Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Ethiopia
Ethiopia: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates was 744.3 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090. ▲ Rising
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Ethiopia, 2030–2090
Source: UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in deaths per 1,000 people.
Analysis
In 2090, estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Ethiopia stood at 744.3 deaths per 1,000 people. That is the highest value across all 61 years on record.
The figure is up 0.9% on the previous year and up 11.2% over ten years.
Over the whole period, estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Ethiopia peaked at 744.3 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090 and was at its lowest, 517.1 deaths per 1,000 people, in 2042.
Ethiopia ranks 221st of 236 countries on this measure, in the bottom quarter.
The long-run direction has been consistently rising across the 61 years of available data.
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Ethiopia, year by year
| Year | deaths per 1,000 people | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2030 | 547 deaths per 1,000 people | — |
| 2031 | 542 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.9% |
| 2032 | 537.7 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.8% |
| 2033 | 533.1 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.9% |
| 2034 | 529.4 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.7% |
| 2035 | 526.4 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.6% |
| 2036 | 523.9 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.5% |
| 2037 | 521.8 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.4% |
| 2038 | 520.2 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.3% |
| 2039 | 519.1 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.2% |
| 2040 | 517.8 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.3% |
| 2041 | 517.5 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.1% |
| 2042 | 517.1 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.1% |
| 2043 | 517.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.0% |
| 2044 | 518 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.1% |
| 2045 | 518.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.0% |
| 2046 | 518.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.1% |
| 2047 | 519.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.1% |
| 2048 | 520.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2049 | 522 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2050 | 523.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2051 | 525 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2052 | 526.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2053 | 528 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2054 | 530.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
| 2055 | 533.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
| 2056 | 535.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
| 2057 | 538.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
| 2058 | 541.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
| 2059 | 544.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2060 | 547.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
| 2061 | 551.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2062 | 556.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2063 | 560.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2064 | 565.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2065 | 569.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2066 | 574.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2067 | 580.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2068 | 586 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2069 | 591.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2070 | 597.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2071 | 604.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2072 | 611.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2073 | 617.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2074 | 625.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2075 | 631.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2076 | 639.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2077 | 647 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2078 | 654.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2079 | 661.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2080 | 669.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2081 | 677.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2082 | 684.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2083 | 692 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2084 | 699.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2085 | 707.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2086 | 715.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2087 | 722.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2088 | 730 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2089 | 737.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2090 | 744.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
Ethiopia compared with similar countries
- Ethiopia's 744.3 deaths per 1,000 people is below the median for low income countries, which is 887.5 deaths per 1,000 people, 84% of the median. (25 countries reporting)
- Ethiopia's 744.3 deaths per 1,000 people is below the median for Sub-Saharan Africa, which is 887.35 deaths per 1,000 people, 84% of the median. (48 countries reporting)
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2030s | 530.06 deaths per 1,000 people | 519.1 deaths per 1,000 people | 547 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2040s | 518.7 deaths per 1,000 people | 517.1 deaths per 1,000 people | 522 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2050s | 532.78 deaths per 1,000 people | 523.7 deaths per 1,000 people | 544.8 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2060s | 568.45 deaths per 1,000 people | 547.7 deaths per 1,000 people | 591.8 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2070s | 629.03 deaths per 1,000 people | 597.9 deaths per 1,000 people | 661.6 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2080s | 703.52 deaths per 1,000 people | 669.3 deaths per 1,000 people | 737.3 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2090s | 744.3 deaths per 1,000 people | 744.3 deaths per 1,000 people | 744.3 deaths per 1,000 people | 1 |
Countries ranked near Ethiopia
More health data for Ethiopia
- Un projection of annual infant deaths, annual growth rate -1.67 % change on previous year (2100)
- Heat deaths vs projected death rates, annual growth rate 0.9494 % change on previous year (2090)
- Number of infants who die before age 1 19,997 deaths (2100)
- Neonatal tetanus - number of reported cases, gaps filled 148 (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, annual growth rate 1.34 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, per unit of GDP 0.0001 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, per capita 0.0709 units per person (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, annual growth rate 1.36 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, per unit of GDP 0.0001 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, per capita 0.0742 units per person (2025)
Frequently asked questions
- What is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Ethiopia?
- Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Ethiopia was 744.3 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090, according to UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Ethiopia?
- The highest recorded value was 744.3 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090.
- What is the lowest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Ethiopia?
- The lowest recorded value was 517.1 deaths per 1,000 people in 2042.
- How does Ethiopia rank for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates?
- Ethiopia ranks 221st out of 236 countries with data for 2090.
- Is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates rising or falling in Ethiopia?
- Over the last ten years it is up 11.2%. The long-run trend across the full record is rising.
- Where does this Ethiopia data come from?
- The figures come from UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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About this data
Number of deaths in a year per 1,000 people in the population. Future projections are based on the UN's medium scenario.