Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Eswatini

Eswatini: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates was 1,406 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090. ▲ Rising

Latest (2090)
1,406 deaths per 1,000 people
Change on year
up 0.6%
World rank
68th
of 236 countries
All-time high
1,406 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2090
All-time low
794.5 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2030
Years of data
61
2030–2090

Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Eswatini, 2030–2090

05001.0k1.5k203020602090

Source: UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in deaths per 1,000 people.

Analysis

Eswatini recorded 1,406 deaths per 1,000 people for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in 2090. That is the highest value across all 61 years on record.

The figure is up 0.6% on the previous year and up 7.2% over ten years.

Over the whole period, estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Eswatini peaked at 1,406 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090 and was at its lowest, 794.5 deaths per 1,000 people, in 2030.

Eswatini ranks 68th of 236 countries on this measure, in the middle of the range.

The long-run direction has been consistently rising across the 61 years of available data.

Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Eswatini, year by year

Annual values for Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Eswatini, 2030 to 2090.
Year deaths per 1,000 people Change
2030 794.5 deaths per 1,000 people
2031 798.5 deaths per 1,000 people +0.5%
2032 802.9 deaths per 1,000 people +0.6%
2033 807.7 deaths per 1,000 people +0.6%
2034 812.8 deaths per 1,000 people +0.6%
2035 818 deaths per 1,000 people +0.6%
2036 823.2 deaths per 1,000 people +0.6%
2037 829.4 deaths per 1,000 people +0.8%
2038 835.3 deaths per 1,000 people +0.7%
2039 841 deaths per 1,000 people +0.7%
2040 847.4 deaths per 1,000 people +0.8%
2041 854.1 deaths per 1,000 people +0.8%
2042 861.7 deaths per 1,000 people +0.9%
2043 869.3 deaths per 1,000 people +0.9%
2044 877.3 deaths per 1,000 people +0.9%
2045 884.7 deaths per 1,000 people +0.8%
2046 892.6 deaths per 1,000 people +0.9%
2047 901.3 deaths per 1,000 people +1.0%
2048 910.5 deaths per 1,000 people +1.0%
2049 920.3 deaths per 1,000 people +1.1%
2050 930.5 deaths per 1,000 people +1.1%
2051 940.4 deaths per 1,000 people +1.1%
2052 951.2 deaths per 1,000 people +1.1%
2053 962.5 deaths per 1,000 people +1.2%
2054 974.3 deaths per 1,000 people +1.2%
2055 986.9 deaths per 1,000 people +1.3%
2056 999.6 deaths per 1,000 people +1.3%
2057 1,013 deaths per 1,000 people +1.3%
2058 1,027 deaths per 1,000 people +1.4%
2059 1,040 deaths per 1,000 people +1.3%
2060 1,054 deaths per 1,000 people +1.4%
2061 1,069 deaths per 1,000 people +1.4%
2062 1,083 deaths per 1,000 people +1.3%
2063 1,098 deaths per 1,000 people +1.4%
2064 1,113 deaths per 1,000 people +1.4%
2065 1,128 deaths per 1,000 people +1.4%
2066 1,142 deaths per 1,000 people +1.3%
2067 1,156 deaths per 1,000 people +1.2%
2068 1,170 deaths per 1,000 people +1.2%
2069 1,183 deaths per 1,000 people +1.1%
2070 1,197 deaths per 1,000 people +1.2%
2071 1,210 deaths per 1,000 people +1.1%
2072 1,223 deaths per 1,000 people +1.0%
2073 1,236 deaths per 1,000 people +1.0%
2074 1,248 deaths per 1,000 people +1.0%
2075 1,259 deaths per 1,000 people +0.9%
2076 1,270 deaths per 1,000 people +0.9%
2077 1,281 deaths per 1,000 people +0.9%
2078 1,291 deaths per 1,000 people +0.8%
2079 1,302 deaths per 1,000 people +0.9%
2080 1,312 deaths per 1,000 people +0.7%
2081 1,322 deaths per 1,000 people +0.8%
2082 1,331 deaths per 1,000 people +0.7%
2083 1,342 deaths per 1,000 people +0.8%
2084 1,352 deaths per 1,000 people +0.8%
2085 1,362 deaths per 1,000 people +0.7%
2086 1,372 deaths per 1,000 people +0.8%
2087 1,380 deaths per 1,000 people +0.6%
2088 1,389 deaths per 1,000 people +0.6%
2089 1,397 deaths per 1,000 people +0.6%
2090 1,406 deaths per 1,000 people +0.6%

Eswatini compared with similar countries

  • Eswatini's 1,406 deaths per 1,000 people is above the median for lower middle income countries, which is 1,052 deaths per 1,000 people, 1.3× the median. (47 countries reporting)
  • Eswatini's 1,406 deaths per 1,000 people is above the median for Sub-Saharan Africa, which is 887.35 deaths per 1,000 people, 1.6× the median. (48 countries reporting)

Averages by decade

DecadeAverage LowestHighest Years
2030s 816.33 deaths per 1,000 people 794.5 deaths per 1,000 people 841 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2040s 881.92 deaths per 1,000 people 847.4 deaths per 1,000 people 920.3 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2050s 982.53 deaths per 1,000 people 930.5 deaths per 1,000 people 1,040 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2060s 1,120 deaths per 1,000 people 1,054 deaths per 1,000 people 1,183 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2070s 1,252 deaths per 1,000 people 1,197 deaths per 1,000 people 1,302 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2080s 1,356 deaths per 1,000 people 1,312 deaths per 1,000 people 1,397 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2090s 1,406 deaths per 1,000 people 1,406 deaths per 1,000 people 1,406 deaths per 1,000 people 1

Countries ranked near Eswatini

  1. 65 Turks and Caicos Islands 1,416 deaths per 1,000 people compare
  2. 66 Belize 1,415 deaths per 1,000 people compare
  3. 67 Italy 1,408 deaths per 1,000 people compare
  4. 69 Sint Maarten (Dutch part) 1,405 deaths per 1,000 people compare
  5. 70 Isle of Man 1,398 deaths per 1,000 people compare
  6. 71 Myanmar 1,398 deaths per 1,000 people compare

See the full ranking of 236 places →

More health data for Eswatini

All data for Eswatini →

Frequently asked questions

What is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Eswatini?
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Eswatini was 1,406 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090, according to UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data.
What is the highest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Eswatini?
The highest recorded value was 1,406 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090.
What is the lowest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Eswatini?
The lowest recorded value was 794.5 deaths per 1,000 people in 2030.
How does Eswatini rank for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates?
Eswatini ranks 68th out of 236 countries with data for 2090.
Is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates rising or falling in Eswatini?
Over the last ten years it is up 7.2%. The long-run trend across the full record is rising.
Where does this Eswatini data come from?
The figures come from UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.

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Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Eswatini. Statizoid, drawing on UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Retrieved 21 September 2026, from https://health.statizoid.com/stat/heat-deaths-vs-projected-death-rates/eswatini/

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About this data

Indicator
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates
Unit
deaths per 1,000 people
Source
UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data
Licence
CC BY 4.0 (Our World in Data)
Coverage
236 places, 14,396 data points, 2030–2090
Last refreshed

Number of deaths in a year per 1,000 people in the population. Future projections are based on the UN's medium scenario.