Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared in Afghanistan
Afghanistan: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared was 812.4 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090. ▲ Rising
Latest (2090)
812.4 deaths per 1,000 people
Change on year
up 1.0%
World rank
210th
of 236 countries
All-time high
812.4 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2090
All-time low
493.3 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2040
Years of data
61
2030–2090
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Afghanistan, 2030–2090
Source: UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in deaths per 1,000 people.
Analysis
In 2090, estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Afghanistan stood at 812.4 deaths per 1,000 people. That is the highest value across all 61 years on record.
That represents a change of up 1.0% on the previous year and up 11.9% over ten years.
Over the whole period, estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Afghanistan peaked at 812.4 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090 and was at its lowest, 493.3 deaths per 1,000 people, in 2040.
Afghanistan ranks 210th of 236 countries on this measure, in the bottom quarter.
The long-run direction has been consistently rising across the 61 years of available data.
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared in Afghanistan, year by year
| Year | deaths per 1,000 people | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2030 | 523 deaths per 1,000 people | — |
| 2031 | 517.3 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.1% |
| 2032 | 512.8 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.9% |
| 2033 | 508.4 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.9% |
| 2034 | 505.5 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.6% |
| 2035 | 501.8 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.7% |
| 2036 | 498.9 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.6% |
| 2037 | 496.8 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.4% |
| 2038 | 495.2 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.3% |
| 2039 | 493.7 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.3% |
| 2040 | 493.3 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.1% |
| 2041 | 493.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.0% |
| 2042 | 494.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2043 | 495.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2044 | 496.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2045 | 498.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2046 | 500.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
| 2047 | 503.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
| 2048 | 506.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2049 | 509 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
| 2050 | 513.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2051 | 517.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2052 | 520.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2053 | 524.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2054 | 529.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2055 | 534.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2056 | 538.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2057 | 544.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2058 | 549.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2059 | 555.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2060 | 561 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2061 | 567.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2062 | 573.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2063 | 579.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2064 | 586.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2065 | 593.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2066 | 601.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2067 | 609.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2068 | 617.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.4% |
| 2069 | 626.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.4% |
| 2070 | 635 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.4% |
| 2071 | 644.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.4% |
| 2072 | 653 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.4% |
| 2073 | 661.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2074 | 670.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.4% |
| 2075 | 679.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.4% |
| 2076 | 689.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.5% |
| 2077 | 699.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.4% |
| 2078 | 708.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2079 | 717.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2080 | 726 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2081 | 734.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2082 | 743.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2083 | 753.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2084 | 761.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2085 | 770.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2086 | 779.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2087 | 787.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2088 | 795.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2089 | 804.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2090 | 812.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
Afghanistan compared with similar countries
- Afghanistan's 812.4 deaths per 1,000 people is below the median for low income countries, which is 887.5 deaths per 1,000 people, 92% of the median. (25 countries reporting)
- Afghanistan's 812.4 deaths per 1,000 people is below the median for Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan & Pakistan, which is 898.9 deaths per 1,000 people, 90% of the median. (23 countries reporting)
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2030s | 505.34 deaths per 1,000 people | 493.7 deaths per 1,000 people | 523 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2040s | 499.13 deaths per 1,000 people | 493.3 deaths per 1,000 people | 509 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2050s | 532.68 deaths per 1,000 people | 513.3 deaths per 1,000 people | 555.2 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2060s | 591.75 deaths per 1,000 people | 561 deaths per 1,000 people | 626.4 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2070s | 675.85 deaths per 1,000 people | 635 deaths per 1,000 people | 717.3 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2080s | 765.58 deaths per 1,000 people | 726 deaths per 1,000 people | 804.1 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2090s | 812.4 deaths per 1,000 people | 812.4 deaths per 1,000 people | 812.4 deaths per 1,000 people | 1 |
Countries ranked near Afghanistan
- 207 Kazakhstan 825.8 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 208 Democratic Republic of Congo 821.4 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 209 Eritrea 821.1 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 211 Yemen 809.4 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 212 Zambia 809.3 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 213 Vatican 800.5 deaths per 1,000 people compare
More health data for Afghanistan
- Un projection of annual infant deaths, annual growth rate -1.45 % change on previous year (2100)
- Heat deaths vs projected death rates, annual growth rate 1.03 % change on previous year (2090)
- Number of infants who die before age 1 14,735 deaths (2100)
- Neonatal tetanus - number of reported cases, gaps filled 19 (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, annual growth rate 1.78 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, per unit of GDP 0.0002 units per US$ of GDP (2024)
- Population ages 00-04, female, per capita 0.077 units per person (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, annual growth rate 1.75 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, per unit of GDP 0.0002 units per US$ of GDP (2024)
- Population ages 00-04, male, per capita 0.0804 units per person (2025)
Frequently asked questions
- What is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Afghanistan?
- Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Afghanistan was 812.4 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090, according to UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Afghanistan?
- The highest recorded value was 812.4 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090.
- What is the lowest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Afghanistan?
- The lowest recorded value was 493.3 deaths per 1,000 people in 2040.
- How does Afghanistan rank for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates?
- Afghanistan ranks 210th out of 236 countries with data for 2090.
- Is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates rising or falling in Afghanistan?
- Over the last ten years it is up 11.9%. The long-run trend across the full record is rising.
- Where does this Afghanistan data come from?
- The figures come from UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
Download this data
CSV · JSON — 61 observations, free to reuse under CC BY 4.0 (Our World in Data).
About this data
Number of deaths in a year per 1,000 people in the population. Future projections are based on the UN's medium scenario.