Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Nepal

Nepal: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates was 1,326 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090. ▲ Rising

Latest (2090)
1,326 deaths per 1,000 people
Change on year
up 0.9%
World rank
80th
of 236 countries
All-time high
1,326 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2090
All-time low
697.1 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2031
Years of data
61
2030–2090

Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Nepal, 2030–2090

05001.0k1.5k203020602090

Source: UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in deaths per 1,000 people.

Analysis

Nepal recorded 1,326 deaths per 1,000 people for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in 2090. That is the highest value across all 61 years on record.

The figure is up 0.9% on the previous year and up 12.3% over ten years.

Over the whole period, estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Nepal peaked at 1,326 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090 and was at its lowest, 697.1 deaths per 1,000 people, in 2031.

That places Nepal 80th out of 236 countries with data for 2090, putting it in the middle of the range.

The long-run direction has been consistently rising across the 61 years of available data.

Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Nepal, year by year

Annual values for Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Nepal, 2030 to 2090.
Year deaths per 1,000 people Change
2030 697.8 deaths per 1,000 people —
2031 697.1 deaths per 1,000 people -0.1%
2032 697.2 deaths per 1,000 people +0.0%
2033 697.7 deaths per 1,000 people +0.1%
2034 698.8 deaths per 1,000 people +0.2%
2035 699.7 deaths per 1,000 people +0.1%
2036 700.3 deaths per 1,000 people +0.1%
2037 701.9 deaths per 1,000 people +0.2%
2038 703.9 deaths per 1,000 people +0.3%
2039 706.7 deaths per 1,000 people +0.4%
2040 709.6 deaths per 1,000 people +0.4%
2041 713 deaths per 1,000 people +0.5%
2042 717.4 deaths per 1,000 people +0.6%
2043 721.5 deaths per 1,000 people +0.6%
2044 726.7 deaths per 1,000 people +0.7%
2045 732.3 deaths per 1,000 people +0.8%
2046 738.5 deaths per 1,000 people +0.8%
2047 745.9 deaths per 1,000 people +1.0%
2048 752.8 deaths per 1,000 people +0.9%
2049 760.7 deaths per 1,000 people +1.0%
2050 768.9 deaths per 1,000 people +1.1%
2051 777.3 deaths per 1,000 people +1.1%
2052 786.3 deaths per 1,000 people +1.2%
2053 796.2 deaths per 1,000 people +1.3%
2054 805.3 deaths per 1,000 people +1.1%
2055 815.2 deaths per 1,000 people +1.2%
2056 825.7 deaths per 1,000 people +1.3%
2057 836.4 deaths per 1,000 people +1.3%
2058 847 deaths per 1,000 people +1.3%
2059 858.8 deaths per 1,000 people +1.4%
2060 871.4 deaths per 1,000 people +1.5%
2061 884 deaths per 1,000 people +1.4%
2062 897.1 deaths per 1,000 people +1.5%
2063 910.8 deaths per 1,000 people +1.5%
2064 924.5 deaths per 1,000 people +1.5%
2065 938.3 deaths per 1,000 people +1.5%
2066 952.7 deaths per 1,000 people +1.5%
2067 967.9 deaths per 1,000 people +1.6%
2068 982.8 deaths per 1,000 people +1.5%
2069 997.6 deaths per 1,000 people +1.5%
2070 1,013 deaths per 1,000 people +1.5%
2071 1,029 deaths per 1,000 people +1.6%
2072 1,045 deaths per 1,000 people +1.6%
2073 1,062 deaths per 1,000 people +1.6%
2074 1,078 deaths per 1,000 people +1.6%
2075 1,095 deaths per 1,000 people +1.6%
2076 1,112 deaths per 1,000 people +1.6%
2077 1,130 deaths per 1,000 people +1.6%
2078 1,146 deaths per 1,000 people +1.4%
2079 1,164 deaths per 1,000 people +1.6%
2080 1,180 deaths per 1,000 people +1.4%
2081 1,197 deaths per 1,000 people +1.4%
2082 1,213 deaths per 1,000 people +1.4%
2083 1,230 deaths per 1,000 people +1.4%
2084 1,245 deaths per 1,000 people +1.3%
2085 1,260 deaths per 1,000 people +1.2%
2086 1,275 deaths per 1,000 people +1.2%
2087 1,289 deaths per 1,000 people +1.1%
2088 1,303 deaths per 1,000 people +1.0%
2089 1,315 deaths per 1,000 people +0.9%
2090 1,326 deaths per 1,000 people +0.9%

Nepal compared with similar countries

  • Nepal's 1,326 deaths per 1,000 people is above the median for lower middle income countries, which is 1,052 deaths per 1,000 people, 1.3× the median. (47 countries reporting)
  • Nepal's 1,326 deaths per 1,000 people is below the median for South Asia, which is 1,329 deaths per 1,000 people, 100% of the median. (6 countries reporting)

Averages by decade

DecadeAverage LowestHighest Years
2030s 700.11 deaths per 1,000 people 697.1 deaths per 1,000 people 706.7 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2040s 731.84 deaths per 1,000 people 709.6 deaths per 1,000 people 760.7 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2050s 811.71 deaths per 1,000 people 768.9 deaths per 1,000 people 858.8 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2060s 932.71 deaths per 1,000 people 871.4 deaths per 1,000 people 997.6 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2070s 1,087 deaths per 1,000 people 1,013 deaths per 1,000 people 1,164 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2080s 1,251 deaths per 1,000 people 1,180 deaths per 1,000 people 1,315 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2090s 1,326 deaths per 1,000 people 1,326 deaths per 1,000 people 1,326 deaths per 1,000 people 1

Countries ranked near Nepal

  1. 77 Fiji 1,339 deaths per 1,000 people compare
  2. 78 Seychelles 1,333 deaths per 1,000 people compare
  3. 79 India 1,332 deaths per 1,000 people compare
  4. 81 Cyprus 1,325 deaths per 1,000 people compare
  5. 82 Ecuador 1,324 deaths per 1,000 people compare
  6. 83 Greece 1,321 deaths per 1,000 people compare

See the full ranking of 236 places →

More health data for Nepal

All data for Nepal →

Frequently asked questions

What is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Nepal?
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Nepal was 1,326 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090, according to UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data.
What is the highest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Nepal?
The highest recorded value was 1,326 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090.
What is the lowest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Nepal?
The lowest recorded value was 697.1 deaths per 1,000 people in 2031.
How does Nepal rank for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates?
Nepal ranks 80th out of 236 countries with data for 2090.
Is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates rising or falling in Nepal?
Over the last ten years it is up 12.3%. The long-run trend across the full record is rising.
Where does this Nepal data come from?
The figures come from UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.

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Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Nepal. Statizoid, drawing on UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Retrieved 03 October 2026, from https://health.statizoid.com/stat/heat-deaths-vs-projected-death-rates/nepal/

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About this data

Indicator
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates
Unit
deaths per 1,000 people
Source
UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data
Licence
CC BY 4.0 (Our World in Data)
Coverage
236 places, 14,396 data points, 2030–2090
Last refreshed

Number of deaths in a year per 1,000 people in the population. Future projections are based on the UN's medium scenario.