Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared in Zambia
Zambia: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates was 809.3 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090. ▲ Rising
Latest (2090)
809.3 deaths per 1,000 people
Change on year
up 0.8%
World rank
212th
of 236 countries
All-time high
809.3 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2090
All-time low
503.8 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2031
Years of data
61
2030–2090
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Zambia, 2030–2090
Source: UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in deaths per 1,000 people.
Analysis
The most recent figure for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Zambia is 809.3 deaths per 1,000 people, measured in 2090. That is the highest value across all 61 years on record.
Compared with earlier readings it is up 0.8% on the previous year and up 9.0% over ten years.
Over the whole period, estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Zambia peaked at 809.3 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090 and was at its lowest, 503.8 deaths per 1,000 people, in 2031.
That places Zambia 212th out of 236 countries with data for 2090, putting it in the bottom quarter.
The long-run direction has been consistently rising across the 61 years of available data.
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Zambia, year by year
| Year | deaths per 1,000 people | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2030 | 504.1 deaths per 1,000 people | — |
| 2031 | 503.8 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.1% |
| 2032 | 503.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.0% |
| 2033 | 503.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.0% |
| 2034 | 504.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2035 | 506.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2036 | 507.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2037 | 509.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2038 | 511.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2039 | 514 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
| 2040 | 517 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2041 | 520.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2042 | 524.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2043 | 528.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2044 | 533.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2045 | 537.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2046 | 542.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2047 | 547.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2048 | 552.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2049 | 558.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2050 | 563.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2051 | 569.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2052 | 575.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2053 | 581.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2054 | 587.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2055 | 593.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2056 | 599.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2057 | 605.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2058 | 610.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2059 | 616.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2060 | 622.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2061 | 628.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2062 | 633.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2063 | 639.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2064 | 645.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2065 | 651.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2066 | 657.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2067 | 663.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2068 | 668.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2069 | 673.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2070 | 679.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2071 | 685 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2072 | 691.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2073 | 696.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2074 | 702.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2075 | 709.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2076 | 715.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2077 | 722.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2078 | 728.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2079 | 736 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2080 | 742.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2081 | 749.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2082 | 756.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2083 | 763.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2084 | 770.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2085 | 777.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2086 | 783.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2087 | 789.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2088 | 796.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2089 | 802.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2090 | 809.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
Zambia compared with similar countries
- Zambia's 809.3 deaths per 1,000 people is below the median for lower middle income countries, which is 1,052 deaths per 1,000 people, 77% of the median. (47 countries reporting)
- Zambia's 809.3 deaths per 1,000 people is below the median for Sub-Saharan Africa, which is 887.35 deaths per 1,000 people, 91% of the median. (48 countries reporting)
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2030s | 506.96 deaths per 1,000 people | 503.8 deaths per 1,000 people | 514 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2040s | 536.26 deaths per 1,000 people | 517 deaths per 1,000 people | 558.4 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2050s | 590.37 deaths per 1,000 people | 563.8 deaths per 1,000 people | 616.7 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2060s | 648.52 deaths per 1,000 people | 622.9 deaths per 1,000 people | 673.8 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2070s | 706.72 deaths per 1,000 people | 679.4 deaths per 1,000 people | 736 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2080s | 773.34 deaths per 1,000 people | 742.7 deaths per 1,000 people | 802.9 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2090s | 809.3 deaths per 1,000 people | 809.3 deaths per 1,000 people | 809.3 deaths per 1,000 people | 1 |
Countries ranked near Zambia
- 209 Eritrea 821.1 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 210 Afghanistan 812.4 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 211 Yemen 809.4 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 213 Vatican 800.5 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 214 Sao Tome and Principe 793.5 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 215 Cameroon 786.1 deaths per 1,000 people compare
More health data for Zambia
- Un projection of annual infant deaths, annual growth rate -1.09 % change on previous year (2100)
- Heat deaths vs projected death rates, annual growth rate 0.7971 % change on previous year (2090)
- Number of infants who die before age 1 8,894 deaths (2100)
- Neonatal tetanus - number of reported cases, gaps filled 2 (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, annual growth rate 1.68 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, per unit of GDP 0.0001 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, per capita 0.0743 units per person (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, annual growth rate 1.69 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, per unit of GDP 0.0001 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, per capita 0.0744 units per person (2025)
Frequently asked questions
- What is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Zambia?
- Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Zambia was 809.3 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090, according to UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Zambia?
- The highest recorded value was 809.3 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090.
- What is the lowest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Zambia?
- The lowest recorded value was 503.8 deaths per 1,000 people in 2031.
- How does Zambia rank for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates?
- Zambia ranks 212th out of 236 countries with data for 2090.
- Is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates rising or falling in Zambia?
- Over the last ten years it is up 9.0%. The long-run trend across the full record is rising.
- Where does this Zambia data come from?
- The figures come from UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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About this data
Number of deaths in a year per 1,000 people in the population. Future projections are based on the UN's medium scenario.