Afghanistan vs Zambia: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates

Afghanistan
812.4 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2090
Zambia
809.3 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2090
Afghanistan rank
210th
Zambia rank
212th

Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates over time

  • Afghanistan
  • Zambia
0200400600800203020602090

How they compare

Afghanistan currently reports 812.4 deaths per 1,000 people against 809.3 deaths per 1,000 people in Zambia, a difference of 3.1 deaths per 1,000 people.

The two have swapped places 2 times across 61 shared years of data; in 2030 it was Afghanistan ahead.

Afghanistan ranks 210th and Zambia ranks 212th of 236 countries.

Across the 7 decades both report, Afghanistan averaged higher in 1 and Zambia in 6.

Head to head by decade

Decade Afghanistan Zambia Difference Ahead
2030s 505.34 deaths per 1,000 people 506.96 deaths per 1,000 people 1.62 deaths per 1,000 people Zambia
2040s 499.13 deaths per 1,000 people 536.26 deaths per 1,000 people 37.13 deaths per 1,000 people Zambia
2050s 532.68 deaths per 1,000 people 590.37 deaths per 1,000 people 57.69 deaths per 1,000 people Zambia
2060s 591.75 deaths per 1,000 people 648.52 deaths per 1,000 people 56.77 deaths per 1,000 people Zambia
2070s 675.85 deaths per 1,000 people 706.72 deaths per 1,000 people 30.87 deaths per 1,000 people Zambia
2080s 765.58 deaths per 1,000 people 773.34 deaths per 1,000 people 7.76 deaths per 1,000 people Zambia
2090s 812.4 deaths per 1,000 people 809.3 deaths per 1,000 people 3.1 deaths per 1,000 people Afghanistan

Averages of every year both report within each decade.

Frequently asked questions

Which has higher estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates, Afghanistan or Zambia?
Afghanistan, at 812.4 deaths per 1,000 people against 809.3 deaths per 1,000 people in Zambia as of 2090.
What is the difference in estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates between Afghanistan and Zambia?
3.1 deaths per 1,000 people, with Afghanistan ahead.
How many years of comparable data are there for Afghanistan and Zambia?
61 years are reported by both, from 2030 to 2090.
How do Afghanistan and Zambia rank globally for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates?
Afghanistan ranks 210th and Zambia ranks 212th of 236 countries.
Where does this data come from?
UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data, published as Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid refreshes it automatically from the source and publishes the full history for both places.

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Afghanistan vs Zambia: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid, drawing on UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Retrieved 04 September 2026, from https://health.statizoid.com/compare/heat-deaths-vs-projected-death-rates/afghanistan/zambia/

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About this data

Indicator
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates
Unit
deaths per 1,000 people
Source
UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data
Licence
CC BY 4.0 (Our World in Data)
Coverage
236 places, 14,396 data points, 2030–2090
Last refreshed

Number of deaths in a year per 1,000 people in the population. Future projections are based on the UN's medium scenario.