Botswana vs South Africa: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates

Botswana
1,150 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2090
South Africa
1,152 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2090
Botswana rank
133rd
South Africa rank
132nd

Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates over time

  • Botswana
  • South Africa
02505007501.0k1.2k203020602090

How they compare

South Africa currently reports 1,152 deaths per 1,000 people against 1,150 deaths per 1,000 people in Botswana, a difference of 2 deaths per 1,000 people.

Across all 61 years both countries report, South Africa has been ahead every year.

Botswana ranks 133rd and South Africa ranks 132nd of 236 countries.

South Africa has averaged higher in every one of the 7 decades both report.

Head to head by decade

Decade Botswana South Africa Difference Ahead
2030s 604.59 deaths per 1,000 people 974.07 deaths per 1,000 people 369.48 deaths per 1,000 people South Africa
2040s 680.02 deaths per 1,000 people 1,038 deaths per 1,000 people 357.67 deaths per 1,000 people South Africa
2050s 786.45 deaths per 1,000 people 1,097 deaths per 1,000 people 310.43 deaths per 1,000 people South Africa
2060s 916.08 deaths per 1,000 people 1,140 deaths per 1,000 people 223.55 deaths per 1,000 people South Africa
2070s 1,051 deaths per 1,000 people 1,162 deaths per 1,000 people 111.34 deaths per 1,000 people South Africa
2080s 1,131 deaths per 1,000 people 1,159 deaths per 1,000 people 28.17 deaths per 1,000 people South Africa
2090s 1,150 deaths per 1,000 people 1,152 deaths per 1,000 people 1.9 deaths per 1,000 people South Africa

Averages of every year both report within each decade.

Frequently asked questions

Which has higher estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates, Botswana or South Africa?
South Africa, at 1,152 deaths per 1,000 people against 1,150 deaths per 1,000 people in Botswana as of 2090.
What is the difference in estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates between Botswana and South Africa?
2 deaths per 1,000 people, with South Africa ahead.
How many years of comparable data are there for Botswana and South Africa?
61 years are reported by both, from 2030 to 2090.
How do Botswana and South Africa rank globally for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates?
Botswana ranks 133rd and South Africa ranks 132nd of 236 countries.
Where does this data come from?
UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data, published as Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid refreshes it automatically from the source and publishes the full history for both places.

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Botswana vs South Africa: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid, drawing on UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Retrieved 03 September 2026, from https://health.statizoid.com/compare/heat-deaths-vs-projected-death-rates/botswana/south-africa/

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About this data

Indicator
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates
Unit
deaths per 1,000 people
Source
UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data
Licence
CC BY 4.0 (Our World in Data)
Coverage
236 places, 14,396 data points, 2030–2090
Last refreshed

Number of deaths in a year per 1,000 people in the population. Future projections are based on the UN's medium scenario.