Afghanistan vs Eritrea: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates

Afghanistan
812.4 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2090
Eritrea
821.1 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2090
Afghanistan rank
210th
Eritrea rank
209th

Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates over time

  • Afghanistan
  • Eritrea
0200400600800203020602090

How they compare

Eritrea currently reports 821.1 deaths per 1,000 people against 812.4 deaths per 1,000 people in Afghanistan, a difference of 8.7 deaths per 1,000 people.

The two have swapped places 2 times across 61 shared years of data; in 2030 it was Eritrea ahead.

Afghanistan ranks 210th and Eritrea ranks 209th of 236 countries.

Across the 7 decades both report, Afghanistan averaged higher in 3 and Eritrea in 4.

Head to head by decade

Decade Afghanistan Eritrea Difference Ahead
2030s 505.34 deaths per 1,000 people 548.85 deaths per 1,000 people 43.51 deaths per 1,000 people Eritrea
2040s 499.13 deaths per 1,000 people 527.84 deaths per 1,000 people 28.71 deaths per 1,000 people Eritrea
2050s 532.68 deaths per 1,000 people 539.43 deaths per 1,000 people 6.75 deaths per 1,000 people Eritrea
2060s 591.75 deaths per 1,000 people 575.35 deaths per 1,000 people 16.4 deaths per 1,000 people Afghanistan
2070s 675.85 deaths per 1,000 people 651.5 deaths per 1,000 people 24.35 deaths per 1,000 people Afghanistan
2080s 765.58 deaths per 1,000 people 762.17 deaths per 1,000 people 3.41 deaths per 1,000 people Afghanistan
2090s 812.4 deaths per 1,000 people 821.1 deaths per 1,000 people 8.7 deaths per 1,000 people Eritrea

Averages of every year both report within each decade.

Frequently asked questions

Which has higher estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates, Afghanistan or Eritrea?
Eritrea, at 821.1 deaths per 1,000 people against 812.4 deaths per 1,000 people in Afghanistan as of 2090.
What is the difference in estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates between Afghanistan and Eritrea?
8.7 deaths per 1,000 people, with Eritrea ahead.
How many years of comparable data are there for Afghanistan and Eritrea?
61 years are reported by both, from 2030 to 2090.
How do Afghanistan and Eritrea rank globally for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates?
Afghanistan ranks 210th and Eritrea ranks 209th of 236 countries.
Where does this data come from?
UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data, published as Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid refreshes it automatically from the source and publishes the full history for both places.

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Afghanistan vs Eritrea: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid, drawing on UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Retrieved 30 August 2026, from https://health.statizoid.com/compare/heat-deaths-vs-projected-death-rates/afghanistan/eritrea/

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About this data

Indicator
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates
Unit
deaths per 1,000 people
Source
UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data
Licence
CC BY 4.0 (Our World in Data)
Coverage
236 places, 14,396 data points, 2030–2090
Last refreshed

Number of deaths in a year per 1,000 people in the population. Future projections are based on the UN's medium scenario.