Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in India
India: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates was 1,332 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090. ▲ Rising
Latest (2090)
1,332 deaths per 1,000 people
Change on year
up 0.4%
World rank
79th
of 236 countries
All-time high
1,332 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2090
All-time low
694.8 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2030
Years of data
61
2030–2090
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in India, 2030–2090
Source: UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in deaths per 1,000 people.
Analysis
In 2090, estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in India stood at 1,332 deaths per 1,000 people. That is the highest value across all 61 years on record.
The figure is up 0.4% on the previous year and up 7.0% over ten years.
Over the whole period, estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in India peaked at 1,332 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090 and was at its lowest, 694.8 deaths per 1,000 people, in 2030.
That places India 79th out of 236 countries with data for 2090, putting it in the middle of the range.
The long-run direction has been consistently rising across the 61 years of available data.
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in India, year by year
| Year | deaths per 1,000 people | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2030 | 694.8 deaths per 1,000 people | — |
| 2031 | 702.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2032 | 709.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2033 | 716.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2034 | 724.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2035 | 732.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2036 | 741.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2037 | 750.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2038 | 759.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2039 | 768.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2040 | 777.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2041 | 787.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2042 | 797.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2043 | 807.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2044 | 817 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2045 | 827.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2046 | 837.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2047 | 848 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2048 | 858.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2049 | 869.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2050 | 880.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2051 | 891 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2052 | 902.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2053 | 913.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2054 | 925.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2055 | 936.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2056 | 948.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2057 | 959.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2058 | 971.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2059 | 983.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2060 | 995.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2061 | 1,008 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2062 | 1,021 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2063 | 1,033 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2064 | 1,046 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2065 | 1,059 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2066 | 1,072 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2067 | 1,085 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2068 | 1,098 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2069 | 1,111 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2070 | 1,125 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2071 | 1,138 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2072 | 1,152 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2073 | 1,163 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2074 | 1,176 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2075 | 1,188 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2076 | 1,200 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2077 | 1,212 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2078 | 1,224 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2079 | 1,234 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2080 | 1,246 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2081 | 1,255 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2082 | 1,265 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2083 | 1,275 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2084 | 1,284 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2085 | 1,294 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2086 | 1,303 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2087 | 1,311 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2088 | 1,319 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2089 | 1,327 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2090 | 1,332 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
India compared with similar countries
- India's 1,332 deaths per 1,000 people is above the median for lower middle income countries, which is 1,052 deaths per 1,000 people, 1.3× the median. (47 countries reporting)
- India's 1,332 deaths per 1,000 people is above the median for South Asia, which is 1,329 deaths per 1,000 people, 1.0× the median. (6 countries reporting)
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2030s | 729.95 deaths per 1,000 people | 694.8 deaths per 1,000 people | 768.5 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2040s | 822.69 deaths per 1,000 people | 777.3 deaths per 1,000 people | 869.3 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2050s | 931.25 deaths per 1,000 people | 880.3 deaths per 1,000 people | 983.6 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2060s | 1,053 deaths per 1,000 people | 995.9 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,111 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2070s | 1,181 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,125 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,234 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2080s | 1,288 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,246 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,327 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2090s | 1,332 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,332 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,332 deaths per 1,000 people | 1 |
Countries ranked near India
More health data for India
- Un projection of annual infant deaths, annual growth rate -2.12 % change on previous year (2100)
- Heat deaths vs projected death rates, annual growth rate 0.4372 % change on previous year (2090)
- Number of infants who die before age 1 44,822 deaths (2100)
- Neonatal tetanus - number of reported cases, gaps filled 38 (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, annual growth rate -0.3809 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, per unit of GDP 0 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, per capita 0.0372 units per person (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, annual growth rate -0.5922 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, per unit of GDP 0 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, per capita 0.04 units per person (2025)
Frequently asked questions
- What is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in India?
- Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in India was 1,332 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090, according to UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in India?
- The highest recorded value was 1,332 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090.
- What is the lowest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in India?
- The lowest recorded value was 694.8 deaths per 1,000 people in 2030.
- How does India rank for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates?
- India ranks 79th out of 236 countries with data for 2090.
- Is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates rising or falling in India?
- Over the last ten years it is up 7.0%. The long-run trend across the full record is rising.
- Where does this India data come from?
- The figures come from UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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About this data
Number of deaths in a year per 1,000 people in the population. Future projections are based on the UN's medium scenario.