Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Vanuatu
Vanuatu: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates was 695.7 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090. ▲ Rising
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Vanuatu, 2030–2090
Source: UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in deaths per 1,000 people.
Analysis
In 2090, estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Vanuatu stood at 695.7 deaths per 1,000 people. That is the highest value across all 61 years on record.
Compared with earlier readings it is up 0.9% on the previous year and up 7.4% over ten years.
Over the whole period, estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Vanuatu peaked at 695.7 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090 and was at its lowest, 488.6 deaths per 1,000 people, in 2030.
That places Vanuatu 224th out of 236 countries with data for 2090, putting it in the bottom quarter.
The long-run direction has been consistently rising across the 61 years of available data.
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Vanuatu, year by year
| Year | deaths per 1,000 people | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2030 | 488.6 deaths per 1,000 people | — |
| 2031 | 489.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2032 | 490.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2033 | 492.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2034 | 494.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2035 | 496.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2036 | 498.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2037 | 500.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2038 | 502.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2039 | 504.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2040 | 506.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
| 2041 | 508.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2042 | 510.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2043 | 512 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2044 | 513.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2045 | 514.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2046 | 516.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2047 | 518.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2048 | 519.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2049 | 521.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2050 | 523.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2051 | 526.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
| 2052 | 528.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2053 | 530.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2054 | 533 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2055 | 535.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
| 2056 | 538.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
| 2057 | 541.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2058 | 544.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2059 | 548.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2060 | 552.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2061 | 556.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2062 | 560.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2063 | 564.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2064 | 568.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2065 | 573.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2066 | 579 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2067 | 584.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2068 | 589.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2069 | 595.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2070 | 600.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2071 | 605.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2072 | 611 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2073 | 616.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2074 | 621.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2075 | 626 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2076 | 630.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2077 | 635.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2078 | 639.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2079 | 643.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2080 | 647.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2081 | 651.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2082 | 655.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2083 | 659.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2084 | 663.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2085 | 668.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2086 | 673.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2087 | 678.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2088 | 683.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2089 | 689.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2090 | 695.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
Vanuatu compared with similar countries
- Vanuatu's 695.7 deaths per 1,000 people is below the median for lower middle income countries, which is 1,052 deaths per 1,000 people, 66% of the median. (47 countries reporting)
- Vanuatu's 695.7 deaths per 1,000 people is below the median for East Asia & Pacific, which is 1,250 deaths per 1,000 people, 56% of the median. (37 countries reporting)
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2030s | 495.73 deaths per 1,000 people | 488.6 deaths per 1,000 people | 504.2 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2040s | 514.18 deaths per 1,000 people | 506.7 deaths per 1,000 people | 521.6 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2050s | 535.09 deaths per 1,000 people | 523.6 deaths per 1,000 people | 548.2 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2060s | 572.42 deaths per 1,000 people | 552.3 deaths per 1,000 people | 595.1 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2070s | 623.03 deaths per 1,000 people | 600.2 deaths per 1,000 people | 643.9 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2080s | 667.17 deaths per 1,000 people | 647.8 deaths per 1,000 people | 689.6 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2090s | 695.7 deaths per 1,000 people | 695.7 deaths per 1,000 people | 695.7 deaths per 1,000 people | 1 |
Countries ranked near Vanuatu
More health data for Vanuatu
- Un projection of annual infant deaths, annual growth rate -2.22 % change on previous year (2100)
- Heat deaths vs projected death rates, annual growth rate 0.8846 % change on previous year (2090)
- Number of infants who die before age 1 44 deaths (2100)
- Neonatal tetanus - number of reported cases, gaps filled 0 (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, annual growth rate 0.3888 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, per unit of GDP 0 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, per capita 0.0639 units per person (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, annual growth rate 0.395 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, per unit of GDP 0 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, per capita 0.0682 units per person (2025)
Frequently asked questions
- What is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Vanuatu?
- Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Vanuatu was 695.7 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090, according to UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Vanuatu?
- The highest recorded value was 695.7 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090.
- What is the lowest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Vanuatu?
- The lowest recorded value was 488.6 deaths per 1,000 people in 2030.
- How does Vanuatu rank for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates?
- Vanuatu ranks 224th out of 236 countries with data for 2090.
- Is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates rising or falling in Vanuatu?
- Over the last ten years it is up 7.4%. The long-run trend across the full record is rising.
- Where does this Vanuatu data come from?
- The figures come from UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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About this data
Number of deaths in a year per 1,000 people in the population. Future projections are based on the UN's medium scenario.