Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Malawi
Malawi: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates was 856.3 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090. ▲ Rising
Latest (2090)
856.3 deaths per 1,000 people
Change on year
up 0.9%
World rank
199th
of 236 countries
All-time high
856.3 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2090
All-time low
491.6 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2037
Years of data
61
2030–2090
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Malawi, 2030–2090
Source: UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in deaths per 1,000 people.
Analysis
In 2090, estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Malawi stood at 856.3 deaths per 1,000 people. That is the highest value across all 61 years on record.
The figure is up 0.9% on the previous year and up 10.7% over ten years.
Over the whole period, estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Malawi peaked at 856.3 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090 and was at its lowest, 491.6 deaths per 1,000 people, in 2037.
Malawi ranks 199th of 236 countries on this measure, in the bottom quarter.
The long-run direction has been consistently rising across the 61 years of available data.
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Malawi, year by year
| Year | deaths per 1,000 people | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2030 | 501.3 deaths per 1,000 people | — |
| 2031 | 499.1 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.4% |
| 2032 | 496.4 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.5% |
| 2033 | 494.1 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.5% |
| 2034 | 492.8 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.3% |
| 2035 | 492.1 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.1% |
| 2036 | 491.7 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.1% |
| 2037 | 491.6 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.0% |
| 2038 | 492.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2039 | 493.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2040 | 494.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2041 | 497.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
| 2042 | 500.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2043 | 503.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2044 | 507.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2045 | 511.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2046 | 516.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2047 | 521.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2048 | 526.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2049 | 532 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2050 | 537.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2051 | 544.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2052 | 550.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2053 | 557.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2054 | 564 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2055 | 571 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2056 | 578.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2057 | 585.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2058 | 593.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2059 | 601.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2060 | 609 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2061 | 616.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2062 | 624.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2063 | 632 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2064 | 640 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2065 | 648.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2066 | 657.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2067 | 664.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2068 | 673.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2069 | 682.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2070 | 690.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2071 | 699.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2072 | 707.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2073 | 716.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2074 | 724.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2075 | 732.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2076 | 740.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2077 | 749.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2078 | 757.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2079 | 765.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2080 | 773.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2081 | 781.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2082 | 790.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2083 | 798.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2084 | 807.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2085 | 816 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2086 | 824.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2087 | 832.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2088 | 840.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2089 | 848.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2090 | 856.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
Malawi compared with similar countries
- Malawi's 856.3 deaths per 1,000 people is below the median for low income countries, which is 887.5 deaths per 1,000 people, 96% of the median. (25 countries reporting)
- Malawi's 856.3 deaths per 1,000 people is below the median for Sub-Saharan Africa, which is 887.35 deaths per 1,000 people, 97% of the median. (48 countries reporting)
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2030s | 494.49 deaths per 1,000 people | 491.6 deaths per 1,000 people | 501.3 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2040s | 511.07 deaths per 1,000 people | 494.9 deaths per 1,000 people | 532 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2050s | 568.4 deaths per 1,000 people | 537.9 deaths per 1,000 people | 601.3 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2060s | 644.82 deaths per 1,000 people | 609 deaths per 1,000 people | 682.3 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2070s | 728.29 deaths per 1,000 people | 690.7 deaths per 1,000 people | 765.9 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2080s | 811.26 deaths per 1,000 people | 773.7 deaths per 1,000 people | 848.4 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2090s | 856.3 deaths per 1,000 people | 856.3 deaths per 1,000 people | 856.3 deaths per 1,000 people | 1 |
Countries ranked near Malawi
- 196 Solomon Islands 863.9 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 197 Equatorial Guinea 863.6 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 198 Rwanda 860.6 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 200 Uganda 853.6 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 201 Mongolia 847.3 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 202 Jordan 842.7 deaths per 1,000 people compare
More health data for Malawi
- Un projection of annual infant deaths, annual growth rate -0.8368 % change on previous year (2100)
- Heat deaths vs projected death rates, annual growth rate 0.9312 % change on previous year (2090)
- Number of infants who die before age 1 6,399 deaths (2100)
- Neonatal tetanus - number of reported cases, gaps filled 2 (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, annual growth rate 1.61 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, per unit of GDP 0.0001 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, per capita 0.0714 units per person (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, annual growth rate 1.63 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, per unit of GDP 0.0001 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, per capita 0.0718 units per person (2025)
Frequently asked questions
- What is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Malawi?
- Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Malawi was 856.3 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090, according to UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Malawi?
- The highest recorded value was 856.3 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090.
- What is the lowest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Malawi?
- The lowest recorded value was 491.6 deaths per 1,000 people in 2037.
- How does Malawi rank for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates?
- Malawi ranks 199th out of 236 countries with data for 2090.
- Is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates rising or falling in Malawi?
- Over the last ten years it is up 10.7%. The long-run trend across the full record is rising.
- Where does this Malawi data come from?
- The figures come from UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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About this data
Number of deaths in a year per 1,000 people in the population. Future projections are based on the UN's medium scenario.