Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Rwanda
Rwanda: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates was 860.6 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090. ▲ Rising
Latest (2090)
860.6 deaths per 1,000 people
Change on year
up 0.9%
World rank
198th
of 236 countries
All-time high
860.6 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2090
All-time low
565.6 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2039
Years of data
61
2030–2090
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Rwanda, 2030–2090
Source: UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in deaths per 1,000 people.
Analysis
In 2090, estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Rwanda stood at 860.6 deaths per 1,000 people. That is the highest value across all 61 years on record.
The figure is up 0.9% on the previous year and up 10.0% over ten years.
Over the whole period, estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Rwanda peaked at 860.6 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090 and was at its lowest, 565.6 deaths per 1,000 people, in 2039.
Rwanda ranks 198th of 236 countries on this measure, in the bottom quarter.
The long-run direction has been consistently rising across the 61 years of available data.
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Rwanda, year by year
| Year | deaths per 1,000 people | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2030 | 572.8 deaths per 1,000 people | — |
| 2031 | 571.3 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.3% |
| 2032 | 570.4 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.2% |
| 2033 | 568.9 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.3% |
| 2034 | 567.7 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.2% |
| 2035 | 567 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.1% |
| 2036 | 567.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.0% |
| 2037 | 566.6 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.1% |
| 2038 | 566.1 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.1% |
| 2039 | 565.6 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.1% |
| 2040 | 566 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.1% |
| 2041 | 565.7 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.1% |
| 2042 | 566.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.1% |
| 2043 | 566.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.1% |
| 2044 | 568.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2045 | 569.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2046 | 572.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2047 | 574.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2048 | 577.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
| 2049 | 579.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2050 | 583.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2051 | 586.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2052 | 591.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2053 | 595.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2054 | 601.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2055 | 606.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2056 | 612.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2057 | 618.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2058 | 624.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2059 | 631.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2060 | 638.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2061 | 645.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2062 | 652.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2063 | 660.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2064 | 667.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2065 | 675.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2066 | 682.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2067 | 689.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2068 | 696.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2069 | 703.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2070 | 711.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2071 | 717.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2072 | 724.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2073 | 731.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2074 | 738.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2075 | 745.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2076 | 752.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2077 | 760.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2078 | 767.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2079 | 774.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2080 | 782.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2081 | 789.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2082 | 797 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2083 | 804.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2084 | 812.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2085 | 820.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2086 | 829 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2087 | 837 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2088 | 845.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2089 | 853 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2090 | 860.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
Rwanda compared with similar countries
- Rwanda's 860.6 deaths per 1,000 people is below the median for low income countries, which is 887.5 deaths per 1,000 people, 97% of the median. (25 countries reporting)
- Rwanda's 860.6 deaths per 1,000 people is below the median for Sub-Saharan Africa, which is 887.35 deaths per 1,000 people, 97% of the median. (48 countries reporting)
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2030s | 568.36 deaths per 1,000 people | 565.6 deaths per 1,000 people | 572.8 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2040s | 570.78 deaths per 1,000 people | 565.7 deaths per 1,000 people | 579.9 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2050s | 605.31 deaths per 1,000 people | 583.5 deaths per 1,000 people | 631.6 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2060s | 671.31 deaths per 1,000 people | 638.5 deaths per 1,000 people | 703.9 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2070s | 742.49 deaths per 1,000 people | 711.2 deaths per 1,000 people | 774.5 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2080s | 816.98 deaths per 1,000 people | 782.2 deaths per 1,000 people | 853 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2090s | 860.6 deaths per 1,000 people | 860.6 deaths per 1,000 people | 860.6 deaths per 1,000 people | 1 |
Countries ranked near Rwanda
- 195 Cote d'Ivoire 864.4 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 196 Solomon Islands 863.9 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 197 Equatorial Guinea 863.6 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 199 Malawi 856.3 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 200 Uganda 853.6 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 201 Mongolia 847.3 deaths per 1,000 people compare
More health data for Rwanda
- Un projection of annual infant deaths, annual growth rate -1.08 % change on previous year (2100)
- Heat deaths vs projected death rates, annual growth rate 0.891 % change on previous year (2090)
- Number of infants who die before age 1 2,738 deaths (2100)
- Neonatal tetanus - number of reported cases, gaps filled 1 (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, annual growth rate 0.9441 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, per unit of GDP 0.0001 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, per capita 0.065 units per person (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, annual growth rate 0.9697 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, per unit of GDP 0.0001 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, per capita 0.0663 units per person (2025)
Frequently asked questions
- What is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Rwanda?
- Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Rwanda was 860.6 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090, according to UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Rwanda?
- The highest recorded value was 860.6 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090.
- What is the lowest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Rwanda?
- The lowest recorded value was 565.6 deaths per 1,000 people in 2039.
- How does Rwanda rank for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates?
- Rwanda ranks 198th out of 236 countries with data for 2090.
- Is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates rising or falling in Rwanda?
- Over the last ten years it is up 10.0%. The long-run trend across the full record is rising.
- Where does this Rwanda data come from?
- The figures come from UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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About this data
Number of deaths in a year per 1,000 people in the population. Future projections are based on the UN's medium scenario.