Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Uganda
Uganda: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates was 853.6 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090. ▲ Rising
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Uganda, 2030–2090
Source: UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in deaths per 1,000 people.
Analysis
In 2090, estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Uganda stood at 853.6 deaths per 1,000 people. That is the highest value across all 61 years on record.
Compared with earlier readings it is up 1.3% on the previous year and up 15.8% over ten years.
Over the whole period, estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Uganda peaked at 853.6 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090 and was at its lowest, 440.4 deaths per 1,000 people, in 2035.
Uganda ranks 200th of 236 countries on this measure, in the bottom quarter.
The long-run direction has been consistently rising across the 61 years of available data.
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Uganda, year by year
| Year | deaths per 1,000 people | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2030 | 448.4 deaths per 1,000 people | — |
| 2031 | 445.9 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.6% |
| 2032 | 443.9 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.4% |
| 2033 | 442.3 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.4% |
| 2034 | 441.3 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.2% |
| 2035 | 440.4 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.2% |
| 2036 | 440.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.1% |
| 2037 | 441.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.1% |
| 2038 | 442.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2039 | 443.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2040 | 445 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2041 | 446.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2042 | 449.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
| 2043 | 451.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
| 2044 | 454.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2045 | 458.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2046 | 461.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2047 | 465.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2048 | 469.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2049 | 474.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2050 | 479.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2051 | 484.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2052 | 489.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2053 | 495.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2054 | 501.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2055 | 507.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2056 | 514.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2057 | 521 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2058 | 527.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2059 | 534.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2060 | 541.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.4% |
| 2061 | 549 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2062 | 556.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.4% |
| 2063 | 564.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.4% |
| 2064 | 573 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.5% |
| 2065 | 581.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.5% |
| 2066 | 590.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.5% |
| 2067 | 599.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.6% |
| 2068 | 608.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.5% |
| 2069 | 617.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.5% |
| 2070 | 627.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.6% |
| 2071 | 637.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.6% |
| 2072 | 648.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.6% |
| 2073 | 658.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.7% |
| 2074 | 669.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.6% |
| 2075 | 680.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.6% |
| 2076 | 691.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.7% |
| 2077 | 703.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.7% |
| 2078 | 714.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.6% |
| 2079 | 725.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.6% |
| 2080 | 737.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.5% |
| 2081 | 748.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.6% |
| 2082 | 760.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.5% |
| 2083 | 772.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.6% |
| 2084 | 784.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.6% |
| 2085 | 796.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.6% |
| 2086 | 808.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.5% |
| 2087 | 820.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.4% |
| 2088 | 831.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2089 | 842.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2090 | 853.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
Uganda compared with similar countries
- Uganda's 853.6 deaths per 1,000 people is below the median for low income countries, which is 887.5 deaths per 1,000 people, 96% of the median. (25 countries reporting)
- Uganda's 853.6 deaths per 1,000 people is below the median for Sub-Saharan Africa, which is 887.35 deaths per 1,000 people, 96% of the median. (48 countries reporting)
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2030s | 443.01 deaths per 1,000 people | 440.4 deaths per 1,000 people | 448.4 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2040s | 457.75 deaths per 1,000 people | 445 deaths per 1,000 people | 474.4 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2050s | 505.51 deaths per 1,000 people | 479.3 deaths per 1,000 people | 534.4 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2060s | 578.29 deaths per 1,000 people | 541.8 deaths per 1,000 people | 617.8 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2070s | 675.83 deaths per 1,000 people | 627.7 deaths per 1,000 people | 725.9 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2080s | 790.25 deaths per 1,000 people | 737.1 deaths per 1,000 people | 842.3 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2090s | 853.6 deaths per 1,000 people | 853.6 deaths per 1,000 people | 853.6 deaths per 1,000 people | 1 |
Countries ranked near Uganda
- 197 Equatorial Guinea 863.6 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 198 Rwanda 860.6 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 199 Malawi 856.3 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 201 Mongolia 847.3 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 202 Jordan 842.7 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 203 Sudan 841.3 deaths per 1,000 people compare
More health data for Uganda
- Un projection of annual infant deaths, annual growth rate -2.2 % change on previous year (2100)
- Heat deaths vs projected death rates, annual growth rate 1.34 % change on previous year (2090)
- Number of infants who die before age 1 6,666 deaths (2100)
- Neonatal tetanus - number of reported cases, gaps filled 111 (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, annual growth rate 1.28 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, per unit of GDP 0.0001 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, per capita 0.0787 units per person (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, annual growth rate 1.34 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, per unit of GDP 0.0001 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, per capita 0.0804 units per person (2025)
Frequently asked questions
- What is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Uganda?
- Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Uganda was 853.6 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090, according to UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Uganda?
- The highest recorded value was 853.6 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090.
- What is the lowest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Uganda?
- The lowest recorded value was 440.4 deaths per 1,000 people in 2035.
- How does Uganda rank for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates?
- Uganda ranks 200th out of 236 countries with data for 2090.
- Is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates rising or falling in Uganda?
- Over the last ten years it is up 15.8%. The long-run trend across the full record is rising.
- Where does this Uganda data come from?
- The figures come from UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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About this data
Number of deaths in a year per 1,000 people in the population. Future projections are based on the UN's medium scenario.