Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared in United Kingdom

United Kingdom: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared was 1,134 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090. ▲ Rising

Latest (2090)
1,134 deaths per 1,000 people
Change on year
up 0.0%
World rank
136th
of 236 countries
All-time high
1,134 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2088
All-time low
976.1 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2030
Years of data
61
2030–2090

Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in United Kingdom, 2030–2090

02505007501.0k1.2k203020602090

Source: UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in deaths per 1,000 people.

Analysis

United Kingdom recorded 1,134 deaths per 1,000 people for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in 2090.

That represents a change of up 0.9% over ten years.

Over the whole period, estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in United Kingdom peaked at 1,134 deaths per 1,000 people in 2088 and was at its lowest, 976.1 deaths per 1,000 people, in 2030.

That places United Kingdom 136th out of 236 countries with data for 2090, putting it in the middle of the range.

The long-run direction has been consistently rising across the 61 years of available data.

Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared in United Kingdom, year by year

Annual values for Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in United Kingdom, 2030 to 2090.
Year deaths per 1,000 people Change
2030 976.1 deaths per 1,000 people —
2031 980.8 deaths per 1,000 people +0.5%
2032 984.1 deaths per 1,000 people +0.3%
2033 989.9 deaths per 1,000 people +0.6%
2034 996 deaths per 1,000 people +0.6%
2035 1,001 deaths per 1,000 people +0.5%
2036 1,006 deaths per 1,000 people +0.5%
2037 1,012 deaths per 1,000 people +0.6%
2038 1,018 deaths per 1,000 people +0.6%
2039 1,024 deaths per 1,000 people +0.6%
2040 1,026 deaths per 1,000 people +0.2%
2041 1,031 deaths per 1,000 people +0.5%
2042 1,035 deaths per 1,000 people +0.4%
2043 1,038 deaths per 1,000 people +0.3%
2044 1,042 deaths per 1,000 people +0.4%
2045 1,045 deaths per 1,000 people +0.3%
2046 1,049 deaths per 1,000 people +0.4%
2047 1,054 deaths per 1,000 people +0.4%
2048 1,058 deaths per 1,000 people +0.4%
2049 1,064 deaths per 1,000 people +0.5%
2050 1,067 deaths per 1,000 people +0.3%
2051 1,071 deaths per 1,000 people +0.4%
2052 1,076 deaths per 1,000 people +0.5%
2053 1,082 deaths per 1,000 people +0.5%
2054 1,086 deaths per 1,000 people +0.4%
2055 1,091 deaths per 1,000 people +0.5%
2056 1,094 deaths per 1,000 people +0.3%
2057 1,098 deaths per 1,000 people +0.4%
2058 1,101 deaths per 1,000 people +0.2%
2059 1,103 deaths per 1,000 people +0.2%
2060 1,105 deaths per 1,000 people +0.1%
2061 1,105 deaths per 1,000 people +0.0%
2062 1,105 deaths per 1,000 people +0.0%
2063 1,105 deaths per 1,000 people -0.1%
2064 1,103 deaths per 1,000 people -0.2%
2065 1,102 deaths per 1,000 people -0.1%
2066 1,100 deaths per 1,000 people -0.1%
2067 1,099 deaths per 1,000 people -0.1%
2068 1,099 deaths per 1,000 people +0.0%
2069 1,098 deaths per 1,000 people -0.1%
2070 1,098 deaths per 1,000 people +0.0%
2071 1,098 deaths per 1,000 people +0.0%
2072 1,100 deaths per 1,000 people +0.2%
2073 1,102 deaths per 1,000 people +0.1%
2074 1,105 deaths per 1,000 people +0.3%
2075 1,109 deaths per 1,000 people +0.3%
2076 1,113 deaths per 1,000 people +0.4%
2077 1,115 deaths per 1,000 people +0.2%
2078 1,118 deaths per 1,000 people +0.2%
2079 1,121 deaths per 1,000 people +0.3%
2080 1,124 deaths per 1,000 people +0.2%
2081 1,126 deaths per 1,000 people +0.2%
2082 1,128 deaths per 1,000 people +0.2%
2083 1,129 deaths per 1,000 people +0.1%
2084 1,130 deaths per 1,000 people +0.1%
2085 1,132 deaths per 1,000 people +0.2%
2086 1,133 deaths per 1,000 people +0.0%
2087 1,134 deaths per 1,000 people +0.1%
2088 1,134 deaths per 1,000 people +0.0%
2089 1,133 deaths per 1,000 people -0.1%
2090 1,134 deaths per 1,000 people +0.0%

United Kingdom compared with similar countries

  • United Kingdom's 1,134 deaths per 1,000 people is below the median for high income countries, which is 1,266 deaths per 1,000 people, 90% of the median. (85 countries reporting)
  • United Kingdom's 1,134 deaths per 1,000 people is below the median for Europe & Central Asia, which is 1,269 deaths per 1,000 people, 89% of the median. (56 countries reporting)

Averages by decade

DecadeAverage LowestHighest Years
2030s 998.8 deaths per 1,000 people 976.1 deaths per 1,000 people 1,024 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2040s 1,044 deaths per 1,000 people 1,026 deaths per 1,000 people 1,064 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2050s 1,087 deaths per 1,000 people 1,067 deaths per 1,000 people 1,103 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2060s 1,102 deaths per 1,000 people 1,098 deaths per 1,000 people 1,105 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2070s 1,108 deaths per 1,000 people 1,098 deaths per 1,000 people 1,121 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2080s 1,130 deaths per 1,000 people 1,124 deaths per 1,000 people 1,134 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2090s 1,134 deaths per 1,000 people 1,134 deaths per 1,000 people 1,134 deaths per 1,000 people 1

Countries ranked near United Kingdom

  1. 133 Botswana 1,150 deaths per 1,000 people compare
  2. 134 American Samoa 1,150 deaths per 1,000 people compare
  3. 135 Burkina Faso 1,142 deaths per 1,000 people compare
  4. 137 Gibraltar 1,132 deaths per 1,000 people compare
  5. 138 New Caledonia 1,128 deaths per 1,000 people compare
  6. 139 Papua New Guinea 1,127 deaths per 1,000 people compare

See the full ranking of 236 places →

More health data for United Kingdom

All data for United Kingdom →

Frequently asked questions

What is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in United Kingdom?
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in United Kingdom was 1,134 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090, according to UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data.
What is the highest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in United Kingdom?
The highest recorded value was 1,134 deaths per 1,000 people in 2088.
What is the lowest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in United Kingdom?
The lowest recorded value was 976.1 deaths per 1,000 people in 2030.
How does United Kingdom rank for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates?
United Kingdom ranks 136th out of 236 countries with data for 2090.
Is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates rising or falling in United Kingdom?
Over the last ten years it is up 0.9%. The long-run trend across the full record is rising.
Where does this United Kingdom data come from?
The figures come from UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.

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Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in United Kingdom. Statizoid, drawing on UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Retrieved 11 October 2026, from https://health.statizoid.com/stat/heat-deaths-vs-projected-death-rates/united-kingdom/

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About this data

Indicator
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates
Unit
deaths per 1,000 people
Source
UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data
Licence
CC BY 4.0 (Our World in Data)
Coverage
236 places, 14,396 data points, 2030–2090
Last refreshed

Number of deaths in a year per 1,000 people in the population. Future projections are based on the UN's medium scenario.