 1,095 deaths per 1,000 people +1.5%
2039 1,112 deaths per 1,000 people +1.5%
2040 1,128 deaths per 1,000 people +1.5%
2041 1,146 deaths per 1,000 people +1.6%
2042 1,163 deaths per 1,000 people +1.4%
2043 1,181 deaths per 1,000 people +1.6%
2044 1,201 deaths per 1,000 people +1.6%
2045 1,220 deaths per 1,000 people +1.6%
2046 1,241 deaths per 1,000 people +1.7%
2047 1,262 deaths per 1,000 people +1.7%
2048 1,284 deaths per 1,000 people +1.7%
2049 1,306 deaths per 1,000 people +1.7%
2050 1,331 deaths per 1,000 people +1.9%
2051 1,353 deaths per 1,000 people +1.6%
2052 1,377 deaths per 1,000 people +1.8%
2053 1,400 deaths per 1,000 people +1.7%
2054 1,422 deaths per 1,000 people +1.6%
2055 1,445 deaths per 1,000 people +1.7%
2056 1,466 deaths per 1,000 people +1.4%
2057 1,487 deaths per 1,000 people +1.5%
2058 1,509 deaths per 1,000 people +1.4%
2059 1,528 deaths per 1,000 people +1.3%
2060 1,547 deaths per 1,000 people +1.2%
2061 1,564 deaths per 1,000 people +1.1%
2062 1,577 deaths per 1,000 people +0.9%
2063 1,592 deaths per 1,000 people +0.9%
2064 1,602 deaths per 1,000 people +0.6%
2065 1,611 deaths per 1,000 people +0.5%
2066 1,618 deaths per 1,000 people +0.4%
2067 1,623 deaths per 1,000 people +0.3%
2068 1,625 deaths per 1,000 people +0.1%
2069 1,623 deaths per 1,000 people -0.1%
2070 1,620 deaths per 1,000 people -0.2%
2071 1,611 deaths per 1,000 people -0.5%
2072 1,599 deaths per 1,000 people -0.8%
2073 1,586 deaths per 1,000 people -0.8%
2074 1,570 deaths per 1,000 people -1.0%
2075 1,551 deaths per 1,000 people -1.2%
2076 1,528 deaths per 1,000 people -1.4%
2077 1,504 deaths per 1,000 people -1.6%
2078 1,481 deaths per 1,000 people -1.5%
2079 1,457 deaths per 1,000 people -1.7%
2080 1,434 deaths per 1,000 people -1.6%
2081 1,412 deaths per 1,000 people -1.5%
2082 1,390 deaths per 1,000 people -1.6%
2083 1,370 deaths per 1,000 people -1.4%
2084 1,351 deaths per 1,000 people -1.4%
2085 1,336 deaths per 1,000 people -1.1%
2086 1,322 deaths per 1,000 people -1.1%
2087 1,309 deaths per 1,000 people -0.9%
2088 1,300 deaths per 1,000 people -0.7%
2089 1,293 deaths per 1,000 people -0.5%
2090 1,290 deaths per 1,000 people -0.3%

Spain compared with similar countries

  • Spain's 1,290 deaths per 1,000 people is above the median for high income countries, which is 1,266 deaths per 1,000 people, 1.0× the median. (85 countries reporting)
  • Spain's 1,290 deaths per 1,000 people is above the median for Europe & Central Asia, which is 1,269 deaths per 1,000 people, 1.0× the median. (56 countries reporting)

Averages by decade

DecadeAverage LowestHighest Years
2030s 1,045 deaths per 1,000 people 990 deaths per 1,000 people 1,112 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2040s 1,213 deaths per 1,000 people 1,128 deaths per 1,000 people 1,306 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2050s 1,432 deaths per 1,000 people 1,331 deaths per 1,000 people 1,528 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2060s 1,598 deaths per 1,000 people 1,547 deaths per 1,000 people 1,625 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2070s 1,551 deaths per 1,000 people 1,457 deaths per 1,000 people 1,620 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2080s 1,352 deaths per 1,000 people 1,293 deaths per 1,000 people 1,434 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2090s 1,290 deaths per 1,000 people 1,290 deaths per 1,000 people 1,290 deaths per 1,000 people 1

Countries ranked near Spain

  1. 88 Haiti 1,297 deaths per 1,000 people compare
  2. 89 Falkland Islands 1,295 deaths per 1,000 people compare
  3. 90 Japan 1,294 deaths per 1,000 people compare
  4. 92 Tunisia 1,287 deaths per 1,000 people compare
  5. 93 Dominican Republic 1,287 deaths per 1,000 people compare
  6. 94 East Timor 1,287 deaths per 1,000 people compare

See the full ranking of 236 places →

More health data for Spain

All data for Spain →

Frequently asked questions

What is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Spain?
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Spain was 1,290 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090, according to UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data.
What is the highest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Spain?
The highest recorded value was 1,625 deaths per 1,000 people in 2068.
What is the lowest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Spain?
The lowest recorded value was 990 deaths per 1,000 people in 2030.
How does Spain rank for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates?
Spain ranks 91st out of 236 countries with data for 2090.
Is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates rising or falling in Spain?
Over the last ten years it is down 10.1%. The long-run trend across the full record is rising.
Where does this Spain data come from?
The figures come from UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.

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Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Spain. Statizoid, drawing on UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Retrieved 26 September 2026, from https://health.statizoid.com/stat/heat-deaths-vs-projected-death-rates/spain/

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About this data

Indicator
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates
Unit
deaths per 1,000 people
Source
UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data
Licence
CC BY 4.0 (Our World in Data)
Coverage
236 places, 14,396 data points, 2030–2090
Last refreshed

Number of deaths in a year per 1,000 people in the population. Future projections are based on the UN's medium scenario.