Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Papua New Guinea
Papua New Guinea: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates was 1,127 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090. ▲ Rising
Latest (2090)
1,127 deaths per 1,000 people
Change on year
up 0.4%
World rank
139th
of 236 countries
All-time high
1,127 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2090
All-time low
685.6 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2030
Years of data
61
2030–2090
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Papua New Guinea, 2030–2090
Source: UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in deaths per 1,000 people.
Analysis
The most recent figure for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Papua New Guinea is 1,127 deaths per 1,000 people, measured in 2090. That is the highest value across all 61 years on record.
The figure is up 0.4% on the previous year and up 4.6% over ten years.
Over the whole period, estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Papua New Guinea peaked at 1,127 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090 and was at its lowest, 685.6 deaths per 1,000 people, in 2030.
Papua New Guinea ranks 139th of 236 countries on this measure, in the middle of the range.
The long-run direction has been consistently rising across the 61 years of available data.
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Papua New Guinea, year by year
| Year | deaths per 1,000 people | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2030 | 685.6 deaths per 1,000 people | — |
| 2031 | 691.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2032 | 698.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2033 | 705.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2034 | 712.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2035 | 720.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2036 | 728.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2037 | 736.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2038 | 744.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2039 | 753 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2040 | 761.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2041 | 770.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2042 | 779.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2043 | 788.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2044 | 797.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2045 | 805.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2046 | 815.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2047 | 823 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2048 | 831.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2049 | 840.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2050 | 849.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2051 | 858.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2052 | 867.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2053 | 875.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2054 | 884.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2055 | 893.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2056 | 901.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2057 | 910.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2058 | 918.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2059 | 927.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2060 | 935.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2061 | 944.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2062 | 953.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2063 | 961.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2064 | 968.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2065 | 977 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2066 | 984.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2067 | 992.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2068 | 999.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2069 | 1,007 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2070 | 1,014 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2071 | 1,021 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2072 | 1,028 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2073 | 1,036 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2074 | 1,042 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2075 | 1,047 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
| 2076 | 1,054 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2077 | 1,060 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2078 | 1,066 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
| 2079 | 1,072 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2080 | 1,078 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
| 2081 | 1,083 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
| 2082 | 1,089 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
| 2083 | 1,095 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
| 2084 | 1,100 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
| 2085 | 1,105 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
| 2086 | 1,110 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
| 2087 | 1,114 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2088 | 1,118 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2089 | 1,123 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2090 | 1,127 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2030s | 717.69 deaths per 1,000 people | 685.6 deaths per 1,000 people | 753 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2040s | 801.4 deaths per 1,000 people | 761.8 deaths per 1,000 people | 840.9 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2050s | 888.85 deaths per 1,000 people | 849.9 deaths per 1,000 people | 927.4 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2060s | 972.44 deaths per 1,000 people | 935.7 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,007 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2070s | 1,044 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,014 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,072 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2080s | 1,101 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,078 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,123 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2090s | 1,127 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,127 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,127 deaths per 1,000 people | 1 |
Countries ranked near Papua New Guinea
- 136 United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland 1,134 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 137 Gibraltar 1,132 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 138 New Caledonia 1,128 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 140 Cambodia 1,125 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 141 Guinea 1,123 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 142 Ireland 1,122 deaths per 1,000 people compare
More health data for Papua New Guinea
- Un projection of annual infant deaths, annual growth rate -1.77 % change on previous year (2100)
- Heat deaths vs projected death rates, annual growth rate 0.3741 % change on previous year (2090)
- Number of infants who die before age 1 2,501 deaths (2100)
- Population ages 0-14, female, annual growth rate 0.8327 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 0-14, female, per unit of GDP 0.0001 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 0-14, female, per capita 0.1596 units per person (2025)
- Population ages 0-14, male, annual growth rate 0.6669 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 0-14, male, per unit of GDP 0.0001 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 0-14, male, per capita 0.1718 units per person (2025)
- Population ages 0-14, total, annual growth rate 0.7467 % change on previous year (2025)
Frequently asked questions
- What is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Papua New Guinea?
- Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Papua New Guinea was 1,127 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090, according to UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Papua New Guinea?
- The highest recorded value was 1,127 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090.
- What is the lowest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Papua New Guinea?
- The lowest recorded value was 685.6 deaths per 1,000 people in 2030.
- How does Papua New Guinea rank for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates?
- Papua New Guinea ranks 139th out of 236 countries with data for 2090.
- Is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates rising or falling in Papua New Guinea?
- Over the last ten years it is up 4.6%. The long-run trend across the full record is rising.
- Where does this Papua New Guinea data come from?
- The figures come from UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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About this data
Number of deaths in a year per 1,000 people in the population. Future projections are based on the UN's medium scenario.