Ireland vs Papua New Guinea: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates

Ireland
1,122 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2090
Papua New Guinea
1,127 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2090
Ireland rank
142nd
Papua New Guinea rank
139th

Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates over time

  • Ireland
  • Papua New Guinea
02505007501.0k1.2k203020602090

How they compare

Papua New Guinea currently reports 1,127 deaths per 1,000 people against 1,122 deaths per 1,000 people in Ireland, a difference of 5 deaths per 1,000 people.

The two have swapped places 1 time across 61 shared years of data; in 2030 it was Ireland ahead.

Ireland ranks 142nd and Papua New Guinea ranks 139th of 236 countries.

Across the 7 decades both report, Ireland averaged higher in 6 and Papua New Guinea in 1.

Head to head by decade

Decade Ireland Papua New Guinea Difference Ahead
2030s 777.51 deaths per 1,000 people 717.69 deaths per 1,000 people 59.82 deaths per 1,000 people Ireland
2040s 889.68 deaths per 1,000 people 801.4 deaths per 1,000 people 88.28 deaths per 1,000 people Ireland
2050s 1,007 deaths per 1,000 people 888.85 deaths per 1,000 people 118.26 deaths per 1,000 people Ireland
2060s 1,133 deaths per 1,000 people 972.44 deaths per 1,000 people 160.36 deaths per 1,000 people Ireland
2070s 1,181 deaths per 1,000 people 1,044 deaths per 1,000 people 136.81 deaths per 1,000 people Ireland
2080s 1,114 deaths per 1,000 people 1,101 deaths per 1,000 people 12.28 deaths per 1,000 people Ireland
2090s 1,122 deaths per 1,000 people 1,127 deaths per 1,000 people 4.6 deaths per 1,000 people Papua New Guinea

Averages of every year both report within each decade.

Frequently asked questions

Which has higher estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates, Ireland or Papua New Guinea?
Papua New Guinea, at 1,127 deaths per 1,000 people against 1,122 deaths per 1,000 people in Ireland as of 2090.
What is the difference in estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates between Ireland and Papua New Guinea?
5 deaths per 1,000 people, with Papua New Guinea ahead.
How many years of comparable data are there for Ireland and Papua New Guinea?
61 years are reported by both, from 2030 to 2090.
How do Ireland and Papua New Guinea rank globally for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates?
Ireland ranks 142nd and Papua New Guinea ranks 139th of 236 countries.
Where does this data come from?
UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data, published as Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid refreshes it automatically from the source and publishes the full history for both places.

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Ireland vs Papua New Guinea: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid, drawing on UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Retrieved 09 September 2026, from https://health.statizoid.com/compare/heat-deaths-vs-projected-death-rates/ireland/papua-new-guinea/

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About this data

Indicator
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates
Unit
deaths per 1,000 people
Source
UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data
Licence
CC BY 4.0 (Our World in Data)
Coverage
236 places, 14,396 data points, 2030–2090
Last refreshed

Number of deaths in a year per 1,000 people in the population. Future projections are based on the UN's medium scenario.