Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Ecuador
Ecuador: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates was 1,324 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090. ▲ Rising
Latest (2090)
1,324 deaths per 1,000 people
Change on year
up 0.7%
World rank
82nd
of 236 countries
All-time high
1,324 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2090
All-time low
559.2 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2030
Years of data
61
2030–2090
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Ecuador, 2030–2090
Source: UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in deaths per 1,000 people.
Analysis
The most recent figure for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Ecuador is 1,324 deaths per 1,000 people, measured in 2090. That is the highest value across all 61 years on record.
That represents a change of up 0.7% on the previous year and up 9.7% over ten years.
Over the whole period, estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Ecuador peaked at 1,324 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090 and was at its lowest, 559.2 deaths per 1,000 people, in 2030.
That places Ecuador 82nd out of 236 countries with data for 2090, putting it in the middle of the range.
The long-run direction has been consistently rising across the 61 years of available data.
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Ecuador, year by year
| Year | deaths per 1,000 people | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2030 | 559.2 deaths per 1,000 people | — |
| 2031 | 566.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.4% |
| 2032 | 574.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.4% |
| 2033 | 583.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.5% |
| 2034 | 591.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.4% |
| 2035 | 600 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.5% |
| 2036 | 608.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.5% |
| 2037 | 618.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.5% |
| 2038 | 627.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.6% |
| 2039 | 637.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.6% |
| 2040 | 647.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.5% |
| 2041 | 656.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.5% |
| 2042 | 667 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.5% |
| 2043 | 677.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.6% |
| 2044 | 687.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.6% |
| 2045 | 699.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.6% |
| 2046 | 710.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.6% |
| 2047 | 721.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.5% |
| 2048 | 732.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.6% |
| 2049 | 744.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.7% |
| 2050 | 757 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.6% |
| 2051 | 769 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.6% |
| 2052 | 781.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.6% |
| 2053 | 794 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.6% |
| 2054 | 807.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.7% |
| 2055 | 820.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.7% |
| 2056 | 834.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.7% |
| 2057 | 848.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.6% |
| 2058 | 863.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.7% |
| 2059 | 877.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.7% |
| 2060 | 892.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.7% |
| 2061 | 906.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.6% |
| 2062 | 922.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.8% |
| 2063 | 937.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.7% |
| 2064 | 953.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.7% |
| 2065 | 969.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.7% |
| 2066 | 985 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.6% |
| 2067 | 1,001 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.6% |
| 2068 | 1,016 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.6% |
| 2069 | 1,033 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.6% |
| 2070 | 1,049 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.6% |
| 2071 | 1,066 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.6% |
| 2072 | 1,082 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.5% |
| 2073 | 1,098 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.5% |
| 2074 | 1,115 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.5% |
| 2075 | 1,130 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2076 | 1,146 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.4% |
| 2077 | 1,162 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.4% |
| 2078 | 1,178 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.4% |
| 2079 | 1,193 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2080 | 1,208 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2081 | 1,221 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2082 | 1,235 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2083 | 1,249 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2084 | 1,261 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2085 | 1,273 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2086 | 1,285 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2087 | 1,295 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2088 | 1,305 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2089 | 1,315 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2090 | 1,324 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
Ecuador compared with similar countries
- Ecuador's 1,324 deaths per 1,000 people is below the median for upper middle income countries, which is 1,332 deaths per 1,000 people, 99% of the median. (58 countries reporting)
- Ecuador's 1,324 deaths per 1,000 people is below the median for Latin America & Caribbean, which is 1,420 deaths per 1,000 people, 93% of the median. (42 countries reporting)
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2030s | 596.72 deaths per 1,000 people | 559.2 deaths per 1,000 people | 637.6 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2040s | 694.52 deaths per 1,000 people | 647.4 deaths per 1,000 people | 744.9 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2050s | 815.31 deaths per 1,000 people | 757 deaths per 1,000 people | 877.4 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2060s | 961.7 deaths per 1,000 people | 892.3 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,033 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2070s | 1,122 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,049 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,193 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2080s | 1,265 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,208 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,315 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2090s | 1,324 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,324 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,324 deaths per 1,000 people | 1 |
Countries ranked near Ecuador
More health data for Ecuador
- Un projection of annual infant deaths, annual growth rate -1.67 % change on previous year (2100)
- Heat deaths vs projected death rates, annual growth rate 0.6766 % change on previous year (2090)
- Number of infants who die before age 1 354 deaths (2100)
- Neonatal tetanus - number of reported cases, gaps filled 0 (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, annual growth rate -1.67 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, per unit of GDP 0 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, per capita 0.0362 units per person (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, annual growth rate -1.67 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, per unit of GDP 0 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, per capita 0.0378 units per person (2025)
Frequently asked questions
- What is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Ecuador?
- Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Ecuador was 1,324 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090, according to UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Ecuador?
- The highest recorded value was 1,324 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090.
- What is the lowest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Ecuador?
- The lowest recorded value was 559.2 deaths per 1,000 people in 2030.
- How does Ecuador rank for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates?
- Ecuador ranks 82nd out of 236 countries with data for 2090.
- Is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates rising or falling in Ecuador?
- Over the last ten years it is up 9.7%. The long-run trend across the full record is rising.
- Where does this Ecuador data come from?
- The figures come from UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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About this data
Number of deaths in a year per 1,000 people in the population. Future projections are based on the UN's medium scenario.