Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Botswana

Botswana: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates was 1,150 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090. ▲ Rising

Latest (2090)
1,150 deaths per 1,000 people
Change on year
up 0.2%
World rank
133rd
of 236 countries
All-time high
1,150 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2090
All-time low
583.9 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2030
Years of data
61
2030–2090

Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Botswana, 2030–2090

02505007501.0k1.2k203020602090

Source: UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in deaths per 1,000 people.

Analysis

In 2090, estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Botswana stood at 1,150 deaths per 1,000 people. That is the highest value across all 61 years on record.

Compared with earlier readings it is up 0.2% on the previous year and up 4.0% over ten years.

Over the whole period, estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Botswana peaked at 1,150 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090 and was at its lowest, 583.9 deaths per 1,000 people, in 2030.

That places Botswana 133rd out of 236 countries with data for 2090, putting it in the middle of the range.

The long-run direction has been consistently rising across the 61 years of available data.

Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Botswana, year by year

Annual values for Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Botswana, 2030 to 2090.
Year deaths per 1,000 people Change
2030 583.9 deaths per 1,000 people —
2031 587.3 deaths per 1,000 people +0.6%
2032 591.2 deaths per 1,000 people +0.7%
2033 595.5 deaths per 1,000 people +0.7%
2034 599.7 deaths per 1,000 people +0.7%
2035 604.9 deaths per 1,000 people +0.9%
2036 610.8 deaths per 1,000 people +1.0%
2037 617.2 deaths per 1,000 people +1.0%
2038 623.9 deaths per 1,000 people +1.1%
2039 631.5 deaths per 1,000 people +1.2%
2040 639.3 deaths per 1,000 people +1.2%
2041 647.6 deaths per 1,000 people +1.3%
2042 656.2 deaths per 1,000 people +1.3%
2043 665.1 deaths per 1,000 people +1.4%
2044 674.4 deaths per 1,000 people +1.4%
2045 684 deaths per 1,000 people +1.4%
2046 693.4 deaths per 1,000 people +1.4%
2047 703.5 deaths per 1,000 people +1.5%
2048 713.1 deaths per 1,000 people +1.4%
2049 723.6 deaths per 1,000 people +1.5%
2050 734.7 deaths per 1,000 people +1.5%
2051 745.4 deaths per 1,000 people +1.5%
2052 756.5 deaths per 1,000 people +1.5%
2053 767.7 deaths per 1,000 people +1.5%
2054 779.4 deaths per 1,000 people +1.5%
2055 792 deaths per 1,000 people +1.6%
2056 804 deaths per 1,000 people +1.5%
2057 815.8 deaths per 1,000 people +1.5%
2058 828.3 deaths per 1,000 people +1.5%
2059 840.7 deaths per 1,000 people +1.5%
2060 854 deaths per 1,000 people +1.6%
2061 867.4 deaths per 1,000 people +1.6%
2062 880.7 deaths per 1,000 people +1.5%
2063 894.5 deaths per 1,000 people +1.6%
2064 908.9 deaths per 1,000 people +1.6%
2065 922.5 deaths per 1,000 people +1.5%
2066 936.5 deaths per 1,000 people +1.5%
2067 951.1 deaths per 1,000 people +1.6%
2068 965.7 deaths per 1,000 people +1.5%
2069 979.5 deaths per 1,000 people +1.4%
2070 994.4 deaths per 1,000 people +1.5%
2071 1,009 deaths per 1,000 people +1.5%
2072 1,022 deaths per 1,000 people +1.3%
2073 1,035 deaths per 1,000 people +1.2%
2074 1,047 deaths per 1,000 people +1.2%
2075 1,059 deaths per 1,000 people +1.1%
2076 1,070 deaths per 1,000 people +1.0%
2077 1,080 deaths per 1,000 people +1.0%
2078 1,090 deaths per 1,000 people +0.9%
2079 1,099 deaths per 1,000 people +0.9%
2080 1,106 deaths per 1,000 people +0.7%
2081 1,114 deaths per 1,000 people +0.7%
2082 1,120 deaths per 1,000 people +0.6%
2083 1,126 deaths per 1,000 people +0.5%
2084 1,132 deaths per 1,000 people +0.5%
2085 1,136 deaths per 1,000 people +0.4%
2086 1,140 deaths per 1,000 people +0.3%
2087 1,142 deaths per 1,000 people +0.2%
2088 1,145 deaths per 1,000 people +0.2%
2089 1,148 deaths per 1,000 people +0.3%
2090 1,150 deaths per 1,000 people +0.2%

Botswana compared with similar countries

  • Botswana's 1,150 deaths per 1,000 people is below the median for upper middle income countries, which is 1,332 deaths per 1,000 people, 86% of the median. (58 countries reporting)
  • Botswana's 1,150 deaths per 1,000 people is above the median for Sub-Saharan Africa, which is 887.35 deaths per 1,000 people, 1.3× the median. (48 countries reporting)

Averages by decade

DecadeAverage LowestHighest Years
2030s 604.59 deaths per 1,000 people 583.9 deaths per 1,000 people 631.5 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2040s 680.02 deaths per 1,000 people 639.3 deaths per 1,000 people 723.6 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2050s 786.45 deaths per 1,000 people 734.7 deaths per 1,000 people 840.7 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2060s 916.08 deaths per 1,000 people 854 deaths per 1,000 people 979.5 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2070s 1,051 deaths per 1,000 people 994.4 deaths per 1,000 people 1,099 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2080s 1,131 deaths per 1,000 people 1,106 deaths per 1,000 people 1,148 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2090s 1,150 deaths per 1,000 people 1,150 deaths per 1,000 people 1,150 deaths per 1,000 people 1

Countries ranked near Botswana

  1. 130 Jersey 1,155 deaths per 1,000 people compare
  2. 131 Bangladesh 1,153 deaths per 1,000 people compare
  3. 132 South Africa 1,152 deaths per 1,000 people compare
  4. 134 American Samoa 1,150 deaths per 1,000 people compare
  5. 135 Burkina Faso 1,142 deaths per 1,000 people compare
  6. 136 United Kingdom 1,134 deaths per 1,000 people compare

See the full ranking of 236 places →

More health data for Botswana

All data for Botswana →

Frequently asked questions

What is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Botswana?
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Botswana was 1,150 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090, according to UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data.
What is the highest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Botswana?
The highest recorded value was 1,150 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090.
What is the lowest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Botswana?
The lowest recorded value was 583.9 deaths per 1,000 people in 2030.
How does Botswana rank for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates?
Botswana ranks 133rd out of 236 countries with data for 2090.
Is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates rising or falling in Botswana?
Over the last ten years it is up 4.0%. The long-run trend across the full record is rising.
Where does this Botswana data come from?
The figures come from UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.

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Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Botswana. Statizoid, drawing on UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Retrieved 26 September 2026, from https://health.statizoid.com/stat/heat-deaths-vs-projected-death-rates/botswana/

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About this data

Indicator
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates
Unit
deaths per 1,000 people
Source
UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data
Licence
CC BY 4.0 (Our World in Data)
Coverage
236 places, 14,396 data points, 2030–2090
Last refreshed

Number of deaths in a year per 1,000 people in the population. Future projections are based on the UN's medium scenario.