Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared in Tanzania
Tanzania: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates was 658.6 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090. ▲ Rising
Latest (2090)
658.6 deaths per 1,000 people
Change on year
up 0.7%
World rank
226th
of 236 countries
All-time high
658.6 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2090
All-time low
507.2 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2045
Years of data
61
2030–2090
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Tanzania, 2030–2090
Source: UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in deaths per 1,000 people.
Analysis
Tanzania recorded 658.6 deaths per 1,000 people for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in 2090. That is the highest value across all 61 years on record.
That represents a change of up 0.7% on the previous year and up 8.4% over ten years.
Over the whole period, estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Tanzania peaked at 658.6 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090 and was at its lowest, 507.2 deaths per 1,000 people, in 2045.
That places Tanzania 226th out of 236 countries with data for 2090, putting it in the bottom quarter.
The long-run direction has been consistently rising across the 61 years of available data.
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Tanzania, year by year
| Year | deaths per 1,000 people | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2030 | 538.3 deaths per 1,000 people | — |
| 2031 | 534.1 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.8% |
| 2032 | 529.6 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.8% |
| 2033 | 526 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.7% |
| 2034 | 522.4 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.7% |
| 2035 | 519.3 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.6% |
| 2036 | 516.3 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.6% |
| 2037 | 513.8 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.5% |
| 2038 | 512.1 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.3% |
| 2039 | 510.4 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.3% |
| 2040 | 509.6 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.2% |
| 2041 | 508.4 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.2% |
| 2042 | 508.1 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.1% |
| 2043 | 507.5 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.1% |
| 2044 | 507.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.0% |
| 2045 | 507.2 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.1% |
| 2046 | 507.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.1% |
| 2047 | 507.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.0% |
| 2048 | 508.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.1% |
| 2049 | 509.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2050 | 510.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2051 | 512.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2052 | 513.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2053 | 515.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2054 | 517.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2055 | 519.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2056 | 521.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2057 | 524.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
| 2058 | 527.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2059 | 530.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
| 2060 | 532.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
| 2061 | 535.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
| 2062 | 538.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2063 | 541.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2064 | 544.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2065 | 547.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2066 | 551.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2067 | 555 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2068 | 558.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2069 | 562.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2070 | 566.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2071 | 569.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2072 | 574 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2073 | 578.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2074 | 582.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2075 | 585.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2076 | 589.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2077 | 593.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2078 | 598.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2079 | 603.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2080 | 607.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2081 | 613 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2082 | 617.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2083 | 622.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2084 | 627.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2085 | 632.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2086 | 637.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2087 | 643 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2088 | 648 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2089 | 653.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2090 | 658.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
Tanzania compared with similar countries
- Tanzania's 658.6 deaths per 1,000 people is below the median for lower middle income countries, which is 1,052 deaths per 1,000 people, 63% of the median. (47 countries reporting)
- Tanzania's 658.6 deaths per 1,000 people is below the median for Sub-Saharan Africa, which is 887.35 deaths per 1,000 people, 74% of the median. (48 countries reporting)
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2030s | 522.23 deaths per 1,000 people | 510.4 deaths per 1,000 people | 538.3 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2040s | 508.21 deaths per 1,000 people | 507.2 deaths per 1,000 people | 509.6 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2050s | 519.32 deaths per 1,000 people | 510.8 deaths per 1,000 people | 530.4 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2060s | 546.94 deaths per 1,000 people | 532.8 deaths per 1,000 people | 562.8 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2070s | 584.18 deaths per 1,000 people | 566.3 deaths per 1,000 people | 603.3 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2080s | 630.26 deaths per 1,000 people | 607.8 deaths per 1,000 people | 653.8 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2090s | 658.6 deaths per 1,000 people | 658.6 deaths per 1,000 people | 658.6 deaths per 1,000 people | 1 |
Countries ranked near Tanzania
- 223 Samoa 708.7 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 224 Vanuatu 695.7 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 225 Israel 665.9 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 227 Mauritania 653 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 228 Saint Martin (French Part) 643.3 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 229 French Guiana 639.8 deaths per 1,000 people compare
More health data for Tanzania
- Un projection of annual infant deaths, annual growth rate -1.03 % change on previous year (2100)
- Heat deaths vs projected death rates, annual growth rate 0.7342 % change on previous year (2090)
- Number of infants who die before age 1 32,514 deaths (2100)
- Neonatal tetanus - number of reported cases, gaps filled 13 (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, annual growth rate 1.86 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, per unit of GDP 0.0001 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, per capita 0.0786 units per person (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, annual growth rate 1.89 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, per unit of GDP 0.0001 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, per capita 0.0805 units per person (2025)
Frequently asked questions
- What is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Tanzania?
- Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Tanzania was 658.6 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090, according to UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Tanzania?
- The highest recorded value was 658.6 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090.
- What is the lowest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Tanzania?
- The lowest recorded value was 507.2 deaths per 1,000 people in 2045.
- How does Tanzania rank for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates?
- Tanzania ranks 226th out of 236 countries with data for 2090.
- Is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates rising or falling in Tanzania?
- Over the last ten years it is up 8.4%. The long-run trend across the full record is rising.
- Where does this Tanzania data come from?
- The figures come from UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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About this data
Number of deaths in a year per 1,000 people in the population. Future projections are based on the UN's medium scenario.